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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Inflation

The rate at which prices rise across an economy; central banks steer it with interest rates.

Coverage of Inflation is rising : 62 signals on the latest tracked day, up 158% from its three-week baseline of 24, across 18 domains (up from 10 a week ago). That makes it the #33 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

If Inflation matters to your work, coverage is climbing off its baseline — worth a closer-than-usual look this week.

What’s changed

6 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 876 tracked stories from 164 outlets, reporting on Inflation most often describes economic releases (134), rate decisions (61), public statements (40), sanctions or trade (25), military action (15), acquisition (10).

It shows up alongside Interest Rates (228), AI (192), Treasury (181), Federal Reserve (155), CPI (99), Central Bank (96), Kevin Warsh (93), Jackson Hole (84).

Two steps out: Abstract (through AI, 192 shared stories on the weaker link); Anthropic (through AI, 192 shared stories on the weaker link); China (through AI, 192 shared stories on the weaker link); Computer Science (through AI, 192 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Apr 4, with coverage on 58 separate days — concentrated in Auto.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?” fell 8 points between Jul 17 and Aug 28, from 16% to 8%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 17 – Aug 31, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 31, 4:32 PM PT