Entity

Federal Reserve

The central bank of the United States; it sets interest rates and manages the money supply.

As of 21 Oct 2026Last evidence 21 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Fed rate decisions

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

All 1 event and claims involving Federal Reserve

What changed

  • Attention Fading: 58 mentions on 20 Oct 2026, against 75 on 29 Sept 2026 (-23%).
  • State Last recorded change: wire tier went from flagged to watch on 18 Oct 2026 (7 changes recorded since 10 Oct 2026).
  • Claims No claim first reported since 20 Oct 2026.

How well we know this

2,815 documents · 256 publishers · 14% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 21 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.14: about 86% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 7 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Federal Reserve

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

InflationTreasuryAICryptoBitcoinIranTrump
  • Interest Rates · 1,642 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Inflation · 1,443 shared documents
  • Treasury · 1,169 shared documents
  • Oil · 917 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • AI · 804 shared documents
  • Crypto · 740 shared documents
  • Bitcoin · 727 shared documents
  • Iran · 622 shared documents
  • Trump · 615 shared documents
  • CPI · 600 shared documents · no page of its own yet

Story momentum

Fading

The word compares 58 mentions on 20 Oct 2026 with 75 on 29 Sept 2026 (-23%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +625% from 5 Sept 2026 to 20 Oct 2026, between 8 and 197 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Federal Reserve, day by day.

Market price, cited

Not priced yet

No open prediction market prices a question materially about Federal Reserve yet. Ask about Federal Reserve

No market price on file: no prediction market prices a question about this name yet

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/23e87a50b470be4b8c7a44e2 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name federal reserve.

{
  "name": "federal reserve",
  "label": "Federal Reserve",
  "asOf": "2026-10-21",
  "mentions": 165,
  "outlets": 114,
  "domains": 3,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/23e87a50b470be4b8c7a44e2",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/23e87a50b470be4b8c7a44e2",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-21T14:55:56.271729+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "fading",
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-10T17:30:17.444527+00:00",
    "changes": 7
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "165 mentions across 3 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "3 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 3,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 159 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Federal Reserve

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Fed rate decisions

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

Walk the record from Federal Reserve

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Federal Reserve

Entity.

Evidence
2,815 documents · 256 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 14 Apr 2026, last seen 21 Oct 2026
Measured
14% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
21 Oct 2026
12 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (0)

none on file at this cutoff

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Federal Reserve, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Markets materially about Federal Reserve

Markets whose question is about Federal Reserve or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Federal Reserve and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

No open market in the record is materially about Federal Reserve: none names it as the subject of its question or as a party in it.

3 more open markets joined to Federal Reserve but not about it
  • 74.5% Yes

    “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?”

    Polymarket · priced 21 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

  • 34.5% Yes

    “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?”

    Polymarket · priced 21 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

  • 8.5% Yes

    “Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?”

    Polymarket · priced 21 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 18 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: flagged to watch

    Previous state held since 15 Oct 2026

  • 18 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to insufficient_history

    Previous state held since 15 Oct 2026

  • 15 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 14 Oct 2026

  • 14 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 13 Oct 2026

  • 13 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 12 Oct 2026

  • 12 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: watch to flagged

    Previous state held since 9 Oct 2026

  • 12 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: insufficient_history to steady

    Previous state held since 9 Oct 2026

7 changes recorded since 10 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about Federal ReserveWatch Federal Reserve

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 21 Oct 2026.