What’s happening, as one record each.
Signal Bureau resolves every framing of the same event — a headline, a brief, a crowd question — into one record, the same way it resolves every alias of a name into one entity. These are the events it is tracking now, with honest coverage counts. As of 2026-08-31 · live snapshot.
The standing watches
Curated event · 4,808 matched mentions · 87 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-30
Military action · 1,531 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-20
Diplomacy · 1,182 matched mentions · 41 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-28
Curated event · 187 matched mentions · 38 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-29
Election · 567 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-27
Curated event · 799 matched mentions · 7 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-22
Curated event · 649 matched mentions · 11 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-13
Election · 127 matched mentions · 23 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-30
Curated event · 25 matched mentions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-06
Curated event · 64 matched mentions · 22 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-31
Rate decision · 50 matched mentions · 33 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-29
Curated event · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-18
Economic indicator · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-16
Auto-tracked events
Surfaced mechanically from news coverage — ranked by how much the world is covering them, not by market volume.
Disaster · 862 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-01
Product launch · 490 matched mentions · 13 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-26
Product launch · 9 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-29
Product launch · 962 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-30
Product launch · 391 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-26
Regulatory action · 5 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-27
Legal ruling · 65 matched mentions · 1 crowd question · last seen 2026-08-21
Funding round · 3,286 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-25
Merger & acquisition · 5 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-19
Disaster · 719 matched mentions · 34 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-29
Product launch · 469 matched mentions · 22 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-18
Ceasefire & peace talks · 861 matched mentions · 17 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-19
Product launch · 34 matched mentions · 17 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-18
Military action · 839 matched mentions · 4 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-24
Economic indicator · 192 matched mentions · 32 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-28
Product launch · 71 matched mentions · 6 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-24
What the crowd is pricing
Surfaced from prediction-market pricing — price ladders and market clusters the crowd is actively pricing. We cite these as a consensus sensor, not events we’ve independently reported.
Curated event · 370 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-31
Election · 151 matched mentions · 28 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-22
Election · 33 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-31
Election · 49 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-27
Election · 496 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-30
Dormant records
The crowd hasn’t priced these in over two weeks. The records stay — one event, one record, continuously maintained — but we won’t call them live when they aren’t. Each card shows when it was last priced.
Funding round · 19 matched mentions · 18 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-09
Legal ruling · 90 matched mentions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-04
Disaster · 375 matched mentions · 16 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-13
Economic indicator · 33 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-07
Funding round · 333 matched mentions · 11 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-03
Resignation · 220 matched mentions · 1 crowd question · dormant — last priced 2026-08-05
Election · 163 matched mentions · 26 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-09
Rate decision · 476 matched mentions · 25 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-11
Economic indicator · 491 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-15
Funding round · 39 matched mentions · 20 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-06
Economic indicator · 789 matched mentions · 19 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-18
Product launch · 23 matched mentions · 19 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-11
Election · 13 matched mentions · 17 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-12
Election · 33 matched mentions · 16 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-10
Economic indicator · 30 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-15
Rate decision · 341 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-11
Crowd questions are cited as a public consensus sensor. Informational only — not advice.