Entity

Iran

A major Middle Eastern state whose oil, nuclear program, and regional proxies keep it central to Gulf security.

As of 31 Oct 2026Last evidence 31 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Middle East conflict: Iran says discussing plan with mediators to end war, reopen Hormuz; UAE’s Gargash urges restraint

    Reported event · first reported 28 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 · 2 claims · best-carried claim: 10 separate publishers

  • IRGC says two tankers stopped south of Strait of Hormuz after ignoring radio warnings from Iran

    Reported claim · first reported 30 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Hegseth fires Pentagon’s top strategist accused of leaks amid Iran war

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

  • Iran sees only ‘unacceptable ideas’ in latest draft deal to end war, official says

    Reported claim · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • UK charges 2 men in suspected Iran-linked incident at RAF Fairford after US bombers pulled

    Reported claim · first reported 27 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

All 12 events and claims involving Iran

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 469 mentions on 31 Oct 2026, against 342 on 10 Oct 2026 (+37%).
  • State Last recorded change: coverage state went from steady to rising on 22 Oct 2026 (2 changes recorded since 19 Oct 2026).
  • Claims 2 claims first reported since 30 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” moved from 16% to 18% Yes since 16 Sept 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

13,399 documents · 581 publishers · 17% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 31 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.166: about 83% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 7 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Iran

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

OilTrumpIsraelHormuzMiddle EastUnited StatesSaudi ArabiaRussiaYemenChina

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 469 mentions on 31 Oct 2026 with 342 on 10 Oct 2026 (+37%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +55% from 16 Sept 2026 to 31 Oct 2026, between 204 and 534 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Iran, day by day.

Market price, cited

18% Yes

priced 31 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 16% → 18% Yes (+2pts, from 16 Sept 2026 to 31 Oct 2026)

on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Iran

“Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name iran.

{
  "name": "iran",
  "label": "Iran",
  "asOf": "2026-10-31",
  "mentions": 469,
  "domains": 70,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-31T17:19:48.554616+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
    "yesPct": 18,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-31",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-19T15:50:53.270508+00:00",
    "changes": 2
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "469 mentions across 70 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "70 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 463 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Iran

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Middle East conflict: Iran says discussing plan with mediators to end war, reopen Hormuz; UAE’s Gargash urges restraint

    Reported event · first reported 28 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 · 2 claims · best-carried claim: 10 separate publishers

    Show the 2 individual claims
    • Middle East conflict: Iran says discussing plan with mediators to end war, reopen Hormuz; UAE’s Gargash urges restraint · corroborated · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 10 separate publishers
    • Trump: US-Iran war will 'get wrapped up soon,' speaking ahead of midterm elections · corroborated · first reported 30 Oct 2026 · 5 separate publishers

  • IRGC says two tankers stopped south of Strait of Hormuz after ignoring radio warnings from Iran

    Reported claim · first reported 30 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Hegseth fires Pentagon’s top strategist accused of leaks amid Iran war

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran sees only ‘unacceptable ideas’ in latest draft deal to end war, official says

    Reported claim · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • UK charges 2 men in suspected Iran-linked incident at RAF Fairford after US bombers pulled

    Reported claim · first reported 27 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Oil tops $114 as traders brace for Iran escalation after US midterms

    Reported claim · first reported 27 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Saudi Arabia and allies Turkey, Pakistan travel to Iran for negotiations to end Houthi attacks, wider war

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 12 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Top officials from Mecca pact countries to meet Iranian officials in Tehran on Monday, two sources say

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Iran Offers to Reopen Strait of Hormuz, but U.S. Naval Blockade Stalls Shipping Deal

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Pakistan reopens Iran border crossing after week-long suspension of trade

    Reported claim · first reported 25 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iranian sailors seek urgent medical help as tankers remain stranded off Sri Lanka

    Reported claim · first reported 25 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

Walk the record from Iran

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Iran

Entity.

Evidence
13,399 documents · 581 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 13 Mar 2026, last seen 31 Oct 2026
Measured
17% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
31 Oct 2026
25 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (3)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Iran, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Iran

Markets whose question is about Iran or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Iran and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 22 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 21 Oct 2026

  • 21 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 18 Oct 2026

2 changes recorded since 19 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about IranWatch Iran

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 31 Oct 2026.