Skip to content
Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Texas

The second-most-populous U.S. state; an energy, aerospace, and technology heavyweight.

Coverage of Texas is holding steady : 23 signals on the latest tracked day, down 8% from its three-week baseline of 25, across 18 domains (down from 21 a week ago). That makes it the #126 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

Texas is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 25 signals a day across 18 domains (2 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 32+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 18. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

It shows up alongside AI (120), Florida (87), Trump (87), United States (85), Austin (72), Houston (65), Immigration (64), Mexico (63).

Two steps out: Abstract (through AI, 120 shared stories on the weaker link); Anthropic (through AI, 120 shared stories on the weaker link); China (through AI, 120 shared stories on the weaker link); Computer Science (through AI, 120 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Sep 12, with coverage on 72 separate days.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” fell 6 points between Jul 17 and Aug 31, from 56% to 50%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
Ask the engine about Texas + Track Texas for a daily read
Counts computed from our committed signal record (Aug 30 – Aug 31, 2 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 31, 4:31 PM PT