{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"gaza-ceasefire","title":"The Gaza ceasefire record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"gaza","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"gaza\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Gaza ceasefire\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: israel, trump — the registry attaches them to this event, but the subject line does not name them.","candidatesConsidered":["gaza","israel","trump"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":["israel","trump"],"actionClass":"ceasefire-deal"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-10-06","currency":{"state":"not-reliably-current","asOf":"2026-08-24","basis":{"asOf":"2026-10-06","newestObservationAt":"2026-08-24","newestObservationBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (event-graph)","ageDays":43,"expectedCadenceDays":21,"cadenceBasis":"this record's own observed cadence — 7 active day(s) over a 149-day window","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"measured"},"sentence":"Sources run through 2026-08-24; nothing newer for 43 days, against its expected cadence of about one item every 21 days; the count of reporting we hold runs through 2026-08-24, 43 days behind.","layers":{"reportingCounts":{"key":"reportingCounts","label":"count of reporting we hold","asOf":"2026-08-24","asOfBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (event-graph)","computedAt":"2026-10-06T17:33:03.396507+00:00","expectedCadenceDays":21,"gapDays":43,"state":"behind","reason":"its data runs to 2026-08-24 (computed 2026-10-06), 43 days before this record's 2026-10-06 build, against an expected cadence of 21 days"},"marketSensor":{"key":"marketSensor","label":"market sensor","asOf":"2026-10-06","asOfBasis":"no bound question is still open by its own deadline; dated by when the venue receipts were last read","computedAt":"2026-10-06","expectedCadenceDays":1,"gapDays":0,"note":"No market question on this record is still open by its own deadline (checked against 2026-10-06): 1 have passed their deadline and are kept as historical capture, never current expectation. Prices are a sensor we cite and grade, never a probability of ours.","state":"current","reason":""},"corroboration":{"key":"corroboration","label":"corroboration pass","asOf":"2026-10-06","asOfBasis":"the end of the corroboration engine's document window","computedAt":"2026-10-06T08:07:26.112210Z","expectedCadenceDays":1,"gapDays":0,"state":"current","reason":""}},"weakestLayer":"reportingCounts","stateBasis":"the worse of the record's own verdict (newest observation against its cadence, blind primary sources, retirement) and the weakest layer's state: a layer behind or undatable makes a current record not reliably current"},"generatedAt":"2026-10-06T17:33:03.396507+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/gaza-ceasefire and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/gaza-ceasefire so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"gaza\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"observed","note":"Event-relevance filtered: 6 attributable rows sampled for \"gaza\", 1 served, 5 withheld as not shown to be about \"Gaza ceasefire\". The served count is reduced on purpose and reported, never quietly smaller.","sampledForSubject":6,"served":1,"withheldNotEventRelevant":5,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["ceasefire","curated","cancelled","truce","war","hamas","hostage","israel","rafah"],"questionSet":["flotilla","reach","may"]},"items":[{"title":"Inside ‘NAZA,’ the Bombshell Exposé on IDF’s War in Gaza","url":"https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/inside-naza-bombshell-expose-documentary-on-idf-war-in-gaza-1236698734/","date":"2026-09-13","source":"The Hollywood Reporter","eventTerms":["war"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"event-graph","documents":5262,"outlets":659,"activeDays":7,"firstSeen":"2026-03-29","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-08-24","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-03-29","end":"2026-08-24","activeDays":7,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 7 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":2421,"outlets":158,"activeDays":35,"since":"2026-09-01","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-10-06","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":["middle_east"],"asserts":{"utterance":227,"ceasefire-deal":197,"military-action":190,"meeting-visit":74,"election":70,"sanction-trade":63},"assertionCoverage":0.393,"movesWith":[{"name":"israel","together":2073,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":166,"meeting-visit":3}},{"name":"iran","together":713,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":3}},{"name":"palestine","together":706,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"]},{"name":"un","together":706,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":11,"meeting-visit":2}},{"name":"west