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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Iraq

A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 3 domains, including Turkey, US Politics and World Wires.

Coverage of Iraq is holding steady : 3 signals on the latest tracked day, down 50% from its three-week baseline of 6, across 3 domains (down from 4 a week ago). That makes it the #241 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

What’s changed

5 of the last 7 tracked days ran below the three-week baseline — a sustained cooling, not a one-day dip.

What the reporting says

Across 124 tracked stories from 40 outlets, reporting on Iraq most often describes sanctions or trade (11), public statements (7), military action (4), price levels (3), meetings or visits (2), legal rulings (1).

It shows up alongside Israel (46), Turkish (38), Hormuz (37), Turkey (37), Syria (36), Iran (77), Saudi Arabia (28), Oil (52).

Two steps out: China (through Iran, 77 shared stories on the weaker link); Middle East (through Iran, 77 shared stories on the weaker link); President Donald Trump (through Iran, 77 shared stories on the weaker link); Russia (through Iran, 77 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Jul 30, with coverage on 14 separate days — concentrated in Turkey and Iran Regime.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 29 – Aug 31, 22 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 31, 4:32 PM PT