Entity

China

The world's most populous great power and second-largest economy; a central actor in trade, technology, and security.

As of 14 Oct 2026Last evidence 14 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Trump says he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran 'at all'

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • UK High Court Rules Chinese Law Governs Victims’ Claims to 61,000 Seized Bitcoin

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Visa wins approval to prepare for China domestic payments business

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • The AI model race

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 12 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Memory Stocks Slide as China’s CXMT Flags Denser Chip Design: Micron and SK Hynix Fall 4%, Western Digital Drops 2%

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

All 13 events and claims involving China

What changed

  • Attention Fading: 575 mentions on 14 Oct 2026, against 690 on 23 Sept 2026 (-17%).
  • State Last recorded change: coverage state went from steady to rising on 13 Oct 2026 (4 changes recorded since 4 Oct 2026).
  • Claims 3 claims first reported since 13 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?” moved from 12% to 10% Yes since 30 Aug 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

11,342 documents · 640 publishers · 8% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 14 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.082: about 92% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 4 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside China

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

AITrumpUnited StatesRussiaIranIndiaJapanSouth KoreaOil
  • AI · 3,613 shared documents
  • Trump · 2,451 shared documents
  • United States · 2,418 shared documents
  • Europe · 2,149 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Russia · 2,108 shared documents
  • Iran · 1,971 shared documents
  • India · 1,792 shared documents
  • Japan · 1,757 shared documents
  • South Korea · 1,707 shared documents
  • Oil · 1,666 shared documents

Story momentum

Fading

The word compares 575 mentions on 14 Oct 2026 with 690 on 23 Sept 2026 (-17%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +311% from 30 Aug 2026 to 14 Oct 2026, between 82 and 690 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions China, day by day.

Market price, cited

10% Yes

priced 14 Oct 2026 · relation: subject of the question

the market: 12% → 10% Yes (-2pts, from 30 Aug 2026 to 14 Oct 2026)

on “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about China

“Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name china.

{
  "name": "china",
  "label": "China",
  "asOf": "2026-10-14",
  "mentions": 575,
  "domains": 94,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-14T16:01:13.315922+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "fading",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?",
    "yesPct": 10,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-14",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "subject-of"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-04T14:50:03.367138+00:00",
    "changes": 4
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "575 mentions across 94 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "5 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 5,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "94 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 570 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving China

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Trump says he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran 'at all'

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • UK High Court Rules Chinese Law Governs Victims’ Claims to 61,000 Seized Bitcoin

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Visa wins approval to prepare for China domestic payments business

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • The AI model race

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 12 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Memory Stocks Slide as China’s CXMT Flags Denser Chip Design: Micron and SK Hynix Fall 4%, Western Digital Drops 2%

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • EU says trade deal could cut up to 50% of Chinese EV and plug-in hybrid imports and lower tariffs for some European exports to China

    Reported claim · first reported 10 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Super Micro contractor pleads guilty in scheme to divert AI servers with Nvidia chips to China

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • China’s carmakers boost exports amid EU limits on hybrid vehicle imports

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • China charges tech firm with smuggling restricted ‘dual-use’ optical lenses out of country

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • US’ Circ, China’s Huafon to develop textile-to-textile recycling plant

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Chinese-speaking hacker possibly linked to AI-driven attacks on S. Korean banks: report

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • So. Korean Banks Were Likely Hacked by China-Based Actor With AI Agent: CrowdStrike

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • China border town can't shake the blues despite promise of bridge to North Korea

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    reported by two

Walk the record from China

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

China

Entity.

Evidence
11,342 documents · 640 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 12 Mar 2026, last seen 14 Oct 2026
Measured
8% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
14 Oct 2026
26 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (4)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names China, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

1 more headline counted but not shown: no source link on file

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about China

Markets whose question is about China or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to China and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

No other open market in the record is materially about China: none names it as the subject of its question or as a party in it.

3 more open markets joined to China but not about it
  • 56.8% Yes

    “Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?”

    Polymarket · priced 14 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

  • 39.5% Yes

    “Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?”

    Polymarket · priced 14 Oct 2026

    Relation: about a place in it · a weather or score reading at a place: about a place at most, never about the subject · closes 15 Oct 2026

  • 20.5% Yes

    “Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?”

    Polymarket · priced 14 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 13 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 11 Oct 2026

  • 11 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 7 Oct 2026

  • 7 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 6 Oct 2026

  • 6 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 2 Oct 2026

4 changes recorded since 4 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about ChinaWatch China

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 14 Oct 2026.