bank","together":628,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"meeting-visit":5,"ceasefire-deal":3}},{"name":"middle east","together":563,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"]},{"name":"netanyahu","together":547,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":8}},{"name":"trump","together":641,"verbs":{"meeting-visit":2}}],"movesWithLabels":["israel","iran","palestine","un","west bank","middle east","netanyahu","trump"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":440,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":96},{"period":"2026","mentions":344}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"gaza\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Gaza ceasefire","slug":"gaza-ceasefire","questionCount":5,"questions":["Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?"],"mentions":440,"firstSeen":"2026-03-29","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-24","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-10-06","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"gaza\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Gaza ceasefire\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: israel, trump — the registry attaches them to this event, but the subject line does not name them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[],"fold":{"state":"pending","lists":{"kernel":{"state":"pending","total":0,"returned":0,"statement":"pending: no consensus ledger has been computed for this subject yet, so there are no kernel rows to unfold."},"frames":{"state":"pending","total":0,"returned":0,"statement":"pending: no consensus ledger has been computed for this subject yet, so there are no frames rows to unfold."},"retired":{"state":"pending","total":0,"returned":0,"statement":"pending: no consensus ledger has been computed for this subject yet, so there are no retired rows to unfold."}},"limits":{"responseBudgetBytes":262144,"pageBytes":131072,"defaultPageBytes":32768,"defaultPageSize":25,"maxPageSize":100,"defaultShown":{"kernel":25,"frames":5,"retired":5},"statement":"No default response carries the whole consensus ledger. Each list (kernel, frames, retired) is folded to its count and a first page (kernel 25 headline rows, frames 5, retired 5), and a topic-record response stays under 256 KiB. Unfold a list a page at a time: pageSize 1-100 (default 25), and a page also stops at 128 KiB of rows, returning a cursor for the rest. A page limit is a cursor, never an edge: follow nextCursor until it is null and you hold every row, in the ledger's own order."}}},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-27T14:54:08.361516+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-27T14:54:08.361516+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00"}]}},"sectionOrder":["definition","primaryDocuments","claims","theRecord","ourAttention","marketSensor","refereeGrades","ourRead","changeLog","limits","verify","provenance"],"definition":{"key":"definition","heading":"What this record is","state":"written","whatThisIs":"A Palestinian coastal territory bordering Israel and Egypt; the center of repeated Israel–Hamas wars.","whyTracked":"We hold 5262 documents from 659 outlets over 7 active days. It runs through 4 coverage domains we watch, including World Wires, Media Entertainment, Venture Capital. 5 market questions price outcomes under the event bound to it.","coverageSince":{"date":"2026-03-29","status":"observed","text":"Our first document on this subject is dated Mar 29, 2026; the count above is everything since."},"notCovered":["Our attention, not the world's state. Every count here is a count of what our own sweep collected about gaza.","659 outlets in our declared source universe — not the whole internet.","Market prices are the venue's number, cited and graded as an outside sensor. We publish no probability of our own on this record.","No claim on this subject in the current window was carried from three or more separate origins, so nothing below rests on one."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"passed":["at least one market question bound to this record"],"failed":["a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","a claim carried from three or more separate origins"],"conditions":[{"id":"first-party-read","text":"a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","passed":false},{"id":"independent-origins","text":"a claim carried from three or more separate origins","passed":false},{"id":"bound-market-question","text":"at least one market question bound to this record","passed":true}]},"stateNote":"Written definition, from the curated orientation glossary."