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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Putin

Vladimir Putin — president of Russia.

Coverage of Putin is holding steady : 16 signals on the latest tracked day, up 433% from its three-week baseline of 3, across 8 domains (up from 3 a week ago). That makes it the #80 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 126 tracked stories from 45 outlets, reporting on Putin most often describes military action (19), meetings or visits (18), public statements (16), ceasefire or deal (2), launches or releases (1), treaty exits (1).

It shows up alongside Ukraine (78 — meetings or visits ×3), Russia (111), NATO (30), John Ratcliffe (18), Zelenskyy (26), Trump (40), President Volodymyr Zelenskyy (18), Iran (31).

Two steps out: AI (through Russia, 111 shared stories on the weaker link); Black Hat (through Russia, 111 shared stories on the weaker link); China (through Russia, 111 shared stories on the weaker link); CMS (through Russia, 111 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Jul 29, with coverage on 10 separate days — concentrated in Europe Politics and Intelligence.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?” fell 4 points between Jul 17 and Aug 31, from 10% to 6%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 21 – Aug 31, 25 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 31, 4:31 PM PT