{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-british-columbia-united-kingdom","title":"The Election: British Columbia & United Kingdom record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"united kingdom","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"united kingdom\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: British Columbia & United Kingdom\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["british columbia","united kingdom"],"alsoDefensible":["british columbia"],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-24","currency":{"state":"cannot-measure","asOf":null,"basis":{"asOf":"2026-09-24","newestObservationAt":null,"newestObservationBasis":null,"ageDays":null,"expectedCadenceDays":1,"cadenceBasis":"no source declares a cadence this record can read and its own observed cadence could not be computed, so it is judged against the nightly rebuild — the tightest honest expectation","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"absent"},"sentence":"We cannot tell whether this record is current: no source dates could be read (pass: no event-graph node, no attention series and no receipt carries this subject in the artifacts read for this build)."},"generatedAt":"2026-09-24T14:57:43.912252+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-british-columbia-united-kingdom and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/election-british-columbia-united-kingdom so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"united kingdom\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"none-sampled","note":"Measured zero: \"united kingdom\" IS in the tracked set and we sampled no attributable coverage for it in this build. That is a count, not a gap.","sampledForSubject":0,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":0,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["election","british","columbia"],"questionSet":["caroline","elliott","conservative","party","ndp","second","seats","general"]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","state":"absent","reason":"no event-graph node, no attention series and no receipt carries this subject in the artifacts read for this build","countsSource":null,"countsBasis":null,"documents":null,"outlets":null,"activeDays":null,"firstSeen":null,"firstSeenStatus":"absent","firstSeenNote":"no event-graph node, no attention series and no receipt carries this subject in the artifacts read for this build","lastSeen":null,"lastSeenStatus":"absent","lastSeenNote":"no event-graph node, no attention series and no receipt carries this subject in the artifacts read for this build","coverage":{"start":null,"end":null,"activeDays":null,"state":"absent","reason":"no event-graph node, no attention series and no receipt carries this subject in the artifacts read for this build"},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":2884,"outlets":349,"activeDays":53,"since":"2026-04-02","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":[],"asserts":{"utterance":147,"launch-release":112,"military-action":94,"meeting-visit":75,"sanction-trade":73,"acquisition":41},"assertionCoverage":0.252,"movesWith":[{"name":"france","together":618},{"name":"ai","together":555},{"name":"united states","together":547},{"name":"britain","together":487},{"name":"canadian","together":453},{"name":"germany","together":449},{"name":"china","together":420},{"name":"israel","together":419,"verbs":{"sanction-trade":4}}],"movesWithLabels":["france","ai","united states","britain","canadian","germany","china","israel"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":20,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":8},{"period":"2026","mentions":12}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"united kingdom\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: British Columbia & United Kingdom","slug":"election-british-columbia-united-kingdom","questionCount":20,"questions":["Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?","Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?"],"mentions":20,"firstSeen":"2026-09-23","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-24","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-24","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"united kingdom\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: British Columbia & United Kingdom\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-08T15:17:58.202118+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-08T15:17:58.202118+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-22T14:53:31.501988+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-22T14:53:31.501988+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00"}]}},"sectionOrder":["definition","primaryDocuments","claims","theRecord","ourAttention","marketSensor","refereeGrades","ourRead","changeLog","limits","verify","provenance"],"definition":{"key":"definition","heading":"What this record is","state":"templated-from-structure","whatThisIs":"A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 4 domains, including World Wires, Venture Capital and Veterinary.","whyTracked":"It runs through 4 coverage domains we watch, including World Wires, Venture Capital, Veterinary. 20 market questions price outcomes under the event bound to it.","coverageSince":{"date":null,"status":"absent","text":"We hold no first-document date for this subject, so the record cannot say how far back its coverage runs. That is unmeasured, not zero."},"notCovered":["Our attention, not the world's state. Every count here is a count of what our own sweep collected about united kingdom.","Market prices are the venue's number, cited and graded as an outside sensor. We publish no probability of our own on this record.","No claim on this subject in the current window was carried by three or more separate publishers, so nothing below rests on one."