{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-republican-republican-party","title":"The Election: Republican & Republican Party record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"republican","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"republican\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Republican & Republican Party\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["republican","republican party"],"alsoDefensible":["republican party"],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-23","currency":{"state":"current","asOf":"2026-09-22","basis":{"asOf":"2026-09-23","newestObservationAt":"2026-09-22","newestObservationBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (record-floor)","ageDays":1,"expectedCadenceDays":44,"cadenceBasis":"this record's own observed cadence — 1 active day(s) over a 44-day window","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"measured"},"sentence":"This record is current: the newest source item is from 2026-09-22, inside its expected cadence of about one item every 44 days."},"generatedAt":"2026-09-23T23:28:11.455094+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-republican-republican-party and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/election-republican-republican-party so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"republican\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"none-event-relevant","note":"Measured zero after event-relevance filtering: we sampled 4 attributable rows for \"republican\" and not one could be shown to be about \"Election: Republican & Republican Party\" — each carried the subject's name and nothing else this record is about. They are withheld rather than served: a subject's general coverage is not this event's reporting, and serving it under this record's label would be worse than serving nothing. That is a count, not a gap.","sampledForSubject":4,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":4,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["election","party"],"questionSet":["candidate","house","seat"]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"record-floor","documents":1,"outlets":1,"activeDays":1,"firstSeen":"2026-08-10","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-08-10","end":"2026-09-22","activeDays":1,"basis":["active days is a FLOOR — the 1 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series","outlets is a FLOOR — the 1 distinct outlet(s) among the receipts on this record","documents is a FLOOR — the 1 receipt(s) on this record, not a corpus count","assertion mix is computed per EVENT by the event graph; it does not carry this subject"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":1017,"outlets":178,"activeDays":47,"since":"2026-04-20","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":[],"asserts":{"utterance":76,"election":73,"sanction-trade":30,"military-action":29,"legal-ruling":22,"meeting-visit":20},"assertionCoverage":0.305,"movesWith":[{"name":"trump","together":697,"verbs":{"sanction-trade":3}},{"name":"republicans","together":542,"verbs":{"meeting-visit":2}},{"name":"congress","together":501},{"name":"democrat","together":429},{"name":"president donald trump","together":400},{"name":"senate","together":399},{"name":"democrats","together":357},{"name":"white house","together":296}],"movesWithLabels":["trump","republicans","congress","democrat","president donald trump","senate","democrats","white house"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":2198,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":16},{"period":"2026","mentions":2182}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"republican\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Republican & Republican Party","slug":"election-republican-republican-party","questionCount":24,"questions":["Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 30% or more?","Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 25%-30%?","Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 50% or more?","Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 45%-50%?","Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?","Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?"],"mentions":2198,"firstSeen":"2026-08-10","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-23","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"republican\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Republican & Republican Party\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-10T21:50:35.161849+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-10T21:50:35.161849+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-15T14:53:06.946354+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-15T14:53:06.946354+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-15T14:53:06.946354+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-15T14:53:06.946354+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-22T14:53:31.501988+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-22T14:53:31.501988+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00"}]}},"sectionOrder":["definition","primaryDocuments","claims","theRecord","ourAttention","marketSensor","refereeGrades","ourRead","changeLog","limits","verify","provenance"],"definition":{"key":"definition","heading":"What this record is","state":"templated-from-structure","whatThisIs":"A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 9 domains, including World Wires, AI Tech and US Politics.","whyTracked":"We hold 1 document from 1 outlet over 1 active day. It runs through 9 coverage domains we watch, including World Wires, AI Tech, US Politics. 