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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Muslim

A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 3 domains, including Turkey, World Wires and US Elections 2028.

Coverage of Muslim is holding steady : 4 signals on the latest tracked day, down 20% from its three-week baseline of 5, across 4 domains (up from 3 a week ago). That makes it the #266 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

What’s changed

5 of the last 7 tracked days ran below the three-week baseline — a sustained cooling, not a one-day dip.

What the reporting says

Across 139 tracked stories from 37 outlets, reporting on Muslim most often describes public statements (17), military action (11), meetings or visits (8), legal rulings (5), ceasefire or deal (3), elections (2).

It shows up alongside Israel (52), Gaza (25), India (38), Hindu (26), Turkey (23), Turkish (21), Middle East (18), Saudi Arabia (17).

Two steps out: Iran (through Israel, 52 shared stories on the weaker link); Netanyahu (through Israel, 52 shared stories on the weaker link); Oil (through Israel, 52 shared stories on the weaker link); Trump (through Israel, 52 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Aug 14, with coverage on 11 separate days — concentrated in India South Asia and Turkey.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Aug 18 – Aug 31, 9 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 31, 4:32 PM PT