{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"product-launch-spacex-starlink","title":"The Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"spacex","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"spacex\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink\"). 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We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},{"key":"divergence","label":"The outside sensor, beside our record","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the market sensor","text":"No market question is bound to this record, so there is no outside price to set beside our claims."},{"key":"heldAsProvenance","label":"Earlier documents on file","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"states":{"firstParty":"cannot-measure","corroboratedNow":"cannot-measure","singleSource":"cannot-measure","contradicted":"cannot-measure","changedSinceLastRead":"measured","divergence":"cannot-measure","heldAsProvenance":"cannot-measure"}},"changeLog":{"key":"changeLog","heading":"What changed, and when","state":"recorded","started":null,"note":"The ledger holds 2 recorded changes for Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink, the most recent on Oct 2, 2026. 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The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap."},{"section":"refereeGrades","text":"How our cited sensor has scored: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the per-subject accuracy check. We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Product launch: SpaceX"},{"section":"ourRead.firstParty","text":"What the issuing authorities say: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the first-party read. Not yet read for Oct 6, 2026: no first-party issuer is routed for this subject yet."},{"section":"ourRead.corroboratedNow","text":"What separate sources agree on: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the corroboration join. 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