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On the record Β· 17 Oct 2026

The morning read.

Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? is at 60.3%, with a 24h delta of +9.4%. Al Jazeera reports how Iran messaging highlights cost of war ahead of US midterm elections. Modern Diplomacy asks Can Rising Fuel Prices Cost Trump's Republicans the US Senate in Alaska?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? is at 66.5%, with a 24h delta of +38.5%.

Euronews reports Bitcoin's $100,000 dream slips away as $939 million crypto wipeout pushes traders toward $78,000.

Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? is at 60.3% on Polymarket. Next on the record: How Iran messaging highlights cost of war ahead of US midterm elections (Al Jazeera).

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Archived as published. Informational only β€” never financial, legal, or investment advice.