24 market questions price outcomes under the event bound to it.","coverageSince":{"date":"2026-08-10","status":"observed","text":"Our first document on this subject is dated Aug 10, 2026; the count above is everything since."},"notCovered":["Our attention, not the world's state. Every count here is a count of what our own sweep collected about republican.","1 outlet in our declared source universe — not the whole internet.","Market prices are the venue's number, cited and graded as an outside sensor. We publish no probability of our own on this record.","No claim on this subject in the current window was carried by three or more separate publishers, so nothing below rests on one."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"passed":["at least one market question bound to this record"],"failed":["a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","a claim carried by three or more separate publishers"],"conditions":[{"id":"first-party-read","text":"a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","passed":false},{"id":"independent-origins","text":"a claim carried by three or more separate publishers","passed":false},{"id":"bound-market-question","text":"at least one market question bound to this record","passed":true}]},"stateNote":"No written definition yet — this line is generated from what we hold, so it cannot claim more than the record does."},"claims":{"key":"claims","heading":"What independent sources agree on","state":"cannot-measure","source":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these rows","window":{"start":"2026-09-17","end":"2026-09-23"},"counts":{"clustersTotal":852,"corroborated":0,"published":60,"clustersWithAggregatorOrigin":32,"clustersWithClaimUrl":59,"originsWithReceiptUrl":423,"originsPublished":428,"recordRows":0,"singleSource":0},"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"dropped":0,"note":"The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap.","singleSourceVisible":true,"rows":[]},"primaryDocuments":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[],"key":"primaryDocuments","heading":"What the issuing authorities publish","undatedCount":0,"undatedNote":null},"marketSensor":{"key":"marketSensor","heading":"What prediction markets price","state":"priced","joinPerformed":true,"eventSlug":"election-republican-republican-party","counts":{"eventReceipts":6,"entityCaptures":0,"served":6,"live":6,"expired":0},"newestPriceStamp":"2026-09-23","venueStatusNote":null,"note":"6 market questions ride this record, newest price stamp Sep 23, 2026. A price is the venue's number, cited as one outside sensor and graded against how reality resolved; it is never a probability of ours.","rows":[{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 30% or more?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-tx-25-house-election-by-30-or-more","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":10.65,"pricedAt":"2026-09-23","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2027-07-01","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 25%-30%?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-tx-25-house-election-by-25-30","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":2.65,"pricedAt":"2026-09-23","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2027-07-01","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 50% or more?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-wy-al-house-election-by-50-or-more","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":7,"pricedAt":"2026-09-23","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-11-04","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 45%-50%?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-wy-al-house-election-by-45-50","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":10.5,"pricedAt":"2026-09-23","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-11-04","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-43-house-seat","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":3.45,"pricedAt":"2026-08-18","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-11-03","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-win-the-co-01-house-seat","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":2.1,"pricedAt":"2026-08-21","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-11-03","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"}],"basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred"},"refereeGrades":{"key":"refereeGrades","heading":"How our cited sensor has scored","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the per-subject accuracy check","grades":[],"note":"We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Election: Republican & Republican Party has been scored, so this section can say nothing about it on its own. The scoring anyone can read is at