Strait of Hormuz
The ledger holds 1,922 claims about the strait: 4 corroborated, 27 reported by two, 1,891 single source. No claim on this record sits beside a report that gives a different answer. The newest of the best-supported are below.
No new claim carried by three or more separate reports since 27 Sep.
- First reported 27 Sep
US President Donald Trump has rejected an offer from Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz as Washington intensifies economic pressure on Tehran, including measures targeting banks and airlines.
- First reported 27 Sep
The British government gave authorisation to the US to use RAF Fairford to carry out strikes on Iranian missile sites that are attacking ships in the Strait of Hormuz.
- First reported 9 Sep
Iran said on Wednesday it had attacked 10 ships near the Strait of Hormuz after the U.S. sank five Iranian oil tankers, in the biggest declared wave of tit-for-tat attacks on shipping by both sides since the start of the six-month-old war.
1 more report is kept in the claims ledger: it appears here once we have its link and exact words
- First reported 7 Sep
The freight rates on the key route from Ras Tanura on Saudi Arabia’s Persian Gulf to India have soared by more than 400% since February 28, when the war began, and Iran closed off the Strait of Hormuz.
- First reported 2 Oct
Another tanker has been struck in the Strait of Hormuz, bringing the number of vessels reported hit in the strategic waterway since Sunday to at least six.
- First reported 30 Sep
Araghchi briefed the Cabinet on his trip to New York and the meetings he held there, including Iran’s conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, which Mohajerani said had been conveyed through mediators.
From the live Hormuz record: on Polymarket, “Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?” was priced at 6.5% when last seen (2026-10-08). That is Polymarket’s price, quoted as published. SigB publishes no probability of its own.
Set aside · 9 claims, each with why
- Iraq is importing gasoline via Syrian port to bypass the closed Strait of Hormuz. Every report came from outlets that do not cover this subject.
- An Iranian commercial ship was struck near Strait of Hormuz with 1 dead. Every report came from outlets that do not cover this subject.
- One person was killed in a ship strike on the Strait of Hormuz. Every report came from outlets that do not cover this subject.