},"claims":{"key":"claims","heading":"What separate sources agree on","state":"corroborated","source":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these rows","window":{"start":"2026-09-30","end":"2026-10-06"},"counts":{"clustersTotal":1337,"corroborated":0,"published":60,"clustersWithAggregatorOrigin":9,"clustersWithClaimUrl":60,"originsWithReceiptUrl":324,"originsPublished":324,"recordRows":4,"singleSource":2,"reportedByTwo":1,"contested":0,"cannotCheck":1},"standingCounts":{"corroborated":0,"reported-by-2":1,"single-source":2,"contested":0,"cannot-check":1},"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"dropped":0,"note":"4 claims about this subject are on the maintained record for the window Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026: 0 carried from three or more separate origins, 1 reported by two, 2 from a single source, 1 not yet counted. The count is of separate origins, not of truth: outlets relaying one named upstream count once, and many outlets echoing one official statement is still a wide echo, not a second check.","singleSourceVisible":true,"rows":[{"id":"bcc4507024a1","clusterKey":"bcc4507024a1","claim":"Israeli strike kills 2 Christian women, lecturer, her mother in new Gaza ceasefire breach","claimUrl":"https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2026/10/israeli-strike-kills-five-gaza-including-four-women-health-officials-say","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Publishers carried this from two or three separate origins, under the same counting rule — agreement between sources, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":2,"publisherCount":2,"originCount":2,"origins":["Reuters","news.google.com","newindianexpress.com"],"wires":["Reuters"],"earliestDate":"2026-10-03","state":"reported-by-2","matchedOn":["entity"],"standing":"reported-by-2","originsSummary":"carried by 2 publishers from 2 separate origins · 1 wire (Reuters)","marketLine":null},{"id":"5bcf3bbf9259","clusterKey":"5bcf3bbf9259","claim":"UN chief urges permanent Gaza ceasefire ahead of Oct 7 conflict anniversary","claimUrl":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMifEFVX3lxTE00dXBlcXNxaFRsRzB3OUFWcHM5VGRRMGZDV011QTY5VnNVaVdlb1c5X2FWMWdZS0ZVR2IzR2p6NFV2RFlEZ1lkanMxeDdCY09XQy1ldGV3eVVYbzlVcEpIdmVjTEVVSzFyekdNd0FoMUpuX3RvaVdZLTBXTEk?oc=5","tier":"weak","tierLabel":"Single source","tierMeaning":"One origin, however many publishers carried it. Nothing separate has reported it.","independentOrigins":1,"publisherCount":1,"originCount":1,"origins":["Xinhua","news.google.com"],"wires":["Xinhua"],"earliestDate":"2026-10-05","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"standing":"single-source","originsSummary":"carried by 1 publisher from 1 separate origin · 1 wire (Xinhua)","marketLine":null},{"id":"a89da084bc54","clusterKey":"a89da084bc54","claim":"Israel kills eight in Gaza as ceasefire violations continue a year on","claimUrl":"https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israel-kills-eight-gaza-ceasefire-violations-continue-year","tier":"weak","tierLabel":"Single source","tierMeaning":"One origin, however many publishers carried it. Nothing separate has reported it.","independentOrigins":1,"publisherCount":1,"originCount":1,"origins":["news.google.com","middleeasteye.net"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-10-01","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"standing":"single-source","originsSummary":"carried by 1 publisher from 1 separate origin","marketLine":null},{"id":"26317e34e4af","clusterKey":"26317e34e4af","claim":"PCHR: Israeli enemy continues genocide against Palestinians year after Gaza ceasefire","claimUrl":"https://news.google.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?oc=5","tier":"weak","tierLabel":"Single source","tierMeaning":"One origin, however many publishers carried it. Nothing separate has reported it.","independentOrigins":0,"publisherCount":0,"originCount":0,"origins":["news.google.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-10-02","state":"cannot-check","matchedOn":["entity"],"standing":"cannot-check","originsSummary":"carried by 0 publishers from 0 separate origins","marketLine":null}]},"primaryDocuments":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[],"key":"primaryDocuments","heading":"What the issuing authorities publish","undatedCount":0,"undatedNote":null},"marketSensor":{"key":"marketSensor","heading":"What prediction markets price","state":"priced","joinPerformed":true,"eventSlug":"gaza-ceasefire","rowsFrom":"maintained-record","counts":{"eventReceipts":1,"entityCaptures":0,"served":1,"live":0,"expired":1,"undated":0},"newestPriceStamp":"2026-05-24","live":{"count":0,"priceAsOf":null,"questions":[]},"historical":{"count":1,"questions":["Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?"]