SigB · Ask

Ask the engine

Ask anything about what we track. You get what we know, how we know it, and what new information would update the record at the next cycle — grounded in what’s actually happening in the news right now.

The first 25 answers are free on a key you mint yourself in one tap — no card, for the life of the key (they don’t reset). After that, each answer is one Read at $0.25, on a billing arrangement you open; nothing is charged without one. Pricing For information only, not advice.

Answers are published at an unlisted public link so you can share them (recent ones may appear on this page; stale links expire to a fresh re-ask after ~36 hours). Don’t include personal or confidential information in your question. Privacy & deletion

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When the question supports it, a read contains

The state of play: what’s actually happening on your question, grounded in tracked coverage — never a hot take, and never a probability of ours.
The evidence: the live headlines, article text, and the desk’s own morning synthesis the read is grounded in, source-checked by a second model.
The market’s own price: when a prediction market’s terms actually match the question, its live price — quoted and attributed as the crowd’s number.
What would update it: the specific developments that would change the record at the next cycle.

And when a question is outside what we track — or no market matches its exact terms — the engine says so and abstains from the missing piece rather than faking it.

This morning’s synthesis · 2026-10-05

Clos is the day's widest cross-domain story: 102 reports across 31 domains — auto, crypto defi, gaming. Coverage ran 7.0 times its 7-day baseline. It reached europe politics coverage for the first time. Tech Times :: Latest News: “AI Tops Higher Ed Priority List for First Time as EDUCAUSE 2026 Closes”. CryptoSlate: “Bitcoin Core’s new fix closes gap that could redirect funds without stealing keys”.

Super Intelligence crossed 11 domains on 32 reports — auto, world wires, crypto defi. Coverage ran 8.3 times its 7-day baseline. It reached europe politics coverage for the first time. Crypto Briefing: “Trump names Jay Clayton AI czar to lead new Super Intelligence Force”. SiliconANGLE: “Trump launches Super Intelligence Force with Jay Clayton as AI czar”.

Trump crossed 68 domains on 375 reports — auto, intelligence, world wires. Bitcoin Foundation: “Trump Crypto Dinner Returns: 185 Investors Invited as $TRUMP Faces New Scrutiny”. Latest articles - The Japan Times: “Is Trump’s war on Iran a threat to Japan?”.

Google crossed 60 domains on 314 reports — auto, turkey, business. The Register: “Google hearts Apple's Swift so much it's pumping out server-side support”. InfoQ: “Istio 1.31 Adds Agentgateway Waypoints and Moves Release Artifacts off Google Cloud”.

Amazon crossed 50 domains on 163 reports — auto, cloud computing, drones autonomous. TechCrunch: “Amazon responds to data center backlash, says it no longer uses NDAs”. All Content from Business Insider: “Amazon exec says finding FDE talent is very challenging: ‘These are unicorns’”.

Written each morning by the desk from tracked coverage; prediction-market prices appear only as a cited sensor. Informational only.

What the record holds

Ships through the Strait of Hormuz, as reported

A question often asked here is whether tanker traffic through Hormuz is back to normal. These are the sourced counts an answer stands on — from 2,647 documents and 1,598 claims, 1 Sep to 1 Oct. Ask it in the box above for the live answer.

Ledger built 3 Oct 2026

daily count
10-day average
two counts for one day

Not in the record

No daily count after 22 Sep. The newest daily figure in the ledger is for 22 Sep; averages run to 23 Sep.
No tanker-only count. Reports count commodity vessels, commercial vessels or all large ships; none counts tankers alone.
No first-hand ship tracking. Every figure here is a press report of a data firm’s count.

Same question, same answer. The first time anyone asks a new question, the answer is filed with its date. The next person who asks gets that same answer until the record’s next update.

See every claim in the Hormuz record · Turn a question into a Watch

Source for every count, date, quote and link: the reporting ledgerSource for the gaps: what the same ledger does not hold

What the record holds

Hormuz crossings, as data

POST https://sigb.ai/api/ask (header x-api-key)

{
  "question": "Is tanker traffic through Hormuz back to normal?"
}

The live door: POST a question with your key. The response is the answer object the box above renders.

GET claims_hormuz.json → crossings series

{
  "source": "claims_hormuz.json",
  "computedAt": "2026-10-03T00:20:25+00:00",
  "claims": 1598,
  "series": {
    "dailyCrossings": [
      {
        "date": "2026-08-31",
        "value": 5
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-08",
        "value": 9
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-09",
        "value": 6
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-10",
        "value": 7
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-15",
        "value": 12
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-16",
        "value": 3
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-17",
        "value": 4
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-22",
        "value": 3
      }
    ],
    "tenDayAverage": [
      {
        "date": "2026-09-09",
        "value": 12
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-14",
        "value": 14
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-23",
        "value": 15
      }
    ],
    "disputed": {
      "date": "2026-09-09",
      "values": [
        6,
        11
      ]
    },
    "newest": "2026-09-22",
    "prewar": 125
  },
  "notFound": [
    "No daily count after 22 Sep.",
    "No tanker-only count.",
    "No first-hand ship tracking."
  ]
}

Every series value is read from a claim in the ledger at build time; notFound lists what the ledger does not hold.

GET record/where-from?expand=+1

{
  "level": "record",
  "label": "Where these counts come from",
  "children": [
    {
      "level": "where from",
      "label": "8 daily counts and 3 averages",
      "children": {
        "count": 12,
        "unfold": "expand=+1"
      }
    },
    {
      "level": "where from",
      "label": "1 report",
      "children": {
        "count": 1,
        "unfold": "expand=+1"
      }
    },
    {
      "level": "where from",
      "label": "JPMorgan, as reported",
      "children": {
        "count": 1,
        "unfold": "expand=+1"
      }
    },
    {
      "level": "assertions",
      "label": "Outlets disagree",
      "children": {
        "count": 2,
        "unfold": "expand=+1"
      }
    }
  ]
}

Each level folds below one step; ask for one more, down to the article link.

Ask the engine

Ships through the Strait of Hormuz, as reported

Daily crossings were between 3 and 12 vessels in this window, against about 125 a day before the war

More than 2,000 commercial ships transited the Strait of Hormuz under US protection in the past two months, according to US Central Command.

Higher crossings through Hormuz reflect the industry's increasing ability to operate under sustained risk rather than improved safety, according to JPMorgan.

9 Sep: 6 crossings in one report, 11 in another

Hormuz crossings, as data