{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-quebec","title":"The Election: Quebec record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"quebec","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"quebec\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Quebec\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["quebec"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-06","generatedAt":"2026-09-06T13:15:55.179444+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-quebec and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/election-quebec so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"quebec\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"subject-not-in-tracked-entity-set","note":"unmeasured — \"quebec\" is this record's subject, but it is not in the current tracked-entity set, so we hold no sampled coverage to attribute. This is not a measured zero.","sampledForSubject":0,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":0,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["election"],"questionSet":["general","wins","majority","coalition","avenir","bec","seats","bernard","drainville","premier","following"]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":43,"outlets":28,"activeDays":12,"firstSeen":"2026-05-03","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-05","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":["canada"],"asserts":null,"assertionCoverage":0.186,"movesWith":[{"name":"canadian","together":26,"sharedDomains":["canada"]},{"name":"ontario","together":12,"sharedDomains":["canada"]},{"name":"calgary","together":10,"sharedDomains":["canada"]},{"name":"alberta","together":9,"sharedDomains":["canada"]},{"name":"canadians","together":9,"sharedDomains":["canada"]},{"name":"carney","together":9,"sharedDomains":["canada"]},{"name":"tariffs","together":11},{"name":"trump","together":11}],"movesWithLabels":["canadian","ontario","calgary","alberta","canadians","carney","tariffs","trump"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":32,"periods":[{"period":"2026-09","mentions":1},{"period":"2026","mentions":31}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"subject-not-in-tracked-entity-set","rowsNote":"unmeasured — \"quebec\" is this record's subject, but it is not in the current tracked-entity set, so we hold no sampled coverage to attribute. This is not a measured zero.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Quebec","slug":"election-quebec","questionCount":13,"questions":["Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?","Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?","Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?"],"mentions":32,"firstSeen":"2026-07-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-01","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-06","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"quebec\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Quebec\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"none-recorded","note":"Measured zero: the ledger holds no coverage-state transition for \"quebec\". We do not backfill history we did not record.","transitions":[]}}}