},"undated":{"count":0,"questions":[]},"deadlineCheckedAgainst":"2026-10-06","reading":"No market question on this record is still open by its own deadline (checked against 2026-10-06): 1 have passed their deadline and are kept as historical capture, never current expectation. Prices are a sensor we cite and grade, never a probability of ours.","venueStatusNote":"Whether each question is still open at its venue is not verified in this record; the receipt carries the venue's own status as unknown.","note":"1 market question ride this record, newest price stamp May 24, 2026. A price is the venue's number, cited as one outside sensor and graded against how reality resolved; it is never a probability of ours.","rows":[{"question":"Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-flotilla-reach-gaza-by-may-31","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":0.45,"pricedAt":"2026-05-24","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-05-31","deadlineBasis":"the venue's own end date for the question","deadlineState":"historical","deadlinePassed":true,"venueStatus":"unknown","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"}],"basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred"},"refereeGrades":{"key":"refereeGrades","heading":"How our cited sensor has scored","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the per-subject accuracy check","grades":[],"note":"We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Gaza ceasefire has been scored, so this section can say nothing about it on its own. The scoring anyone can read is at https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data.","where":"https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data"},"theRecord":{"label":"The record itself","basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 7 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"],"state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"event-graph","documents":5262,"outlets":659,"activeDays":7,"firstSeen":"2026-03-29","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-08-24","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-03-29","end":"2026-08-24","activeDays":7,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 7 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":2421,"outlets":158,"activeDays":35,"since":"2026-09-01","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-10-06","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":["middle_east"],"asserts":{"utterance":227,"ceasefire-deal":197,"military-action":190,"meeting-visit":74,"election":70,"sanction-trade":63},"assertionCoverage":0.393,"movesWith":[{"name":"israel","together":2073,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":166,"meeting-visit":3}},{"name":"iran","together":713,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":3}},{"name":"palestine","together":706,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"]},{"name":"un","together":706,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":11,"meeting-visit":2}},{"name":"west bank","together":628,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"meeting-visit":5,"ceasefire-deal":3}},{"name":"middle east","together":563,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"]},{"name":"netanyahu","together":547,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":8}},{"name":"trump","together":641,"verbs":{"meeting-visit":2}}],"movesWithLabels":["israel","iran","palestine","un","west bank","middle east","netanyahu","trump"],"provenance":"curated","key":"theRecord","heading":"What we have collected","status":"measured","basisNote":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting"},"ourAttention":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":440,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":96},{"period":"2026","mentions":344}],"key":"ourAttention","heading":"How closely we are watching","state":"cannot-measure","directionWord":"insufficient_history","glyph":""},"ourRead":{"key":"ourRead","heading":"Our read","basisNote":"our analysis of this record's own dated sections; ours, and labeled ours; never a forecast, and never a probability of ours","asOf":"2026-10-06","firstParty":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"Not yet read for Oct 6, 2026: no first-party issuer is routed for this subject yet."},"corroboratedNow":{"state":"measured","count":4,"text":"Separate sources agree on 4 things about Gaza ceasefire in the current window: “Israeli strike kills 2 Christian women, lecturer, her mother in new Gaza ceasefire breach” (carried by 2 publishers from 2 separate origins · 1 wire (Reuters), earliest Oct 3, 2026); “UN chief urges permanent Gaza ceasefire ahead of Oct 7 conflict anniversary” (carried by 1 publisher from 1 separate origin · 1 wire (Xinhua), earliest Oct 5, 2026), and 2 more on the record."},"singleSource":{"state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"Not yet read for Oct 6, 2026: no press-claims ledger is on file for this subject yet."},"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not count the reports that give a different answer for this build."},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 2 recorded changes for Gaza ceasefire, the most recent on Sep 27, 2026. Each one is a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},"divergence":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the market sensor","text":"No priced market question on this record is open by its own deadline (1 passed its deadline and is historical capture, 0 carry no deadline on file), so there is no open price to set beside our claims."