Product launch · market-priced

Product launch: xAI

SigB keeps one record for this event, covering news reports and prediction-market questions. Tracked since 2026-05-29; last priced 2026-09-22.

Developers can read this record at /api/record/product-launch-xai or with the get_topic_record MCP tool.

Dormant record: no market has priced this since 2026-09-22. SigB still maintains the record. The prices and questions below date from then, not today.

This record began from prediction-market questions, which SigB cites as one source.

Matched news mentions
2
News items matched to this event. The most recent are listed below.
Market questions
19
Questions markets priced (last priced 2026-09-22). Questions that differ only by price level or deadline are grouped into the 4 listed below.

Walk the record from Product launch: xAI

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Product launch: xAI

Situation.

Evidence: 2 documents · 2 separate publishers · a match is coverage, not verification
Standing: Added automatically from coverage
Time: first seen 29 May 2026, last seen 22 Sept 2026
Measured: fully
As of: 15 Oct 2026

1 link from here

Links from here: none on file at this cutoff.

What it is about (1)

xAI

Who and what is involved (0)

no name recurs in two separate outlets' reports

Related situations (0)

none shares a name its reports carry

For machines: this record as JSON

Who this involves

What it is about: xAI.

No name recurs in two separate outlets' reports for this event yet.

In the coverage

Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline. As of 2026-10-15, newest first.

The internet is convinced Elon Musk’s xAI trolled OpenAI’s ‘Dots’ launchTechCrunch · 2026-09-30
xAI launches Grok 4.7 at bargain prices, but benchmarks reveal a wide gap to Claude and GPT-6The Decoder · 2026-09-21

What markets are asking

Questions from public prediction markets, each with its last price and the date it was seen.

Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · 8 months outView this question on Polymarket · last price 0.25% Yes, seen 2026-09-26
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?View this question on Polymarket · last price 1.35% Yes, seen 2026-06-06
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?View this question on Polymarket · last price 0.05% Yes, seen 2026-07-01
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?View this question on Polymarket · last price 99.95% Yes, seen 2026-09-12

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Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Mention counts come from SigB’s tracked coverage. Informational only, not advice. As of 2026-10-15.