The Hormuz record.

One maintained truth object, fully inspectable. This page is assembled from the same live record our machines serve. It keeps the kinds of thing apart — what the issuing authorities publish (first-party), what reporting says (attributed), what our own machinery counts and measures (ours), and what markets price (belief) — and labels each claim with the kind of source behind it and the date it speaks for. Nothing here is retyped for marketing. When the record changes, this page changes with it.

What the record holds now

Separate layers, kept apart on purpose — first-party operational state, attributed reporting, our own record counts, our coverage metric, market expectation, our judgment, and the reporting- consensus ledger. They can legitimately disagree; when they do, this page shows the disagreement instead of resolving it. Reading only one of them is how a machine gets this wrong. Snapshot date for our own measurements: 2026-08-31.

0 · Observed operational state — primary sources, 2 of 3 confirmed Aug 31

First-party operational issuers for the strait itself, re-read by an automated daily fetch. Each row below leads with what the issuer said and the date that reading speaks for — never a blended “as of today.” The automated daily fetch cannot currently reach at least one source. A failed fetch moves nothing: the affected source holds its last verified reading, marked on its own row with the date it speaks for.

⚠ UKMTO / JMIC advisory notes has been paused since Aug 9 — its row below keeps the last verified reading, with its date. The other 2 of 3 confirmed on the latest fetch, Aug 31.

1 · Observed reporting — attributed sources

What outside reporting in our tracked set says about the strait itself. Attributed, not first-party operational data — we link each source; verify at the source. Every row carries the date our sweep captured it, or says plainly that the date was not recorded.

2 · The record itself — our own count of documents we ingested and can name

3 · Coverage state — our own measurement: our attention, not the strait

4 · Market expectation — attributed, belief not fact

We preserve the market signal as it is: a probability stays a probability, its market stays linked, and our public grading of that sensor — those prices scored against how reality resolved — measures that the signal survives our machinery without losing its meaning. Markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; they do not prove present facts. The prices below are the record's captures — the newest stamp is 2026-08-31, and each row carries its own dates.

5 · Our reading — derived judgment over the cited layers

UKMTO / JMIC advisory notes: Update 073 (2026-07-19): Strait of Hormuz assessed SEVERE (“deliberate hostile action highly likely”); Gulf of Oman SUBSTANTIAL (reading of Jul 19, its latest; source paused since Aug 9). NAVAREA IX navigational warnings: Warning 302/26 (29 Aug 2026), as issued (read Aug 31). The press corpus's claims ledger holds 581 kernel facts (16 corroborated by 3+ independent reporting chains); it speaks for Aug 30, re-checked Aug 30 with nothing new to publish. Prediction markets price 1 live question under this record (newest price stamp Aug 31) — collective belief, cited as a sensor; never our probability, and never proof. Read together, each layer speaking for its own date — the oldest load-bearing reading above is of Jul 19 — that is the maintained state of Hormuz as this record holds it: our derived judgment over the cited layers, attributed throughout, never a forecast of ours.

6 · Reporting consensus — retroactive claims ledger, computed 2026-08-30

Computed Aug 30; last re-checked Aug 30 — each claim below carries its own first-seen date.

Scope, first: 518 articles archived by our sweeps between 2026-07-27 and 2026-08-29 — secondary press; primary maritime and government feeds were not wired during this window. Everything below speaks for that archive only. What the press corpus agrees on is counted honestly: kernel facts (who, what, when, where) scored by how many independent reporting chains assert them — syndication collapsed first, so forty echoes of one wire story count once. Consensus measures reporting agreement, not reality. The “why” is frame, not fact: listed with its chain, never averaged.

A receipt links the archived article where our sweep read the claim — often a roundup, so a receipt’s own headline subject can differ from the claim it carries. That is what the corpus held, shown as held.

The frames — how different outlets explain it. Attributed, never averaged; divergence here is signal, not noise.