https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data.","where":"https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data"},"theRecord":{"label":"The record itself","basis":["active days is a FLOOR — the 1 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series","outlets is a FLOOR — the 1 distinct outlet(s) among the receipts on this record","documents is a FLOOR — the 1 receipt(s) on this record, not a corpus count","assertion mix is computed per EVENT by the event graph; it does not carry this subject"],"state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"record-floor","documents":1,"outlets":1,"activeDays":1,"firstSeen":"2026-08-10","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-08-10","end":"2026-09-22","activeDays":1,"basis":["active days is a FLOOR — the 1 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series","outlets is a FLOOR — the 1 distinct outlet(s) among the receipts on this record","documents is a FLOOR — the 1 receipt(s) on this record, not a corpus count","assertion mix is computed per EVENT by the event graph; it does not carry this subject"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":1017,"outlets":178,"activeDays":47,"since":"2026-04-20","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":[],"asserts":{"utterance":76,"election":73,"sanction-trade":30,"military-action":29,"legal-ruling":22,"meeting-visit":20},"assertionCoverage":0.305,"movesWith":[{"name":"trump","together":697,"verbs":{"sanction-trade":3}},{"name":"republicans","together":542,"verbs":{"meeting-visit":2}},{"name":"congress","together":501},{"name":"democrat","together":429},{"name":"president donald trump","together":400},{"name":"senate","together":399},{"name":"democrats","together":357},{"name":"white house","together":296}],"movesWithLabels":["trump","republicans","congress","democrat","president donald trump","senate","democrats","white house"],"provenance":"curated","key":"theRecord","heading":"What we have collected","status":"measured","basisNote":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting"},"ourAttention":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":2198,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":16},{"period":"2026","mentions":2182}],"key":"ourAttention","heading":"How closely we are watching","state":"cannot-measure","directionWord":"insufficient_history","glyph":""},"ourRead":{"key":"ourRead","heading":"Our read","basisNote":"our analysis of this record's own dated sections; ours, and labeled ours — never a forecast, and never a probability of ours","asOf":"2026-09-23","firstParty":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},"corroboratedNow":{"state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the corroboration join","text":"The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap."},"singleSource":{"state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 10 recorded changes for Election: Republican & Republican Party, the most recent on Sep 22, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},"divergence":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the corroborated set","text":"We cannot set the sensor beside our own record: the corroboration join did not return for this subject, so there is only one side to show."},"heldAsProvenance":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."},"inputsDropped":[{"input":"single-source reporting","why":"no press-claims ledger exists for this subject; the corroborated feed does not publish uncleared tiers"},{"input":"entity priced captures","why":"our own sweep captured no priced row for this subject; the market rows here come from the event's venue receipts"}],"synthesis":null,"synthesisNote":"No synthesis is written for this record. A synthesis is our own paragraph over corroborated claims with receipts; until it is computed, the clauses above are the whole read and nothing is templated to look like one.","basis":[{"kind":"market sensor","text":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 50% or more? — 7% (polymarket)","asOf":"2026-09-23"}],"clauses":[{"key":"firstParty","label":"What the issuing authorities say","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},{"key":"corroboratedNow","label":"What independent sources agree on","state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the corroboration join","text":"The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap."},{"key":"singleSource","label":"What rests on one source","state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},{"key":"contradicted","label":"What contradicts","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},{"key":"changedSinceLastRead","label":"What changed","state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 10 recorded changes for Election: Republican & Republican Party, the most recent on Sep 22, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},{"key":"divergence","label":"The outside sensor, beside our record","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the corroborated set","text":"We cannot set the sensor beside our own record: the corroboration join did not return for this subject, so there is only one side to show."