The Wire

Entity

Iran

A major Middle Eastern state whose oil, nuclear program, and regional proxies keep it central to Gulf security.

As of 5 Oct 2026Mentions in tracked coverage 366Domains 60

Story momentum

Steady

Daily mentions +156% from 20 Aug 2026 to 4 Oct 2026, between 107 and 497 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Iran, day by day.

Market price, cited

16% Yes

the market: 18% → 16% Yes (-2pts, from 20 Aug 2026 to 4 Oct 2026)

on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”

The latest price on this market. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Iran

market“Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

Call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name iran.

{
  "name": "iran",
  "label": "Iran",
  "asOf": "2026-10-05 · live snapshot",
  "mentions": 366,
  "domains": 60,
  "coverageTrend": "steady",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
    "yesPct": 16,
    "attribution": "the market's own price"
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "366 mentions across 60 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "3 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 3,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "60 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 363 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Iran, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

2 more headlines counted but not shown: no source link on file

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Earlier, from the archive

What markets are asking

Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

What it connects to

Related records.

Ask about Iran＋ Track Iran

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 5 Oct 2026.