• A drone attack potentially dragged the wider Middle East into the conflict surrounding Iran. (chain: loadstar)
• A memorandum of understanding broke down in part because of differences over the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Abu Dhabi's decision to halt trade marks a significant shift in Persian Gulf relations. (chain: foreign policy)
• After President Trump rejected the extension of the June MoU in any form, the on-and-off nature of Hormuz transits will be the main driver of price developments. (chain: energy ministry)
• An Iranian military spokesperson blamed the U.S. for 'obstructing this process' regarding the Strait of Hormuz revenue-sharing agreement. (chain: fortune | fortune)
• Any agreement between Iran and Oman does not automatically mean normalisation of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: reuters)
• Bessent described the latest wave of sanctions as 'the single greatest financial offensive ever' against Iran. (chain: al jazeera – breaking news, world news and video from al jazeera)
• Blank sailings, port congestion, and ongoing threats in the Red Sea and Strait of Hormuz have combined to create a backlog straining manufacturing supply chains. (chain: geodis president)
• Both sides are at odds over control of the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: reuters)
• CENTCOM claimed that the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports has redirected 70 commercial vessels and disabled three. (chain: oil price)
• China's energy strategy has largely shielded it from the fallout of the war in Iran and the resultant closure of the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: oil price)
• Competition from Asia is fierce for LNG supply that does not need to move through the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: oil price)
• Concerns that the Strait of Hormuz could remain closed into the winter fuelled recent sharp rises in European gas prices. (chain: netherlands)
• Darzi blamed the United States and Israel for the disruption to Strait of Hormuz navigation. (chain: tehran times)
• Few tanker owners are willing to send vessels through Hormuz, leaving exporters competing for the smaller pool that will take the risk. (chain: reuters)
• Frame: Crypto Briefing suggests Iran's move may ease regional tensions and reduce likelihood of U.S. fees on Hormuz passage. (chain: crypto briefing)
• Frame: ING Economics stated that any agreement between Iran and Oman does not mean normalized oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz will be seen. (chain: reuters)
• Frame: Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei characterizes U.S. sanctions as violation of sovereignty and return to colonialism. (chain: irna)
• Frame: Tehran Times claims Tehran holds the stronger hand, leveraging control over Strait of Hormuz to force Washington into impossible position. (chain: vice president vance)
• Frame: The Reddit post speculates that helium supply chain disruption via Strait of Hormuz blockade could prompt a 15% price increase from Nvidia. (chain: reddit r/investing)
• Frame: The Splash247 article attributes Jebel Ali's collapse to war with Iran throttling shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: splash247 — global maritime)
• Frame: Trump threatened to bomb Oman and asserted that all mines in the Strait of Hormuz had been cleared. (chain: axios)
• Gaza's displacement within international policy hierarchies is part of a recalibration of global geopolitical attention due to other conflicts including the war in Ukraine and Iran, energy prices, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and Indo-Pacific rivalry. (chain: daily sabah economy)
• General Mohebbi noted that attempts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz have remained unachieved due to Iran's deterrence posture and regional influence. (chain: tehran times)
• General Mohebbi stated that Iran's production of smart and precision-guided missiles continues unabated. (chain: tehran times)
• German firms may have benefitted from the fact that Asian rivals were hit even harder by the choking off of trade via the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: reuters)
• Ghalibaf said the security of the Strait of Hormuz lies in 'the absence' of US troops. (chain: mehr news agency)
• Gharibabadi said Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz because the United States failed to fulfil its commitments under the memorandum of understanding. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Gharibabadi stressed that the understanding with Oman should not be interpreted as a full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: tehran times)
• Higher fuel costs from the Hormuz closure are making diversions away from the Suez Canal route and around Africa's Cape of Good Hope far more expensive than they were before the war. (chain: freightwaves)
• Hossein Taeb, head of Iran's Basij paramilitary unit, remarked that Tehran had not asked for a ceasefire. (chain: anadolu agency)
• Hostility between America and Iran can result in administration of the Strait of Hormuz belonging to Iran. (chain: tehran times)
• IGL attributed the CNG price hike to escalating tension in West Asia affecting LNG ship movements through the Strait of Hormuz, rising demand and storage in Europe ahead of winter, and maintaining low retail rates relative to global averages. (chain: india today economy)
