{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"bitcoin-price-level","title":"The Bitcoin price levels record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"bitcoin","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"bitcoin\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Bitcoin price levels\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["bitcoin"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":[],"actionClass":null},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-08-31","generatedAt":"2026-08-31T23:47:10.184789+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/bitcoin-price-level and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/bitcoin-price-level so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"bitcoin\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"none-event-relevant","note":"Measured zero after event-relevance filtering: we sampled 5 attributable rows for \"bitcoin\" and not one could be shown to be about \"Bitcoin price levels\" — each carried the subject's name and nothing else this record is about. They are withheld rather than served: a subject's general coverage is not this event's reporting, and serving it under this record's label would be worse than serving nothing. That is a count, not a gap.","sampledForSubject":5,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":5,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["levels","curated","above","time","high","below","hit","btc"],"questionSet":["150k","december","000","8pm","gta"]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":538,"outlets":97,"activeDays":64,"firstSeen":"2026-04-05","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-08-31","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":["crypto_defi","auto","prediction_markets"],"asserts":{"utterance":92,"price-threshold":28,"acquisition":23,"launch-release":13,"econ-release":11,"military-action":5},"assertionCoverage":0.351,"movesWith":[{"name":"crypto","together":219,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"ethereum","together":114,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"],"verbs":{"acquisition":4}},{"name":"treasury","together":97,"sharedDomains":["auto"]},{"name":"etfs","together":60,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"ai","together":66,"sharedDomains":["auto"]},{"name":"gold","together":65,"sharedDomains":["auto"]},{"name":"bitcoin etfs","together":35,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"solana","together":34,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]}],"movesWithLabels":["crypto","ethereum","treasury","etfs","ai","gold","bitcoin etfs","solana"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":-4,"reading":"Our coverage of Bitcoin price levels is 4% below its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":112,"eventMentions":56212,"periods":[{"period":"2027-12","mentions":10},{"period":"2027-09","mentions":10},{"period":"2027-06","mentions":10},{"period":"2027-03","mentions":10},{"period":"2026-12","mentions":51},{"period":"2026-09","mentions":5},{"period":"2026-08","mentions":56070},{"period":"2026","mentions":46}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"observed","rowsNote":null,"current":[{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-august-24-30-2026","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":3,"change24hPct":-47.4,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-25","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"}],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Bitcoin price levels","slug":"bitcoin-price-level","questionCount":24,"questions":["Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?","Bitcoin above 65,000 on July 31, 8PM ET?","Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?"],"mentions":56212,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-31","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-31","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"bitcoin\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Bitcoin price levels\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-31T15:05:22.273998+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-20T15:10:27.094198+00:00"}]}}}