},{"key":"heldAsProvenance","label":"Held as provenance","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"states":{"firstParty":"cannot-measure","corroboratedNow":"cannot-measure","singleSource":"cannot-measure","contradicted":"cannot-measure","changedSinceLastRead":"measured","divergence":"cannot-measure","heldAsProvenance":"cannot-measure"}},"changeLog":{"key":"changeLog","heading":"What changed, and when","state":"recorded","started":null,"note":"The ledger holds 10 recorded changes for Election: Republican & Republican Party, the most recent on Sep 22, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact.","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-10T21:50:35.161849+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-10T21:50:35.161849+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-15T14:53:06.946354+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-15T14:53:06.946354+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-14T14:54:33.373006+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-15T14:53:06.946354+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-15T14:53:06.946354+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-22T14:53:31.501988+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-22T14:53:31.501988+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-21T14:52:19.336181+00:00"}]},"verify":{"key":"verify","heading":"Verify it yourself","state":"measured","rest":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/truth/election-republican-republican-party","mcp":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/mcp -X POST -H 'content-type: application/json' \\\n  -d '{\"jsonrpc\":\"2.0\",\"id\":1,\"method\":\"tools/call\",\"params\":{\"name\":\"get_truth_object\",\"arguments\":{\"topic\":\"election-republican-republican-party\"}}}'","resource":null,"page":null,"note":"This page, GET /api/truth/election-republican-republican-party and the get_truth_object tool are assembled by one builder, so what you fetch is what you are reading."},"limits":{"key":"limits","heading":"What this record does not tell you","state":"measured","derived":[{"section":"claims","text":"What independent sources agree on: we could not measure it. The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap."},{"section":"refereeGrades","text":"How our cited sensor has scored: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the per-subject accuracy check. We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Election: Republican &"},{"section":"ourAttention","text":"How closely we are watching: we could not measure it."},{"section":"ourRead.firstParty","text":"What the issuing authorities say: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the first-party read. No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},{"section":"ourRead.corroboratedNow","text":"What independent sources agree on: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the corroboration join. The maintained record holds no claim rows for this subject in the current window. That is a count, not a gap."},{"section":"ourRead.singleSource","text":"What rests on one source: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the single-source tier. We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},{"section":"ourRead.contradicted","text":"What contradicts: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is no polarity-comparable pair. We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},{"section":"ourRead.divergence","text":"The outside sensor, beside our record: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the corroborated set. We cannot set the sensor beside our own record: the corroboration join did not return for this subject, so there is only one side to show."},{"section":"ourRead.heldAsProvenance","text":"Held as provenance: we could not measure it. No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"standing":[],"note":"9 sections on this record came back \"we could not look\". Each is named below with the pass that failed, generated from the section's own state rather than typed here."},"provenance":{"key":"provenance","heading":"Where this record comes from","state":"measured","asOf":"2026-09-23","generatedAt":"2026-09-23T23:28:11.455094+00:00","recordVersion":"sb.tr-b2cf5066","releaseId":null,"builtAt":null,"releaseState":"cannot-measure","releaseNote":"the release manifest is a deploy-time asset (/release.json), stamped on the served response, never bundled into the record at build time","slaRow":null,"slaNote":"No freshness clock is registered for this record's own inputs yet; the sections above each carry the date they speak for."