• Inflation has crept higher after the U.S. imposed a wide range of tariffs globally and has climbed further as the Iran war slowed global oil shipments from the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: fortune | fortune)
• Inflation has worsened since the US and Israel attacked Iran, sending energy prices spiralling. (chain: american automobile association)
• Iran Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei warned Monday that Tehran would respond harshly to expanded U.S. sanctions, including measures against countries Iran sees as cooperating with Washington. (chain: daily sabah economy)
• Iran condemned new United States economic sanctions as "state terrorism" on Friday, 29 August 2026. (chain: press tv)
• Iran demands financial concessions from Washington as the price for peace including reparations and a right to toll the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: guardian)
• Iran has resisted nearly five decades of punishing American blockades. (chain: tehran times)
• Iran has urged all countries to reject the United States' 'extraterritorial application' of unilateral sanctions. (chain: tehran times)
• Iran has used its control of the Strait of Hormuz to squeeze Washington and global energy markets. (chain: al jazeera – breaking news, world news and video from al jazeera)
• Iran has used the Strait of Hormuz as leverage in negotiations with the US. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Iran insists the Strait of Hormuz is closed and that it has control of the narrow waterway. (chain: fortune | fortune)
• Iran is squeezing due to a shortfall of domestic oil production and a US naval counter-blockade of Iranian ports. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Iran is threatening to extend the blacklist beyond those vessels, including targeting ships conducting ship-to-ship transfers with any of the 45 named tankers. (chain: reuters)
• Iran sought to temper expectations over a new understanding with Oman on navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: tehran times)
• Iran threatened Sunday to prevent any oil from leaving the Persian Gulf if Washington proceeds with a new economic offensive against Tehran. (chain: reuters)
• Iran threatened to strike ships trying to traverse the Strait of Hormuz after the U.S. launched strikes on Iran. (chain: fortune | fortune)
• Iran will not allow the strait to reopen unless Washington lifts its blockade of Iranian ports, pays compensation, and removes sanctions. (chain: daily sabah economy)
• Iran would fire missiles at US targets in Europe if President Donald Trump steps up military pressure over the Strait of Hormuz, according to Iranian sources quoted by the Financial Times. (chain: reuters)
• Iran's Economy Minister Ali Madanizadeh called the new sanctions the same old talk. (chain: bbc news — middle east)
• Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said the visit is for continuing sustained political consultations between Iran and Oman as littoral states of the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: middle east eye)
• Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has put Kuwait in a difficult economic position as Kuwait is locked into the waterway and relies on oil exports for revenue. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Iran's military capability will keep most commercial operators away from the Strait of Hormuz despite technical clearance. (chain: oil price)
• Iran's president insisted that the United States would achieve nothing with its new sanctions campaign. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi warned that no military vessel will be allowed to pass through the Hormuz Strait. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Iranian authorities believe they can withstand US sanctions. (chain: al jazeera – breaking news, world news and video from al jazeera)
• Iranian authorities noted that the country has lived under US sanctions for decades. (chain: afp)
• Iraq's exports have been hurt by the outbreak of the Middle East war between Iran and the United States, which choked off the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: reuters)
• Israel promised that any potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz would be militarily ineffective. (chain: intercept)
• Kazem Gharibabadi said the Strait of Hormuz has become a national-security issue following the recent conflict. (chain: tehran times)
• LPG supplies have been affected since the West Asia war broke out on 28 February and led to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: reuters)
• Last Saturday, Abu Dhabi accused Tehran of attacking an Emirati oil tanker traversing the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: foreign policy)
• Markets have abandoned their hopes of a recovery in oil and gas flows through the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: reddit r/energy)
• Months of military attacks have not forced the concessions the U.S. wants to see. (chain: daily sabah economy)
• Murphy cited Tehran's control of the strategic Strait of Hormuz as a reason for Washington's setbacks. (chain: middle east eye)
