Entity

China

The world's most populous great power and second-largest economy; a central actor in trade, technology, and security.

As of 21 Oct 2026Last evidence 21 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • The AI model race

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Economic indicator: china & GDP

    Registered event · reported 22 Aug 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • China defends DeepSeek after US ban of its AI from government systems

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

  • Bitcoin, Korea’s Kospi and Nasdaq futures rally as China GDP beats estimates

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • US sanctions Chinese Y Combinator successor MiraclePlus over Google trade secrets

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

All 14 events and claims involving China

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 618 mentions on 21 Oct 2026, against 543 on 29 Sept 2026 (+14%).
  • State Last recorded change: coverage state went from steady to rising on 13 Oct 2026 (2 changes recorded since 11 Oct 2026).
  • Claims No claim first reported since 20 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?” moved from 12% to 10% Yes since 6 Sept 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

13,674 documents · 680 publishers · 8% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 21 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.079: about 92% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 1 receipt withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside China

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

AIUnited StatesTrumpRussiaIranIndiaJapanSouth KoreaOil
  • AI · 4,418 shared documents
  • United States · 2,930 shared documents
  • Trump · 2,848 shared documents
  • Europe · 2,602 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Russia · 2,557 shared documents
  • Iran · 2,300 shared documents
  • India · 2,209 shared documents
  • Japan · 2,100 shared documents
  • South Korea · 2,066 shared documents
  • Oil · 2,017 shared documents

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 618 mentions on 21 Oct 2026 with 543 on 29 Sept 2026 (+14%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +442% from 6 Sept 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, between 92 and 690 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions China, day by day.

Market price, cited

10% Yes

priced 21 Oct 2026 · relation: subject of the question

the market: 12% → 10% Yes (-2pts, from 6 Sept 2026 to 21 Oct 2026)

on “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about China

“Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name china.

{
  "name": "china",
  "label": "China",
  "asOf": "2026-10-21",
  "mentions": 618,
  "domains": 93,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-21T17:32:46.572952+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?",
    "yesPct": 10,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-21",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "subject-of"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-11T15:55:28.075824+00:00",
    "changes": 2
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "618 mentions across 93 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "93 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 612 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving China

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • The AI model race

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Economic indicator: china & GDP

    Registered event · reported 22 Aug 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • China defends DeepSeek after US ban of its AI from government systems

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Bitcoin, Korea’s Kospi and Nasdaq futures rally as China GDP beats estimates

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • US sanctions Chinese Y Combinator successor MiraclePlus over Google trade secrets

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • China's Hansoh Pharma strikes drug deal with Roche worth over $15 billion

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • US orders removal of China's DeepSeek products from federal civilian agencies

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Germany, France to tighten ‘Made in Europe’ stance, pressuring China’s auto industry

    Reported claim · first reported 18 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Thai police arrest Chinese suspect tied to alleged $75M crime network in Bangkok

    Reported claim · first reported 18 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Thailand Arrests Chinese Suspect in Crypto-Linked Money Laundering Case

    Reported claim · first reported 17 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Solana Shanghai Event Postponed in China as Registrations Quadruple, Police Reported

    Reported claim · first reported 16 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • AI Agents Made 138 Million Crypto Payments, But China Barely Paid for AI Models

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • China keen to strengthen North Korea trade ties with New Yalu River Bridge opening

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 13 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • EU negotiates sanction swap with China to rescue critical ASML supplier — German coatings firm faces shutdown without Chinese rare earths

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

Walk the record from China

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

China

Entity.

Evidence
13,674 documents · 680 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 12 Mar 2026, last seen 21 Oct 2026
Measured
8% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
21 Oct 2026
24 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names China, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Other markets materially about China

Markets whose question is about China or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to China and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

2 more open markets joined to China but not about it
  • 0.3% Yes

    “Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or higher on October 22?”

    Polymarket · priced 21 Oct 2026

    Relation: about a place in it · a weather or score reading at a place: about a place at most, never about the subject · closes 22 Oct 2026

  • 33% Yes

    “Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21?”

    Polymarket · priced 21 Oct 2026

    Relation: about a place in it · a weather or score reading at a place: about a place at most, never about the subject · closes 21 Oct 2026

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 13 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 11 Oct 2026

  • 11 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 7 Oct 2026

2 changes recorded since 11 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about ChinaWatch China

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 21 Oct 2026.