},"record":{"schema":"sb.truth-record.v1","slug":"election-republican-republican-party","kind":"event","subjectState":"active","tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read","at least 3 independent publishers on a joined claim"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"tierChangedAt":"2026-09-23","previousTier":"standard","subject":{"label":"Election: Republican & Republican Party","aliases":["election-republican-republican-party","election: republican & republican party"],"eventKey":"election-republican-republican-party","entityKeys":["election-republican-republican-party","election: republican & republican party"],"mergedSlugs":[],"eventSlugs":["election-republican-republican-party"]},"definition":{"whatThisIs":"Election: Republican & Republican Party is an event Signal Bureau maintains a record of (election). The record carries 1 receipt(s) — a floor, not a corpus count.","whyTracked":"Registered in the publication registry, which is deny-by-default: a subject is served only once it is registered.","coverageSince":"2026-08-10","coverageSinceBasis":"first counted document (record-floor)","coverageSinceState":"measured","coverageSinceReason":null,"coverageSinceAlternates":[{"date":"2026-09-23","basis":"registered in the publication registry"}],"notCovered":["No probability of ours: this record reports what sources and markets say, and grades them. It does not forecast.","No primary-source layer is registered for this subject, so no first-party document is read for it.","The calibration referee has graded nothing on this subject, so no accuracy record is shown."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read","at least 3 independent publishers on a joined claim"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"state":"templated-from-structure","reason":""},"claims":[],"primaryDocuments":[],"marketSensor":{"state":"priced","reason":"","questions":[{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 50% or more?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-wy-al-house-election-by-50-or-more","pricePct":7,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-23","endDate":"2026-11-04","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 45%-50%?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-wy-al-house-election-by-45-50","pricePct":10.5,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-23","endDate":"2026-11-04","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 30% or more?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-tx-25-house-election-by-30-or-more","pricePct":10.65,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-23","endDate":"2027-07-01","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 25%-30%?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-tx-25-house-election-by-25-30","pricePct":2.65,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-23","endDate":"2027-07-01","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-win-the-co-01-house-seat","pricePct":2.1,"priceSeenAt":"2026-08-21","endDate":"2026-11-03","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-43-house-seat","pricePct":3.45,"priceSeenAt":"2026-08-18","endDate":"2026-11-03","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"}],"venue":"polymarket","priceAsOf":"2026-09-23","dropped":0,"note":"prices are a sensor we cite and grade, never a probability of ours (docs/decisions/20260817 Not a Forecasting Shop)"},"refereeGrades":[],"theRecord":{"state":"measured","reason":"","documents":1,"outlets":1,"activeDays":1,"firstSeen":"2026-08-10","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","assertionMix":null,"countsBasis":"record-floor","receiptsOnRecord":1,"withheldFutureDated":0,"droppedInputs":0,"basis":["active days is a FLOOR — the 1 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series","outlets is a FLOOR — the 1 distinct outlet(s) among the receipts on this record","documents is a FLOOR — the 1 receipt(s) on this record, not a corpus count","assertion mix is computed per EVENT by the event graph; it does not carry this subject"]},"ourAttention":{"state":"cannot-measure","level":null,"direction":"unknown","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"},"ourRead":{"state":"measured","reason":"","corroboratedNow":[],"corroboratedCount":0,"singleSource":[],"singleSourceCount":0,"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","items":[],"reason":"no polarity-comparable pair — this record carries no claims"},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","reason":"","added":[],"removed":[],"tierMoves":[],"against":"2026-09-23"},"divergence":{"state":"measured","reason":"","sensor":{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 50% or more?","pricePct":7,"venue":"polymarket","seenAt":"2026-09-23"},"corroboratedClaims":0,"text":"The crowd prices “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 50% or more?” at 7.0% on polymarket (seen 2026-09-23), beside 0 independently corroborated claim(s) on this record. The price is a sensor we cite and grade, not a probability of ours."},"heldAsProvenance":[],"inputsDropped":[],"synthesis":null,"synthesisState":"withheld-by-design — synthesis runs only at full tier behind the coherence and no-advice gates, which this builder does not run","basis":[{"artifact":"cross_domain/analysis/whats_true_latest.json","used":"claims, tiers, independent origins","state":"read"},{"artifact":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_market_receipts.json","used":"market sensor (event side)","state":"priced"},{"artifact":"web/signal-bureau/lib/corpus_evidence.json","used":"receipts and priced captures (entity side)","state":"read"}]},"sectionStates":{"definition":{"state":"templated-from-structure","reason":""},"claims":{"state":"no-cluster-joined","reason":""},"primaryDocuments":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},"marketSensor":{"state":"priced","reason":""},"refereeGrades":{"state":"never-published-on","reason":""},"theRecord":{"state":"measured","reason":""},"ourAttention":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"},"ourRead":{"state":"measured","reason":""}},"currency":{"state":"current","asOf":"2026-09-22","basis":{"asOf":"2026-09-23","newestObservationAt":"2026-09-22","newestObservationBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (record-floor)","ageDays":1,"expectedCadenceDays":44,"cadenceBasis":"this record's own observed cadence — 1 active day(s) over a 44-day window","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"measured"},"sentence":"This record is current: the newest source item is from 2026-09-22, inside its expected cadence of about one item every 44 days."