Entity · moving across domains

Iran

A major Middle Eastern state whose oil, nuclear program, and regional proxies keep it central to Gulf security.

As of 6 Oct 2026

Who Iran moves with

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

OilTrumpHormuzMiddle EastIsraelUnited StatesChinaSaudi ArabiaRussiaYemen

Story momentum

Steady

Daily mentions +213% from 22 Aug 2026 to 6 Oct 2026, between 107 and 497 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Iran, day by day.

Market price, cited

14% Yes

priced 6 Oct 2026

the market: 16% → 14% Yes (-2pts, from 22 Aug 2026 to 6 Oct 2026)

on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Iran

“Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

Call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name iran.

{
  "name": "iran",
  "label": "Iran",
  "asOf": "2026-10-06 · live snapshot",
  "mentions": 351,
  "domains": 56,
  "coverageTrend": "steady",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
    "yesPct": 14,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-06",
    "attribution": "the market's own price"
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "351 mentions across 56 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "3 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 3,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "56 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 348 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Walk the record from Iran

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Iran

Entity.

Evidence
7,531 documents · 476 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
We keep this record by hand
Time
first seen 13 Mar 2026, last seen 6 Oct 2026
Measured
40% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
6 Oct 2026
25 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (13)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Could not check: We could not count this claim's sources, so we do not say how well it is supported.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Iran, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

2 more headlines counted but not shown: no source link on file

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other questions markets are asking

Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

What it connects to

Related records.

Ask about IranWatch Iran

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 6 Oct 2026.