Entity · moving across domains

Midterm Elections

A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 37 domains, including Africa, AI Inference Infrastructure and AI Policy.

As of 10 Oct 2026Last evidence 10 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • U.S. midterms 2026

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 10 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Rallies As Trump Says U.S. Would Not Attack Iran Before Midterm Elections

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Trump Says U.S. Will Not Strike Iran Again Before Midterms as Military Draws Up New Plans

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 8 separate publishers

  • Republicans Return to Tough-on-Crime Message Ahead of Difficult Midterm Elections

    Reported claim · first reported 7 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Trump announces $90 payments for seniors’ Medicare premium costs ahead of midterm elections

    Reported claim · first reported 4 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

All 5 events and claims involving Midterm Elections

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 77 mentions on 10 Oct 2026, against 39 on 7 Oct 2026 (+97%).
  • State Changes between snapshots: cannot measure, no state history is kept for Midterm Elections yet.
  • Claims No claim first reported since 9 Oct 2026.

How well we know this

1,126 documents · 182 publishers · 43% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 10 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.425: about 57% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 5 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Midterm Elections

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

TrumpIranOilWhite HouseSenateDemocrats
  • Trump · 950 shared documents
  • Iran · 633 shared documents
  • President Donald Trump · 633 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • United States Congress · 439 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Oil · 421 shared documents
  • Republicans · 388 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • White House · 383 shared documents
  • Senate · 335 shared documents
  • Democrats · 310 shared documents
  • Americans · 298 shared documents · no page of its own yet

Story momentum

Rising

Daily mentions +97% from 7 Oct 2026 to 10 Oct 2026, between 39 and 107 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Midterm Elections, day by day.

Market price, cited

Not priced yet

No open prediction market prices a question materially about Midterm Elections yet. Ask about Midterm Elections

No market price on file: no prediction market prices a question about this name yet

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a791632536024adffbdd9657 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name midterm elections.

{
  "name": "midterm elections",
  "label": "Midterm Elections",
  "asOf": "2026-10-10",
  "mentions": 77,
  "domains": 37,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/a791632536024adffbdd9657",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a791632536024adffbdd9657",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-10T21:56:07.640781+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "77 mentions across 37 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "37 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 71 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Midterm Elections

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • U.S. midterms 2026

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 10 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Rallies As Trump Says U.S. Would Not Attack Iran Before Midterm Elections

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Trump Says U.S. Will Not Strike Iran Again Before Midterms as Military Draws Up New Plans

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 8 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Republicans Return to Tough-on-Crime Message Ahead of Difficult Midterm Elections

    Reported claim · first reported 7 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Trump announces $90 payments for seniors’ Medicare premium costs ahead of midterm elections

    Reported claim · first reported 4 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

Walk the record from Midterm Elections

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Midterm Elections

Entity.

Evidence
1,126 documents · 182 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 8 May 2026, last seen 10 Oct 2026
Measured
43% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
10 Oct 2026
15 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (4)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (1)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Midterm Elections, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Markets materially about Midterm Elections

Markets whose question is about Midterm Elections or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Midterm Elections and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

  • 9.5% Yes

    “Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?”

    Polymarket · priced 10 Oct 2026

    Relation: named in the question · “midterm elections” is named in the question · close date not stated in the question

  • 37.5% Yes

    “Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?”

    Polymarket · priced 10 Oct 2026

    Relation: named in the question · “midterm elections” is named in the question · close date not stated in the question

  • 73% Yes

    “Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?”

    Polymarket · priced 10 Oct 2026

    Relation: named in the question · “midterm elections” is named in the question · close date not stated in the question

What it connects to

Related records.

Pull a thread

Ask about Midterm ElectionsWatch Midterm Elections

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 10 Oct 2026.