},"heldAsProvenance":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."},"inputsDropped":[{"input":"2 corroborated claim rows","why":"shown on the claims section rather than repeated in the read"},{"input":"single-source reporting","why":"no press-claims ledger exists for this subject; the corroborated feed does not publish uncleared tiers"},{"input":"entity priced captures","why":"our own sweep captured no priced row for this subject; the market rows here come from the event's venue receipts"},{"input":"1 market questions past their deadline","why":"kept as historical capture, never presented as current expectation"}],"synthesis":null,"synthesisNote":"No synthesis is written for this record. A synthesis is our own paragraph over corroborated claims with receipts; until it is computed, the clauses above are the whole read and nothing is templated to look like one.","basis":[{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"Israeli strike kills 2 Christian women, lecturer, her mother in new Gaza ceasefire breach","asOf":"2026-10-03"},{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"UN chief urges permanent Gaza ceasefire ahead of Oct 7 conflict anniversary","asOf":"2026-10-05"},{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"Israel kills eight in Gaza as ceasefire violations continue a year on","asOf":"2026-10-01"}],"clauses":[{"key":"firstParty","label":"What the issuing authorities say","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"Not yet read for Oct 6, 2026: no first-party issuer is routed for this subject yet."},{"key":"corroboratedNow","label":"What separate sources agree on","state":"measured","count":4,"text":"Separate sources agree on 4 things about Gaza ceasefire in the current window: “Israeli strike kills 2 Christian women, lecturer, her mother in new Gaza ceasefire breach” (carried by 2 publishers from 2 separate origins · 1 wire (Reuters), earliest Oct 3, 2026); “UN chief urges permanent Gaza ceasefire ahead of Oct 7 conflict anniversary” (carried by 1 publisher from 1 separate origin · 1 wire (Xinhua), earliest Oct 5, 2026), and 2 more on the record."},{"key":"singleSource","label":"What rests on one source","state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"Not yet read for Oct 6, 2026: no press-claims ledger is on file for this subject yet."},{"key":"contradicted","label":"What contradicts","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not count the reports that give a different answer for this build."},{"key":"changedSinceLastRead","label":"What changed","state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 2 recorded changes for Gaza ceasefire, the most recent on Sep 27, 2026. Each one is a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},{"key":"divergence","label":"The outside sensor, beside our record","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the market sensor","text":"No priced market question on this record is open by its own deadline (1 passed its deadline and is historical capture, 0 carry no deadline on file), so there is no open price to set beside our claims."},{"key":"heldAsProvenance","label":"Earlier documents on file","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"states":{"firstParty":"cannot-measure","corroboratedNow":"measured","singleSource":"cannot-measure","contradicted":"cannot-measure","changedSinceLastRead":"measured","divergence":"cannot-measure","heldAsProvenance":"cannot-measure"}},"changeLog":{"key":"changeLog","heading":"What changed, and when","state":"recorded","started":null,"note":"The ledger holds 2 recorded changes for Gaza ceasefire, the most recent on Sep 27, 2026. Each one is a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact.","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-27T14:54:08.361516+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-27T14:54:08.361516+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00"}]},"verify":{"key":"verify","heading":"Verify it yourself","state":"measured","rest":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/truth/gaza-ceasefire","mcp":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/mcp -X POST -H 'content-type: application/json' \\\n  -d '{\"jsonrpc\":\"2.0\",\"id\":1,\"method\":\"tools/call\",\"params\":{\"name\":\"get_truth_object\",\"arguments\":{\"topic\":\"gaza-ceasefire\"}}}'","resource":null,"page":null,"note":"This page, GET /api/truth/gaza-ceasefire and the get_truth_object tool are assembled by one builder, so what you fetch is what you are reading."},"limits":{"key":"limits","heading":"What this record does not tell you","state":"measured","derived":[{"section":"refereeGrades","text":"How our cited sensor has scored: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the per-subject accuracy check. We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Gaza ceasefire has bee"},{"section":"ourAttention","text":"How closely we are watching: we could not measure it."