},"scope":{"state":"measured","reason":null,"countsBasis":"record-floor","countsWindow":{"from":"2026-08-10","to":"2026-09-22","activeDays":1,"documents":1,"outlets":1},"claimsWindow":{"from":"2026-09-17","to":"2026-09-23"},"coverageStart":{"state":"measured","date":"2026-08-10","basis":"first counted document (record-floor)","alternates":[{"date":"2026-09-23","basis":"registered in the publication registry"}],"reason":null},"retiredAt":null,"receipts":{"withReceipt":0,"total":0,"cannotMeasure":0},"claimTiers":[],"claimsShown":0,"claimsDropped":0,"claimsAtPublishedTiers":0,"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"note":"This record's counts are the record-floor for this subject — 1 document(s) over 1 active day(s) from 2026-08-10 to 2026-09-22; its 0 claim(s) come from the corroboration run covering 2026-09-17 to 2026-09-23 and include every agreement tier (0 of them at the published tiers strong, moderate), so a cumulative archive total published on another surface counts a different set over a different window and is not expected to match this one. Coverage of this subject begins 2026-08-10 — first counted document (record-floor); other structures date it 2026-09-23 (registered in the publication registry)."},"limits":[{"section":"primaryDocuments","state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},{"section":"ourAttention","state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"}],"verify":{"rest":"GET /api/truth/election-republican-republican-party","mcp":"get_truth_record {\"slug\": \"election-republican-republican-party\"}"},"claimsMeta":{"state":"no-cluster-joined","reason":"","dropped":0,"note":"the corroboration engine was read for 2026-09-17..2026-09-23 and no cluster joined this subject — a reading, not a blind spot"},"primaryDocumentsMeta":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},"refereeGradesMeta":{"state":"never-published-on","reason":"","counts":{"published":0,"graded":0},"note":"the referee ledger was read end to end; the house has never published a probability on this subject"},"changeLog":[{"at":"2026-09-23","what":"tier promoted minimal → standard"},{"at":"2026-09-23","what":"record created"}],"provenance":{"generatedAt":"2026-09-23T23:29:35.443437+00:00","asOf":"2026-09-23","windowStart":"2026-09-17","windowEnd":"2026-09-23","inputs":[{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/publication_state.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-23T23:28:11.455094+00:00","sha":"df5a5dce8767cd74"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/signal_bureau_snapshot.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-23T23:28:11.455094+00:00","sha":"df96975ba7ad4289"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/corpus_evidence.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-23T17:44:08.225517+00:00","sha":"1277a574e4573fa9"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_graph.json","generatedAt":null,"sha":"5721b3b6f3de4da0"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_market_receipts.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-23","sha":"657e467eec2d8eb2"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/entity_trends.json","generatedAt":null,"sha":"8b0ecfe6003eb44e"},{"path":"cross_domain/analysis/whats_true_latest.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-23T08:03:00.069482Z","sha":null},{"path":"registry/truth_sources.yaml","generatedAt":null,"sha":"3439a8cab13733c0"},{"path":"cross_domain/predictions","generatedAt":null,"sha":"3de550931392c9b6"}],"recordVersion":"09d92b9a4f35c708"}},"scope":{"oneRecord":"lib/truth_records/election-republican-republican-party.json (sb.truth-record.v1) is the ONE producer of this subject's document count, outlet count, coverage window and claim rows. `record` is that file, verbatim. `exhibit` is the sb.truth.v1 view over it — the same numbers under the same names, plus the layers only the exhibit carries (first-party documents, press, our attention measurement, market belief).","sharedValues":["documents","outlets","activeDays","firstSeen","lastSeen","coverage.start","coverage.end","claims — row count, and each row's id, tier and claimUrl"],"differentByName":[{"key":"exhibit.layers.record.archive","measures":["documents","outlets","activeDays","since"],"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation","why":"a wider window than the maintained record's, so it is a DIFFERENT measure and never shares a key with it. Compare it to the record's counts and you are comparing two questions."}],"parityGate":"web/signal-bureau/scripts/check_truth_record_door.mjs §7 — a key carried by both under one name with two values fails the build."