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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

AI

Artificial Intelligence — Computer systems that perform tasks that normally require human intelligence — language, vision, prediction, reasoning.

Coverage of AI is holding steady : 199 signals on the latest tracked day, up 29% from its three-week baseline of 154, across 68 domains (down from 76 a week ago). That makes it the #4 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

AI is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 154 signals a day across 68 domains (46 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 192+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 68. That is the move that would push it up the Wire. It sits on our AI & Compute Desk.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

It shows up alongside OpenAI (922 — acquisition ×3), Anthropic (804 — acquisition ×8), Google (645), China (621 — meetings or visits ×5), Nvidia (581 — meetings or visits ×3, acquisition ×2), Data Center (508), Abstract (429), Microsoft (394).

Two steps out: Iran (through China, 451 shared stories on the weaker link); Citations Loading Bibliographic (through Abstract, 429 shared stories on the weaker link); Connected Papers (through Abstract, 429 shared stories on the weaker link); Explorer (through Abstract, 429 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 3, with coverage on 172 separate days — concentrated in Auto and AI Investing.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 17 – Aug 31, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 31, 4:31 PM PT