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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping — general secretary of China's Communist Party and president of China.

Coverage of Xi Jinping is holding steady : 7 signals on the latest tracked day, up 75% from its three-week baseline of 4, across 5 domains (up from 4 a week ago). That makes it the #108 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 107 tracked stories from 46 outlets, reporting on Xi Jinping most often describes sanctions or trade (19), meetings or visits (14), public statements (8), disaster (7), ceasefire or deal (3).

It shows up alongside China (92 — meetings or visits ×7, sanctions or trade ×7, ceasefire or deal ×2), Bessent (27), Scott Bessent (27), Treasury (27), Treasury Secretary Scott (24), Trump (49 — sanctions or trade ×7), Iran (43), Oil (28).

Two steps out: AI (through China, 92 shared stories on the weaker link); India (through China, 92 shared stories on the weaker link); Japan (through China, 92 shared stories on the weaker link); Microsoft (through China, 92 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since May 12, with coverage on 15 separate days — concentrated in Auto.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Xi Jinping out before 2027?” fell 1 points between Jul 17 and Aug 31, from 5% to 4%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 17 – Aug 31, 15 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 31, 4:33 PM PT