},"restPath":"/api/truth/election-republican-republican-party","mcpTool":"get_truth_record","recordState":"served","maintainedRecord":{"schema":"sb.truth-record.v1","slug":"election-republican-republican-party","kind":"event","subjectState":"active","tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read","at least 3 independent publishers on a joined claim"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"tierChangedAt":"2026-09-23","previousTier":"standard","subject":{"label":"Election: Republican & Republican Party","aliases":["election-republican-republican-party","election: republican & republican party"],"eventKey":"election-republican-republican-party","entityKeys":["election-republican-republican-party","election: republican & republican party"],"mergedSlugs":[],"eventSlugs":["election-republican-republican-party"]},"definition":{"whatThisIs":"Election: Republican & Republican Party is an event Signal Bureau maintains a record of (election). The record carries 1 receipt(s) — a floor, not a corpus count.","whyTracked":"Registered in the publication registry, which is deny-by-default: a subject is served only once it is registered.","coverageSince":"2026-08-10","coverageSinceBasis":"first counted document (record-floor)","coverageSinceState":"measured","coverageSinceReason":null,"coverageSinceAlternates":[{"date":"2026-09-23","basis":"registered in the publication registry"}],"notCovered":["No probability of ours: this record reports what sources and markets say, and grades them. It does not forecast.","No primary-source layer is registered for this subject, so no first-party document is read for it.","The calibration referee has graded nothing on this subject, so no accuracy record is shown."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read","at least 3 independent publishers on a joined claim"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"state":"templated-from-structure","reason":""},"claims":[],"primaryDocuments":[],"marketSensor":{"state":"priced","reason":"","questions":[{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 50% or more?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-wy-al-house-election-by-50-or-more","pricePct":7,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-23","endDate":"2026-11-04","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 45%-50%?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-wy-al-house-election-by-45-50","pricePct":10.5,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-23","endDate":"2026-11-04","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 30% or more?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-tx-25-house-election-by-30-or-more","pricePct":10.65,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-23","endDate":"2027-07-01","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 25%-30%?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-tx-25-house-election-by-25-30","pricePct":2.65,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-23","endDate":"2027-07-01","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-win-the-co-01-house-seat","pricePct":2.1,"priceSeenAt":"2026-08-21","endDate":"2026-11-03","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"},{"question":"Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-43-house-seat","pricePct":3.45,"priceSeenAt":"2026-08-18","endDate":"2026-11-03","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:election-republican-republican-party"}],"venue":"polymarket","priceAsOf":"2026-09-23","dropped":0,"note":"prices are a sensor we cite and grade, never a probability of ours (docs/decisions/20260817 Not a Forecasting Shop)"},"refereeGrades":[],"theRecord":{"state":"measured","reason":"","documents":1,"outlets":1,"activeDays":1,"firstSeen":"2026-08-10","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","assertionMix":null,"countsBasis":"record-floor","receiptsOnRecord":1,"withheldFutureDated":0,"droppedInputs":0,"basis":["active days is a FLOOR — the 1 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series","outlets is a FLOOR — the 1 distinct outlet(s) among the receipts on this record","documents is a FLOOR — the 1 receipt(s) on this record, not a corpus count","assertion mix is computed per EVENT by the event graph; it does not carry this subject"]},"ourAttention":{"state":"cannot-measure","level":null,"direction":"unknown","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"},"ourRead":{"state":"measured","reason":"","corroboratedNow":[],"corroboratedCount":0,"singleSource":[],"singleSourceCount":0,"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","items":[],"reason":"no polarity-comparable pair — this record carries no claims"},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","reason":"","added":[],"removed":[],"tierMoves":[],"against":"2026-09-23"},"divergence":{"state":"measured","reason":"","sensor":{"question":"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 50% or more?","pricePct":7,"venue":"polymarket","seenAt":"2026-09-23"},"corroboratedClaims":0,"text":"The crowd prices “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 50% or more?” at 7.0% on polymarket (seen 2026-09-23), beside 0 independently corroborated claim(s) on this record. The price is a sensor we cite and grade, not a probability of ours."