• Oil companies and governments are consuming their once vast stockpiles as Iran and the United States continue to struggle for control over the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: nyt > top stories)
• Oil markets are adapting to the new reality of a shut-down Hormuz with more Persian Gulf oil producers shuttling crude through the strait. (chain: reuters)
• Oil prices fell on expectations that talks between Iran and Qatar may open the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: hindustan times business)
• Panama Canal congestion has been linked to the number of energy vessels avoiding Middle Eastern gateways and the unresolved situation in the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: loadstar)
• Patrick Pouyanne, CEO of TotalEnergies, said on Monday, August 24, 2026 at the ONS conference in Stavanger, Norway that oil is flowing through the Strait of Hormuz very quietly. (chain: reuters)
• President Trump's pronouncements on the Iran war have varied from boasts of victory to threats of bombing Iran. (chain: pentagon)
• Qatar has not managed to sneak as many vessels out of Hormuz as the UAE has done in recent months. (chain: reuters)
• Qatar's LNG supply was trapped behind the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: reuters)
• Qatar's statement appears consistent with an effort to de-escalate tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: crypto briefing)
• Tehran denied the attack claimed by the UAE's Defense Ministry. (chain: foreign policy)
• Tehran warned that the Strait of Hormuz will not be reopened unless the United States ends the war. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Tehran's actions justified Iran's actions to fight back against US-Israeli attacks. (chain: middle east eye)
• Tensions in the Middle East heightened since the U.S. and Israel launched joint strikes on Iran in February. (chain: nbc)
• The Hormuz crisis makes the Tanzania LNG project more attractive by producing LNG in an area not exposed to geopolitical challenges. (chain: oil price)
• The Iran Newspaper asserts that Iran currently wields significant control over the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: tehran times)
• The Iranian Persian Gulf Strait Authority published a list of dozens of vessels it says violated transit arrangements. (chain: oil price)
• The Nifty peaked at 26,373 in January and fell to 22,182, nearly 16%, because a war shut the Strait of Hormuz and crude went through the roof. (chain: economic times)
• The Strait of Hormuz was recently cited by the office of the Iranian supreme leader as 'the pillar of Iran's new security order'. (chain: guardian)
• The Trump administration is seeking to squeeze Iran financially by restricting access to the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: guardian)
• The U.S. failed to achieve its initial war aim of destroying Iran's long-range strike capability. (chain: foreign policy)
• The U.S. failed to prepare effectively to counter cheap one-way attack drones in Iran. (chain: foreign policy)
• The U.S. sanctions announcement was not as forceful as some traders had expected. (chain: marine link)
• The UAE's embargo places further global pressure on Tehran to surrender its war ambitions. (chain: foreign policy)
• The UAE, Iraq, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia appear to be sneaking barrels across the Strait of Hormuz to global markets. (chain: bloomberg)
• The US and Iran remain at odds over control of the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• The US announcement on Iran sanctions was careful to avoid specifics about targeting China, according to Edgard Kagan, senior adviser and Freeman Chair in China studies at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. (chain: daily sabah economy)
• The US would need to lift its blockade on Iranian ports and ease sanctions on Iran before normalisation of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz would occur. (chain: reuters)
• The United States prepared to roll out 'the greatest financial offensive ever' targeting Iran's trade partners on Monday, August 24, 2026. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• The closure of the Strait of Hormuz poses a major challenge to Iraq's oil exports. (chain: reuters)
• The closure of the Strait of Hormuz reveals access to nutrients for crops remains strategically important in the 21st century. (chain: conversation — environment)
• The coercive action aims to force Tehran into caving to demands regarding its peaceful civilian nuclear program and demanding complete opening of the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: tehran times)
• The exceptional energy crisis in the EU was triggered by the US and Israel's war on Iran and the ensuing closure of the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: latest news from euronews | euronews rss)
• The extraordinarily high tanker rates reflect a premium for anyone willing to take the risk of crossing Hormuz. (chain: reuters)
• The market could swing sharply higher if Iran retaliates with military strikes on U.S. installations in the Middle East. (chain: marine link)
• The new head of Iran's top security body warned Sunday that Tehran will see any country's support for sanctions as an act of war. (chain: daily sabah economy)
