Election · market-priced

Election: michigan & republican

SigB keeps one record for this event, covering news reports and prediction-market questions. Tracked since 2026-07-17; last priced 2026-09-22.

Developers can read this record at /api/record/election-michigan-republican or with the get_topic_record MCP tool.

Dormant record: no market has priced this since 2026-09-22. SigB still maintains the record. The prices and questions below date from then, not today.

This record began from prediction-market questions, which SigB cites as one source.

Matched news mentions
57
News items matched to this event. The most recent are listed below.
Market questions
16
Questions markets priced (last priced 2026-09-22). Questions that differ only by price level or deadline are grouped into the 3 listed below.

Who is involved in Election: michigan & republican

Names this situation's own reports carry in at least two separate outlets; bigger circles mean more outlets name it. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

Senate · named by 7 separate outlets in its reports
Trump · named by 3 separate outlets in its reports
Democrats · named by 2 separate outlets in its reports
Texas Senate · named by 2 separate outlets in its reports · no page of its own yet
United States · named by 2 separate outlets in its reports

Walk the record from Election: michigan & republican

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Election: Michigan & Republican

Situation.

Evidence: 57 documents · 28 separate publishers · a match is coverage, not verification
Standing: Added automatically from coverage
Time: first seen 17 Jul 2026, last seen 22 Sept 2026
Measured: 21% of matching documents describe a specific action; the rest only mention it
As of: 19 Oct 2026

11 links from here

Who and what is involved: the 5 names are in the map above.

What it is about (1)

Michigan

Related situations (5)

Election: Alabama & Republicanshares Democrats, Texas Senate, Senate, Trump
Election: Alabama & Republican Partyshares Democrats, Texas Senate, Senate, Trump, United States
election-kansas-republican-partyshares Democrats, Texas Senate, Senate, Trump, United States
U.S. midterms 2026shares Democrats, Senate, Trump
U.S. presidential race 2028shares Democrats, Trump, Senate, United States

For machines: this record as JSON

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Who this involves

What it is about: Michigan.

Names this event’s own reports carry in at least two separate outlets.

Senate · 7 outlets
Trump · 3 outlets
Democrats · 2 outlets
Texas Senate · 2 outlets
United States · 2 outlets

In the coverage

Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline. As of 2026-10-19, newest first.

In tight Texas Senate race, Trump's immigration crackdown tests Republicans' hold on votersLos Angeles Times · 2026-10-18
Republicans Eye Historic Minnesota Senate Upset as Democrats SlipNewsweek · 2026-10-17
A bitter Michigan Senate race rattles Jewish and Muslim voters already on edge over the war in GazaAP News · 2026-10-17
Elon Musk contributed over $150 million to bolster the Republican Party in Texas Senate raceCrypto Briefing · 2026-10-16
Carville: Republicans could lose House, Senate despite ‘huge financial advantage’The Hill News · 2026-10-16
Senate Republican knocks Trump administration on measles surge: ‘Get vaccinated, you don’t die’The Hill News · 2026-10-14
Can Rising Fuel Prices Cost Trump’s Republicans the US Senate in Alaska?Modern Diplomacy · 2026-10-14
AIPAC’s Tiny Expenditure in Michigan’s Senate RaceThe American Prospect · 2026-10-12
Florida polls show Republicans lead Democrats in governor and Senate races, but contests remain closeSun Sentinel · 2026-10-10
US midterms: key takeaways from Senate debates in Michigan, Georgia and MaineThe Guardian · 2026-10-09
Trump rips El-Sayed after Michigan Senate debateThe Hill News · 2026-10-09
Michigan Senate debate goes off the rails: 4 takeawaysThe Hill News · 2026-10-09

What markets are asking

Questions from public prediction markets, each with its last price and the date it was seen.

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?View this question on Polymarket · last price 0.9% Yes, seen 2026-10-19
Will Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?View this question on Polymarket · last price 0.05% Yes, seen 2026-08-04
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?View this question on Polymarket · last price 5.9% Yes, seen 2026-10-19

Related events

Each one shares a name both events’ own reports carry; the shared names are listed with it.

Election: Alabama & Republicanshares Democrats, Texas Senate, Senate, Trump
Election: Alabama & Republican Partyshares Democrats, Texas Senate, Senate, Trump, United States
election-kansas-republican-partyshares Democrats, Texas Senate, Senate, Trump, United States
U.S. midterms 2026shares Democrats, Senate, Trump
U.S. presidential race 2028shares Democrats, Trump, Senate, United States

Ask about Election: michigan & republican All events in motion →

Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Mention counts come from SigB’s tracked coverage. Informational only, not advice. As of 2026-10-19.