Entity

Federal Reserve

The central bank of the United States; it sets interest rates and manages the money supply.

As of 4 Nov 2026Last evidence 4 Nov 2026

What is happening now

  • Fed rate decisions

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 4 Nov 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Crypto Bank Custodia Urges Supreme Court to End 'Tyranny' of Federal Reserve

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • If the Fed Raises Interest Rates Again in 2026, I Predict These ETFs Will Be the Smartest Buys

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady at 3.75%–4% as Kevin Warsh Announces FOMC Meeting Changes

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady Ahead of Midterms. Here's What That Means for the Market.

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 8 separate publishers

All 6 events and claims involving Federal Reserve

What changed

  • Attention Fading: 73 mentions on 4 Nov 2026, against 83 on 14 Oct 2026 (-12%).
  • State Last recorded change: coverage state went from steady to fading on 4 Nov 2026 (8 changes recorded since 26 Oct 2026).
  • Claims No claim first reported since 3 Nov 2026.

How well we know this

906 documents · 182 publishers · 25% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 4 Nov 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.246: about 75% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 4 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Federal Reserve

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

Interest RatesInflationAITreasuryOilBitcoinCryptoIran
  • Interest Rates · 526 shared documents
  • Inflation · 423 shared documents
  • AI · 313 shared documents
  • Treasury · 239 shared documents
  • Oil · 226 shared documents
  • Bitcoin · 225 shared documents
  • Crypto · 219 shared documents
  • Central Bank · 178 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Iran · 165 shared documents
  • CPI · 152 shared documents · no page of its own yet

Story momentum

Fading

The word compares 73 mentions on 4 Nov 2026 with 83 on 14 Oct 2026 (-12%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions -38% from 20 Sept 2026 to 4 Nov 2026, between 25 and 211 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Federal Reserve, day by day.

Market price, cited

Not priced yet

No open prediction market prices a question materially about Federal Reserve yet. Ask about Federal Reserve

No market price on file: no prediction market prices a question about this name yet

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/23e87a50b470be4b8c7a44e2 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name federal reserve.

{
  "name": "federal reserve",
  "label": "Federal Reserve",
  "asOf": "2026-11-04",
  "mentions": 73,
  "domains": 31,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/23e87a50b470be4b8c7a44e2",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/23e87a50b470be4b8c7a44e2",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-11-04T20:23:52.937611+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "fading",
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-26T19:08:57.683244+00:00",
    "changes": 8
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "73 mentions across 31 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "2 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 2,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "31 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 71 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Federal Reserve

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Fed rate decisions

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 4 Nov 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Crypto Bank Custodia Urges Supreme Court to End 'Tyranny' of Federal Reserve

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • If the Fed Raises Interest Rates Again in 2026, I Predict These ETFs Will Be the Smartest Buys

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    could not check

  • Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady at 3.75%–4% as Kevin Warsh Announces FOMC Meeting Changes

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady Ahead of Midterms. Here's What That Means for the Market.

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 8 separate publishers

    could not check

  • US Federal Reserve Officials Justify Interest Rate Hikes Amid Persistent Inflation Concerns

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    could not check

Walk the record from Federal Reserve

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Federal Reserve

Entity.

Evidence
906 documents · 182 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 14 Apr 2026, last seen 4 Nov 2026
Measured
25% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
4 Nov 2026
17 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (5)

  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.
  • Could not check: We could not count this claim's sources, so we do not say how well it is supported.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Federal Reserve, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

4 more headlines counted but not shown: no source link on file

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Markets materially about Federal Reserve

Markets whose question is about Federal Reserve or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Federal Reserve and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

No open market in the record is materially about Federal Reserve: none names it as the subject of its question or as a party in it.

3 more open markets joined to Federal Reserve but not about it
  • 77.5% Yes

    “Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?”

    Polymarket · priced 4 Nov 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

  • 77.5% Yes

    “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?”

    Polymarket · priced 4 Nov 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

  • 71% Yes

    “Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?”

    Polymarket · priced 4 Nov 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 4 Nov 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to fading

    Previous state held since 1 Nov 2026

  • 1 Nov 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 28 Oct 2026

  • 28 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: watch to flagged

    Previous state held since 27 Oct 2026

  • 28 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: insufficient_history to rising

    Previous state held since 27 Oct 2026

  • 27 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: flagged to watch

    Previous state held since 26 Oct 2026

  • 27 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to insufficient_history

    Previous state held since 26 Oct 2026

  • 26 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: watch to flagged

    Previous state held since 18 Oct 2026

  • 26 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: insufficient_history to rising

    Previous state held since 18 Oct 2026

8 changes recorded since 26 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about Federal ReserveWatch Federal Reserve

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 4 Nov 2026.