• The new sanctions aim to force an end to the nearly six-month conflict that has bottled up the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf energy exports. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• The oil market has been ignoring Trump's social-media posts for months because they do not reflect reality and have no connection to the number of barrels actually leaving the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: tehran times)
• The puzzle at the heart of Operation Epic Fury is that air superiority could not overcome Iranian drones and missiles striking commercial vessels. (chain: breaking defense)
• The shift from military conflict to economic pressure in the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran reduced some of the oil market's anxiety. (chain: marine link)
• The ship attacks are a reminder that the war launched on Iran by the U.S. and Israel on February 28 is still sending kinetic shockwaves around the region and roiling the global economy. (chain: oman news agency)
• The strait would not open unless the U.S. met Tehran's conditions under an interim ceasefire agreement struck in June. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• The strike on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz appears to be an Iranian response to the U.S. sanctions announcement. (chain: oman news agency)
• Traders appear to have shrugged off the latest U.S. sanctions against Iran aimed at squeezing its oil trade. (chain: reuters)
• Traders shrugged off the latest U.S. sanctions campaign against Iran, viewing economic pressure as posing less risk to oil supplies than a military escalation. (chain: marine link)
• Traditional airpower won the air war everyone expected it to win but could not keep the Strait of Hormuz open. (chain: breaking defense)
• Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that sanctions measures against Iran have never been seen in the history of the economic isolation of a country. (chain: wikimedia commonsnorth koreanorth korea)
• Trump administration characterized its financial sanctions effort against Iran as 'economic D-Day'. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Trump administration has only ever tightened sanctions on Iran since its first iteration in the White House in 2017. (chain: sri international)
• Trump and Vice President JD Vance have failed to reach an agreement to end their war with Iran. (chain: israel)
• Trump called the Strait of Hormuz an American territory on Friday. (chain: guardian)
• Trump claimed the US has 'total control' over the Strait of Hormuz (chain: cleantechnica)
• Trump claims that through bombs and blockade, he has devastated Iran's leadership, military and economy. (chain: fortune | fortune)
• Trump described the Strait of Hormuz as an American territory on Friday at a rally in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. (chain: al jazeera)
• Trump renewed his threat to bomb Oman, a U.S. ally involved in negotiations with Iran over reopening the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: daily sabah economy)
• Trump said he would evaluate whether to punish Russia for continuing to do business with Iran based on Russia's behavior regarding the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Trump said the United States has total control of the Strait of Hormuz and surrounding land areas. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Trump's decision to abandon the June MOU reflects a policy shift toward maximum economic pressure on Iran. (chain: reuters)
• U.S. President Donald Trump insisted on Thursday that Russian leader Vladimir Putin would not attack NATO territory. (chain: cbs)
• U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio floated the idea of a more permanent global shift away from the Strait of Hormuz. (chain: reddit r/geopolitics)
• U.S. Senator Chris Murphy criticized the White House's new sanctions on Iran as 'D-Day' window dressing. (chain: middle east eye)
• U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent threatened to impose the toughest sanctions in history on Iran. (chain: reuters)
• U.S. threats of economic sanctions represent an approach to force Iran to buckle to U.S. demands. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated the US will 'collapse' Iran's regime through economic sanctions (chain: bbc news — middle east)
• US authorities warn that dealing with sanctioned Iranian bodies over Strait of Hormuz passage could expose maritime companies to penalties. (chain: seatrade maritime)
• Upward pressure on crude oil prices remains despite signs of adaptation to Hormuz closure. (chain: reuters)
• Washington appears to be leaning more on economic pressure by announcing plans to cut Iran off from its trading partners with increased sanctions. (chain: al-monitor — middle east)
• Washington warned that complying with Tehran's transit regime could trigger US sanctions on shipowners. (chain: splash247 — global maritime)
• Weak Asian oil imports do not signal a surge in tanker crossings at the Strait of Hormuz as the U.S. Administration claims. (chain: reuters)
• Weeks of talks to end the war, curb Tehran's nuclear program and reopen the Strait of Hormuz are at a deadlock. (chain: reuters)
• What began as a mission to eliminate Iran's nuclear capabilities has evolved into a campaign to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. (chain: foreign policy)