},"heldAsProvenance":[],"inputsDropped":[],"synthesis":null,"synthesisState":"withheld-by-design — synthesis runs only at full tier behind the coherence and no-advice gates, which this builder does not run","basis":[{"artifact":"cross_domain/analysis/whats_true_latest.json","used":"claims, tiers, independent origins","state":"read"},{"artifact":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_market_receipts.json","used":"market sensor (event side)","state":"priced"},{"artifact":"web/signal-bureau/lib/corpus_evidence.json","used":"receipts and priced captures (entity side)","state":"read"}]},"sectionStates":{"definition":{"state":"templated-from-structure","reason":""},"claims":{"state":"no-cluster-joined","reason":""},"primaryDocuments":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},"marketSensor":{"state":"priced","reason":""},"refereeGrades":{"state":"never-published-on","reason":""},"theRecord":{"state":"measured","reason":""},"ourAttention":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"},"ourRead":{"state":"measured","reason":""}},"currency":{"state":"current","asOf":"2026-09-22","basis":{"asOf":"2026-09-23","newestObservationAt":"2026-09-22","newestObservationBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (record-floor)","ageDays":1,"expectedCadenceDays":44,"cadenceBasis":"this record's own observed cadence — 1 active day(s) over a 44-day window","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"measured"},"sentence":"This record is current: the newest source item is from 2026-09-22, inside its expected cadence of about one item every 44 days."},"scope":{"state":"measured","reason":null,"countsBasis":"record-floor","countsWindow":{"from":"2026-08-10","to":"2026-09-22","activeDays":1,"documents":1,"outlets":1},"claimsWindow":{"from":"2026-09-17","to":"2026-09-23"},"coverageStart":{"state":"measured","date":"2026-08-10","basis":"first counted document (record-floor)","alternates":[{"date":"2026-09-23","basis":"registered in the publication registry"}],"reason":null},"retiredAt":null,"receipts":{"withReceipt":0,"total":0,"cannotMeasure":0},"claimTiers":[],"claimsShown":0,"claimsDropped":0,"claimsAtPublishedTiers":0,"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"note":"This record's counts are the record-floor for this subject — 1 document(s) over 1 active day(s) from 2026-08-10 to 2026-09-22; its 0 claim(s) come from the corroboration run covering 2026-09-17 to 2026-09-23 and include every agreement tier (0 of them at the published tiers strong, moderate), so a cumulative archive total published on another surface counts a different set over a different window and is not expected to match this one. Coverage of this subject begins 2026-08-10 — first counted document (record-floor); other structures date it 2026-09-23 (registered in the publication registry)."},"limits":[{"section":"primaryDocuments","state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},{"section":"ourAttention","state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"}],"verify":{"rest":"GET /api/truth/election-republican-republican-party","mcp":"get_truth_record {\"slug\": \"election-republican-republican-party\"}"},"claimsMeta":{"state":"no-cluster-joined","reason":"","dropped":0,"note":"the corroboration engine was read for 2026-09-17..2026-09-23 and no cluster joined this subject — a reading, not a blind spot"},"primaryDocumentsMeta":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},"refereeGradesMeta":{"state":"never-published-on","reason":"","counts":{"published":0,"graded":0},"note":"the referee ledger was read end to end; the house has never published a probability on this subject"},"changeLog":[{"at":"2026-09-23","what":"tier promoted minimal → standard"},{"at":"2026-09-23","what":"record created"}],"provenance":{"generatedAt":"2026-09-23T23:29:35.443437+00:00","asOf":"2026-09-23","windowStart":"2026-09-17","windowEnd":"2026-09-23","inputs":[{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/publication_state.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-23T23:28:11.455094+00:00","sha":"df5a5dce8767cd74"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/signal_bureau_snapshot.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-23T23:28:11.455094+00:00","sha":"df96975ba7ad4289"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/corpus_evidence.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-23T17:44:08.225517+00:00","sha":"1277a574e4573fa9"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_graph.json","generatedAt":null,"sha":"5721b3b6f3de4da0"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_market_receipts.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-23","sha":"657e467eec2d8eb2"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/entity_trends.json","generatedAt":null,"sha":"8b0ecfe6003eb44e"},{"path":"cross_domain/analysis/whats_true_latest.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-23T08:03:00.069482Z","sha":null},{"path":"registry/truth_sources.yaml","generatedAt":null,"sha":"3439a8cab13733c0"},{"path":"cross_domain/predictions","generatedAt":null,"sha":"3de550931392c9b6"}],"recordVersion":"09d92b9a4f35c708"}}}