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"passed":["at least one market question bound to this record"],"failed":["a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","a claim carried by three or more separate publishers"],"conditions":[{"id":"first-party-read","text":"a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","passed":false},{"id":"independent-origins","text":"a claim carried by three or more separate publishers","passed":false},{"id":"bound-market-question","text":"at least one market question bound to this record","passed":true}]},"stateNote":"No written definition yet — this line is generated from what we hold, so it cannot claim more than the record does."},"claims":{"key":"claims","heading":"What independent sources agree on","state":"cannot-measure","source":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these rows","window":{"start":"2026-09-18","end":"2026-09-24"},"counts":{"clustersTotal":926,"corroborated":0,"published":60,"clustersWithAggregatorOrigin":35,"clustersWithClaimUrl":60,"originsWithReceiptUrl":446,"originsPublished":446,"recordRows":0,"singleSource":0},"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"dropped":0,"note":"The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap.","singleSourceVisible":true,"rows":[]},"primaryDocuments":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[],"key":"primaryDocuments","heading":"What the issuing authorities publish","undatedCount":0,"undatedNote":null},"marketSensor":{"key":"marketSensor","heading":"What prediction markets price","state":"priced","joinPerformed":true,"eventSlug":"election-british-columbia-united-kingdom","counts":{"eventReceipts":2,"entityCaptures":0,"served":2,"live":2,"expired":0},"newestPriceStamp":"2026-09-24","venueStatusNote":null,"note":"2 market questions ride this record, newest price stamp Sep 24, 2026. A price is the venue's number, cited as one outside sensor and graded against how reality resolved; it is never a probability of ours.","rows":[{"question":"Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-caroline-elliott-win-the-next-conservative-party-of-british-columbia-leadership-election","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":31.5,"pricedAt":"2026-09-24","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2027-12-31","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-ndp-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-british-columbia-general-election","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":32.5,"pricedAt":"2026-09-24","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-10-24","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"}],"basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred"},"refereeGrades":{"key":"refereeGrades","heading":"How our cited sensor has scored","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the per-subject accuracy check","grades":[],"note":"We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Election: British Columbia & United Kingdom has been scored, so this section can say nothing about it on its own. The scoring anyone can read is at https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data.","where":"https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data"},"theRecord":{"label":"The record itself","basis":["assertion mix is computed per EVENT by the event graph; it does not carry this subject"],"state":"absent","reason":"no event-graph node, no attention series and no receipt carries this subject in the artifacts read for this build","countsSource":null,"countsBasis":null,"documents":null,"outlets":null,"activeDays":null,"firstSeen":null,"firstSeenStatus":"absent","firstSeenNote":"no event-graph node, no attention series and no receipt carries this subject in the artifacts read for this build","lastSeen":null,"lastSeenStatus":"absent","lastSeenNote":"no event-graph node, no attention series and no receipt carries this subject in the artifacts read for this build","coverage":{"start":null,"end":null,"activeDays":null,"state":"absent","reason":"no event-graph node, no attention series and no receipt carries this subject in the artifacts read for this build"},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":2884,"outlets":349,"activeDays":53,"since":"2026-04-02","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":[],"asserts":{"utterance":147,"launch-release":112,"military-action":94,"meeting-visit":75,"sanction-trade":73,"acquisition":41},"assertionCoverage":0.252,"movesWith":[{"name":"france","together":618},{"name":"ai","together":555},{"name":"united states","together":547},{"name":"britain","together":487},{"name":"canadian","together":453},{"name":"germany","together":449},{"name":"china","together":420},{"name":"israel","together":419,"verbs":{"sanction-trade":4}}],"movesWithLabels":["france","ai","united states","britain","canadian","germany","china","israel"],"provenance":"curated","key":"theRecord","heading":"What we have collected","basisNote":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting"},"ourAttention":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":20,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":8},{"period":"2026","mentions":12}],"key":"ourAttention","heading":"How closely we are watching","state":"cannot-measure","directionWord":"insufficient_history","glyph":""},"ourRead":{"key":"ourRead","heading":"Our read","basisNote":"our analysis of this record's own dated sections; ours, and labeled ours — never a forecast, and never a probability of ours","asOf":"2026-09-24","firstParty":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},"corroboratedNow":{"state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the corroboration join","text":"The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap."