What changed, for the person who has to act on it.The same record, as data.

Watch · Strait of Hormuz

SigB keeps a sourced record of a domain and gives each reader the part that matters to them. Contested reports are shown as contested.

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From the Hormuz record, as built

  • 1,598 claims kept in the Hormuz reporting ledger, each with its sources
  • 22 reported separately by three or more sources; 83 by two; 1,493 by one so far
  • 36 claims sit beside another report that gives a different answer
  • Ledger computed 3 Oct 2026; newest report seen 1 Oct 2026

On the Hormuz record, 5 of 5 published claims link straight to the source they came from today.

This record is not reliably current: its newest source item is from 2026-10-04, but 3 layers lag it: the reporting-consensus ledger (through 2026-10-02, 3 days behind), the issuing-authority documents (through 2026-10-03, 2 days behind) and one more.

Open the Hormuz record

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Strait of Hormuz

From the reporting ledger · computed 3 Oct 2026 · newest report 1 Oct 2026

The ledger holds 1,598 claims about the strait: 22 reported separately by three or more sources, 83 by two, 1,493 by one so far. 36 sit beside a report that gives a different answer. The newest of the best-supported are below.

From the live Hormuz record: on Polymarket, “US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?” was priced at 20.5% when last seen (2026-10-04). That is Polymarket’s price, quoted as published. SigB publishes no probability of its own.

Set aside · 9 claims, each with why
  • Iraq is importing gasoline via Syrian port to bypass the closed Strait of Hormuz. Every report came from outlets that do not cover this subject.
  • An Iranian commercial ship was struck near Strait of Hormuz with 1 dead. Every report came from outlets that do not cover this subject.
  • One person was killed in a ship strike on the Strait of Hormuz. Every report came from outlets that do not cover this subject.

Open the full Hormuz Watch

GET https://sigb.ai/api/record/hormuz

{
  "schema": "sb.truth-record.v1",
  "slug": "hormuz",
  "currency": {
    "state": "not-reliably-current",
    "asOf": "2026-10-04"
  },
  "claims": {
    "count": 5
  },
  "primaryDocuments": {
    "count": 3
  },
  "changeLog": {
    "count": 40,
    "newest": {
      "at": "2026-10-05",
      "what": "claims changed: +2 −8, 0 tier move(s)"
    }
  },
  "marketSensor": {
    "question": "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?",
    "venue": "polymarket",
    "pricePct": 20.5,
    "priceSeenAt": "2026-10-04",
    "note": "cited, never a probability of ours"
  }
}

A real slice of the maintained Hormuz record, read from the same file this page was built from. The Person view's reading comes from the same record's reporting ledger.

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One record, open to inspection

The Hormuz record, as it stands today

The record is rebuilt from our data on every deploy. News reporting, our own coverage count and prediction-market prices are kept as separate layers, each with its source. Software reads the same record over MCP.

How long we’ve kept it

134 days

Tracked as an event since 2026-05-24

In our daily read of 2026-10-05, it came up 98 times across 29 of the subject areas we cover.

Our coverage right now

steady

Today: 25% below its 3-week baseline

One day’s count; over the past seven days the volume has not moved enough to call a change. That measures our attention, meaning how much our sources write about the strait, not the strait’s condition.

Prediction markets on it

33 markets

Questions we have cited since 2026-05-24. Their prices are the markets’ own, never our estimate.

Inspect the full record: every layer, every receipt

One record, several readers

The same report can matter now to one reader and be background to another. Each Watch declares its viewpoint in advance, so you can see why a report lands where it does.

  • Maritime operator

    Is passage through the Strait of Hormuz becoming more or less available, safe or costly, and why?

  • Energy desk

    Is Gulf oil and gas supply at risk this month, and why?

  • Escalation analyst

    Is the conflict between the United States and Iran escalating or easing?

Sorting for this viewpoint is not published yet. It is built every day and checked against what happens next before we publish it. Until then nothing on this page is placed for one viewpoint over another; the claims below are the same for every reader.

Replaced, never erased

When a later report replaces a claim, the record keeps the first one, marked, with the date and the reason.

See every claim in the Hormuz record

From the Hormuz reporting ledger

Said on 5 Sept 2026: Under the latest proposal, Tehran would be able to intervene if necessary with any inbound traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, while outbound traffic would follow a route between Iran and Oman with exit clearance granted through Oman after notifying Iran.

Replaced 3 Oct 2026 by: A proposed deal between Iran and Oman would give Tehran control over ships entering the Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz.

Why: A later report in the same thread replaced it. The first claim stays on the record, marked replaced. The ledger keeps 104 replaced claims this way.

Built to be read by software

MCP and HTTP, versioned schema, limits published.

Machine documentation

tools/call get_topic_record {"subject":"hormuz"}

{
  "schema": "sb.truth-record.v1",
  "slug": "hormuz",
  "currency": {
    "state": "not-reliably-current",
    "asOf": "2026-10-04"
  },
  "claims": {
    "count": 5
  },
  "primaryDocuments": {
    "count": 3
  },
  "changeLog": {
    "count": 40,
    "newest": {
      "at": "2026-10-05",
      "what": "claims changed: +2 −8, 0 tier move(s)"
    }
  },
  "marketSensor": {
    "question": "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?",
    "venue": "polymarket",
    "pricePct": 20.5,
    "priceSeenAt": "2026-10-04",
    "note": "cited, never a probability of ours"
  }
}

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Current entity and event state over MCP and REST. Every published claim names where it came from; where a direct link to the source exists, the record carries it. No key for reads.

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Daily briefs, the wire, and grounded answers. On the Hormuz record, 5 of 5 published claims link straight to the source they came from today.

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Today’s brief · Oct 5, 2026 · updated 9:01 PM PT

Today’s brief is published.

Super Intelligence crossed 11 domains on 32 reports — auto, world wires, crypto defi. Coverage ran 8.3 times its 7-day baseline. It reached europe politics coverage for the first time. Crypto Briefing: “Trump names Jay Clayton AI czar to lead new Super Intelligence Force”. SiliconANGLE: “Trump launches Super Intelligence Force with Jay Clayton as AI czar”.

Read the full brief, including where the money and the news disagree · Ask about anything

We keep a source-traced record. The market prices in it are one labeled sensor: quoted as the markets’ own and graded in public against how events resolve: the calibration record.

The “verticals registered” tile counts every subject area we have set up; only some are read every day. Today that is all of them. The entity count is a published cut of the most-covered names. The full set we track is larger.

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  5. Corrections. A replaced claim is marked, never erased.

The five steps in detail