Ceasefire & peace talks: iran
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-08-19.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/ceasefire-peace-iran (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
861
news items our join has matched to this event family — the list below shows recent reporting, not the full set.
17
Distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 3 shown below.
2
Time windows tracked — most active: 2026.
| Area | Mentions |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 379 |
| August 2026 | 61 |
In the coverage
Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- US, Iran exchange fire in flare-up; Bessent signals more sanctions · Al-Monitor · 2026-08-31
- US strikes Iranian launchers in strait of Hormuz, sparking reprisal attack on airbases in Jordan · The Guardian · 2026-08-31
- US plans to sanction another bank in effort to clamp down on Iran transactions, Bessent tells AP · AP News · 2026-08-31
- US armed forces chiefs tell Pete Hegseth Iran war US armed erodes forces' readiness · The Jerusalem Post · 2026-08-31
- Trump’s war on Iran is rapidly draining US navy budget, forcing the pentagon to raid the payroll of navy sailors to fund combat operations. · Reddit r/economics · 2026-08-31
- Trump says Iran's Kharg is being 'blown to smithereens', but gives no details · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-31
- Oil Prices Surge as U.S. and Iran Exchange Strikes · Oil Price · 2026-08-31
- Latest developments in the US-Iran war · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-31
- Israeli strikes kill 5 in Gaza, Iran touts Russian energy deal, and other news in the Middle East - WIVT · News 34 · 2026-08-31
- Iran retaliates to US strikes, Iranian state media reports - ABC News & Headlines · Australian Broadcasting Corporation · 2026-08-31
- Iran retaliates after first US strikes in a month · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-31
- Bessent expects new US secondary sanctions weekly, aiming to increase pressure on Iran · Al-Monitor · 2026-08-31
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-31 · live snapshot.