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Ask anything about what we track. You get what we know, how we know it, and what new information would update the record at the next cycle — grounded in what's actually happening in the news right now. The first 25 answers are free on a key you mint yourself in one call — no card, for the life of the key (they don’t reset); plans lift the cap. For information only, not advice.
Answers are published at an unlisted public link so you can share them (recent ones may appear on this page; stale links expire to a fresh re-ask after ~36 hours). Don’t include personal or confidential information in your question. Privacy & deletion
- The state of play: what’s actually happening on your question, grounded in tracked coverage — never a hot take, and never a probability of ours.
- The evidence: the live headlines, article text, and the desk’s own morning synthesis the read is grounded in, source-checked by a second model.
- The market’s own price: when a prediction market’s terms actually match the question, its live price — quoted and attributed as the crowd’s number.
- What would change this: the specific developments that would move the answer.
And when a question is outside what we track — or no market matches its exact terms — the engine says so and abstains from the missing piece rather than faking it.
East-West is the day's widest cross-domain story: 47 reports across 15 domains — iran regime, energy, europe politics. Coverage ran 8.7 times its 7-day baseline. It reached transit public safety coverage for the first time. Mass Transit Magazine: “MDOT MTA to Start RAISE East-West Transit Priority Project Construction Oct. 6”. Daily Sabah economy: “Germany's East-West divide still seen in wealth gap”.
China crossed 71 domains on 449 reports — auto, defense procurement, south korea. It reached cannabis coverage for the first time. Carbon Pulse: “China moves closer to finalising cross-border carbon trading measures”. Crypto Briefing: “Huawei chair urges China’s AI labs to speed up development, warns they haven’t hit real safety risks yet”.
Trump crossed 63 domains on 423 reports — auto, europe politics, middle east. It reached rare diseases coverage for the first time. Defense One: “How a MAGA influencer with ties to Russia became Trump’s Arctic adviser”. Al-Monitor — Middle East: “Trump says 'hopefully we are towards end' of Iran war”.
European Union crossed 62 domains on 290 reports — europe politics, auto, turkey. It reached latin america coverage for the first time. BBC News — Business: “EU chief backs plan for Canada to become 'associate member'”. The Guardian: “Microplastics act like 'Trojan horse' delivering pollutants through soil, five-year EU study finds”.
Myanmar crossed 10 domains on 13 reports — south korea, agriculture, australia. Coverage ran 13.0 times its 7-day baseline. Light Reading: “Eurobites: Telenor feels heat over Myanmar”. Northern Miner: “Podcast: The geopolitics of mining in the Sahel and Myanmar, ft Critical Risk Team’s George McLeod”.
Written each morning by the desk from tracked prediction markets and coverage. Informational only.