},"singleSource":{"state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 6 recorded changes for Election: British Columbia & United Kingdom, the most recent on Sep 22, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},"divergence":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the corroborated set","text":"We cannot set the sensor beside our own record: the corroboration join did not return for this subject, so there is only one side to show."},"heldAsProvenance":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."},"inputsDropped":[{"input":"single-source reporting","why":"no press-claims ledger exists for this subject; the corroborated feed does not publish uncleared tiers"},{"input":"entity priced captures","why":"our own sweep captured no priced row for this subject; the market rows here come from the event's venue receipts"}],"synthesis":null,"synthesisNote":"No synthesis is written for this record. A synthesis is our own paragraph over corroborated claims with receipts; until it is computed, the clauses above are the whole read and nothing is templated to look like one.","basis":[{"kind":"market sensor","text":"Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? — 32.5% (polymarket)","asOf":"2026-09-24"}],"clauses":[{"key":"firstParty","label":"What the issuing authorities say","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},{"key":"corroboratedNow","label":"What independent sources agree on","state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the corroboration join","text":"The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap."},{"key":"singleSource","label":"What rests on one source","state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},{"key":"contradicted","label":"What contradicts","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},{"key":"changedSinceLastRead","label":"What changed","state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 6 recorded changes for Election: British Columbia & United Kingdom, the most recent on Sep 22, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},{"key":"divergence","label":"The outside sensor, beside our record","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the corroborated set","text":"We cannot set the sensor beside our own record: the corroboration join did not return for this subject, so there is only one side to show."},{"key":"heldAsProvenance","label":"Held as provenance","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"states":{"firstParty":"cannot-measure","corroboratedNow":"cannot-measure","singleSource":"cannot-measure","contradicted":"cannot-measure","changedSinceLastRead":"measured","divergence":"cannot-measure","heldAsProvenance":"cannot-measure"}},"changeLog":{"key":"changeLog","heading":"What changed, and when","state":"recorded","started":null,"note":"The ledger holds 6 recorded changes for Election: British Columbia & United Kingdom, the most recent on Sep 22, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact.","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-08T15:17:58.202118+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-08T15:17:58.202118+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-22T14:53:31.501988+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-22T14:53:31.501988+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00"}]},"verify":{"key":"verify","heading":"Verify it yourself","state":"measured","rest":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/truth/election-british-columbia-united-kingdom","mcp":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/mcp -X POST -H 'content-type: application/json' \\\n  -d '{\"jsonrpc\":\"2.0\",\"id\":1,\"method\":\"tools/call\",\"params\":{\"name\":\"get_truth_object\",\"arguments\":{\"topic\":\"election-british-columbia-united-kingdom\"}}}'","resource":null,"page":null,"note":"This page, GET /api/truth/election-british-columbia-united-kingdom and the get_truth_object tool are assembled by one builder, so what you fetch is what you are reading."},"limits":{"key":"limits","heading":"What this record does not tell you","state":"measured","derived":[{"section":"claims","text":"What independent sources agree on: we could not measure it. The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap."},{"section":"refereeGrades","text":"How our cited sensor has scored: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the per-subject accuracy check. We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Election: British Colu"},{"section":"ourAttention","text":"How closely we are watching: we could not measure it."},{"section":"ourRead.firstParty","text":"What the issuing authorities say: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the first-party read. No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},{"section":"ourRead.corroboratedNow","text":"What independent sources agree on: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the corroboration join. The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap."},{"section":"ourRead.singleSource","text":"What rests on one source: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the single-source tier. We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},{"section":"ourRead.contradicted","text":"What contradicts: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is no polarity-comparable pair. We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. 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