• Consensus measures reporting agreement, not reality — a uniformly repeated error passes any count.
• Chains are collapsed by syndication tracing; residual shared-upstream risk remains.
• Retroactive: computed 2026-08-30 over the archive, not tracked live.
• Receipt gate: 3 extracted claim(s) excluded — no receipt whose own text supports the claim (the extractor's row binding is verified mechanically, never trusted).
• Domain-competence gate: 177 kernel claim(s) and 40 frame(s) excluded — every supporting chain came from outlets confidently placed outside this subject's coverage domains (aerospace_defense, auto, energy, europe_politics, india_south_asia, intelligence, …). An outlet counts as competent when its measured home beat intersects the domains the subject's own corpus lives in; outlets with too few observations are never branded and always count.
• Semantic-dome membership: 1319 kernel claim(s) and 280 frame(s) were source-faithful but failed typed-signature membership and are excluded — a claim enters this ledger only if its signature names a family entity (party, place, or authority) AND either its action class sits in the family's geopolitical profile or it names a family place outright.

The recorded history

Every state change is written to a ledger the moment we observe it, with how long the prior state held. The ledger records what it measured — a coverage state transition, our attention metric, not a claim about the strait. It began recording 2026-07-19; states before that date were tracked but not yet ledgered, and we say so rather than backfilling: we do not backfill history we did not record. The record is never edited after the fact.

The receipts

Every claim on this page carries the kind of source behind it, so nothing borrows more authority than it has:

• First-party operational — layer 0, the issuing authorities themselves, each row dated and carrying its own fetch state; a failing source says so in words.
• Reporting (attributed) — outside coverage, dated and linked in layer 1; verify at the source.
• Our own count — layer 2, documents/outlets/active days we ingested and can name; and the coverage regime, tracked days, and every ledgered transition come from our record, not an outside source.
• Market (attributed) — Polymarket questions, linked in layer 4; belief, not fact.
• Derived judgment — layer 5, our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours.
• Reporting consensus — layer 6, kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement after syndication collapse; measures what the press agrees on, never reality itself — and when its ledger is held, the hold is printed on the layer.

Before and after: the answer a machine gets

What keeping the layers apart changes for a machine reader. The left column is what a one-layer reader concludes; the right column is what the maintained record keeps in view. Each line is derived from the record’s own layers — the same truth object machines fetch — not from a staged chat.

Provenance of this panel: each line above is derived from the record’s own layers, not from a staged chat. The coverage numbers, the headline, and the market price are fields in the same truth object served at GET /api/truth/hormuz; the right column is composed from the record’s dated layers, with the served judgment sentence one tap away, verbatim. No transcripts were invented — the disagreement is in the data.

Verify it yourself, machine or human: this exact record is served live by the API and MCP — this page, GET /api/truth/hormuz, and the get_truth_object tool are all assembled by the same builder, so what you fetch is what you are reading. One honest distinction: get_entity("hormuz") returns the broader live entity dossier — a different, complementary object, useful for trajectory and evidence receipts, but not this record.

curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/truth/hormuz

curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/mcp -X POST -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call","params":{"name":"get_truth_object","arguments":{"topic":"hormuz"}}}'

Honest limits

• Primary maritime and government sources are identified and verified (layer 0: UKMTO/JMIC on a 1–3 day cadence, NAVAREA IX daily). The automated daily fetch cannot currently reach at least one source. A failed fetch moves nothing: the affected source holds its last verified reading, marked on its own row with the date it speaks for. Each row says which date it speaks for, and nothing updates silently.
• The coverage regime measures our declared source universe (139 actively-scraped verticals — definitions on the API page), not the whole internet, and it is our attention — not the strait's status.
• The transition ledger started 2026-07-19. Earlier state was tracked, not ledgered; we do not backfill history we did not record.
• Cadence, stated plainly: the record refreshes on a daily sweep with intraday market updates. It is maintained, not instantaneous.
• Market probabilities are collective belief about defined outcomes, never proof that an event occurred.

Informational only, never financial, legal, or investment advice. This exhibit is rebuilt from the live record on every data deploy.