Entity

China

The world's most populous great power and second-largest economy; a central actor in trade, technology, and security.

As of 15 Oct 2026Last evidence 15 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • The AI model race

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 14 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • New four-lane bridge between China and North Korea opens after a decade of delay

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

  • Kamala Harris warns the window for AI safeguards is closing, urges US-China cooperation

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Trump says he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran 'at all'

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • UK High Court Rules Chinese Law Governs Victims’ Claims to 61,000 Seized Bitcoin

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

All 13 events and claims involving China

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 626 mentions on 15 Oct 2026, against 266 on 24 Sept 2026 (+135%).
  • State Last recorded change: coverage state went from steady to rising on 13 Oct 2026 (4 changes recorded since 5 Oct 2026).
  • Claims 2 claims first reported since 14 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?” moved from 12% to 10% Yes since 31 Aug 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

11,728 documents · 648 publishers · 8% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 15 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.082: about 92% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 2 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside China

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

AITrumpUnited StatesRussiaIranIndiaJapanSouth KoreaOil
  • AI · 3,745 shared documents
  • Trump · 2,517 shared documents
  • United States · 2,506 shared documents
  • Europe · 2,229 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Russia · 2,193 shared documents
  • Iran · 2,046 shared documents
  • India · 1,865 shared documents
  • Japan · 1,817 shared documents
  • South Korea · 1,771 shared documents
  • Oil · 1,732 shared documents

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 626 mentions on 15 Oct 2026 with 266 on 24 Sept 2026 (+135%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +469% from 31 Aug 2026 to 15 Oct 2026, between 82 and 690 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions China, day by day.

Market price, cited

10% Yes

priced 15 Oct 2026 · relation: subject of the question

the market: 12% → 10% Yes (-2pts, from 31 Aug 2026 to 15 Oct 2026)

on “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about China

“Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name china.

{
  "name": "china",
  "label": "China",
  "asOf": "2026-10-15",
  "mentions": 626,
  "domains": 98,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-15T17:31:24.337028+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?",
    "yesPct": 10,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-15",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "subject-of"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-05T04:42:49.228031+00:00",
    "changes": 4
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "626 mentions across 98 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "4 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 4,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "98 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 622 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving China

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • The AI model race

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 14 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • New four-lane bridge between China and North Korea opens after a decade of delay

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Kamala Harris warns the window for AI safeguards is closing, urges US-China cooperation

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Trump says he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran 'at all'

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • UK High Court Rules Chinese Law Governs Victims’ Claims to 61,000 Seized Bitcoin

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Visa Wins Approval to Enter China’s Domestic Payments Market as Beijing Signals Openness to US Firms

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • EU says trade deal could cut up to 50% of Chinese EV and plug-in hybrid imports and lower tariffs for some European exports to China

    Reported claim · first reported 10 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Africa’s Ecobank Agrees to Join China’s Cross-Border Payments System

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • TP-Link Sued by Four More U.S. States Over Router Security and China Ties

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Super Micro contractor pleads guilty in scheme to divert AI servers with Nvidia chips to China

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • China agrees to ‘halve’ hybrid car exports to EU in landmark deal

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • China charges tech firm with smuggling restricted ‘dual-use’ optical lenses out of country

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • US’ Circ, China’s Huafon to develop textile-to-textile recycling plant

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    reported by two

Walk the record from China

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

China

Entity.

Evidence
11,728 documents · 648 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 12 Mar 2026, last seen 15 Oct 2026
Measured
8% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
15 Oct 2026
23 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (1)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names China, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

2 more headlines counted but not shown: no source link on file

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about China

Markets whose question is about China or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to China and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

No other open market in the record is materially about China: none names it as the subject of its question or as a party in it.

3 more open markets joined to China but not about it
  • 56% Yes

    “Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?”

    Polymarket · priced 15 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

  • 56.8% Yes

    “Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?”

    Polymarket · priced 15 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

  • 39.5% Yes

    “Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?”

    Polymarket · priced 15 Oct 2026

    Relation: about a place in it · a weather or score reading at a place: about a place at most, never about the subject · closes 15 Oct 2026

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 13 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 11 Oct 2026

  • 11 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 7 Oct 2026

  • 7 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 6 Oct 2026

  • 6 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 2 Oct 2026

4 changes recorded since 5 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about ChinaWatch China

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 15 Oct 2026.