},{"section":"ourRead.firstParty","text":"What the issuing authorities say: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the first-party read. Not yet read for Oct 6, 2026: no first-party issuer is routed for this subject yet."},{"section":"ourRead.singleSource","text":"What rests on one source: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the single-source tier. Not yet read for Oct 6, 2026: no press-claims ledger is on file for this subject yet."},{"section":"ourRead.contradicted","text":"What contradicts: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is no polarity-comparable pair. We could not count the reports that give a different answer for this build."},{"section":"ourRead.divergence","text":"The outside sensor, beside our record: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the market sensor. No priced market question on this record is open by its own deadline (1 passed its deadline and is historical capture, 0 carry no deadline on file), so there is no open price to set beside our claims."},{"section":"ourRead.heldAsProvenance","text":"Earlier documents on file: we could not measure it. No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"standing":[],"note":"7 sections on this record came back \"we could not look\". Each is named below with the pass that failed, generated from the section's own state rather than typed here."},"provenance":{"key":"provenance","heading":"Where this record comes from","state":"measured","asOf":"2026-10-06","generatedAt":"2026-10-06T17:33:03.396507+00:00","recordVersion":"sb.tr-a7060056","releaseId":null,"builtAt":null,"releaseState":"cannot-measure","releaseNote":"the release manifest is a deploy-time asset (/release.json), stamped on the served response, never bundled into the record at build time","slaRow":null,"slaNote":"No freshness clock is registered for this record's own inputs yet; the sections above each carry the date they speak for."},"record":{"schema":"sb.truth-record.v1","slug":"gaza-ceasefire","kind":"event","subjectState":"dormant","tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read","at least 3 separate origins on a joined claim"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"tierChangedAt":"2026-09-07","previousTier":"standard","subject":{"label":"Gaza ceasefire","aliases":["ceasefire cancelled","ceasefire in gaza","gaza","gaza ceasefire","gaza truce","gaza war","gaza-ceasefire","hamas","hamas ceasefire","hostage deal","israel","israel hamas ceasefire"],"eventKey":"gaza-ceasefire","entityKeys":["gaza","gaza ceasefire","gaza-ceasefire","israel","trump"],"mergedSlugs":[],"eventSlugs":["gaza-ceasefire"]},"definition":{"whatThisIs":"Gaza ceasefire is an event Signal Bureau maintains a record of (curated event). 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Coverage of this subject begins 2026-03-29 — first counted document (event-graph); other structures date it 2026-07-16 (registered in the publication registry)."},"limits":[{"section":"primaryDocuments","state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},{"section":"ourAttention","state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"}],"verify":{"rest":"GET /api/truth/gaza-ceasefire","mcp":"get_truth_record {\"slug\": \"gaza-ceasefire\"}"},"claimsMeta":{"state":"measured","reason":"","dropped":0,"relevanceDropped":106,"relevanceUnmeasured":1,"cohesionExcluded":0,"fields":{"publisherCount":"Distinct publishers that carried the claim, after wire copies, republished copies and same-portal duplicates are collapsed.","originCount":"Separate origins after publishers behind one canonical address, and publishers relaying one named upstream, are collapsed into one (rule origins@1). The tier and the state (corroborated 3+, reported-by-2, single-source 1, cannot-check when the count was not measured) are computed from it. Not dependency-aware evidentiary independence: an outlet that names no upstream still counts as its own origin.","originsUnknownUpstream":"How many counted origins had no readable text beyond a headline, so whether they relay someone else could not be checked.","originBasis":"The counting, in words, for this row.","deprecatedAliases":{"independentOrigins":"DEPRECATED alias of publisherCount, identical value (portal fallbacks such as news.google.com excluded) — not evidentiary independence. 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Each list (kernel, frames, retired) is folded to its count and a first page (kernel 25 headline rows, frames 5, retired 5), and a topic-record response stays under 256 KiB. Unfold a list a page at a time: pageSize 1-100 (default 25), and a page also stops at 128 KiB of rows, returning a cursor for the rest. A page limit is a cursor, never an edge: follow nextCursor until it is null and you hold every row, in the ledger's own order."}}