Entity · moving across domains

Iran

A major Middle Eastern state whose oil, nuclear program, and regional proxies keep it central to Gulf security.

As of 15 Oct 2026Last evidence 15 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Ceasefire & peace talks: iran

    Registered event · reported 1 Jun 2026 to 15 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Container ship sinks near strait of Hormuz amid surge in Iranian attacks

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 13 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Trump says he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran 'at all'

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Iran mum as Azerbaijan’s school hijab ban, Israel ties test alliance with Turkey

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

All 14 events and claims involving Iran

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 429 mentions on 15 Oct 2026, against 327 on 24 Sept 2026 (+31%).
  • State Last recorded change: coverage state went from steady to rising on 15 Oct 2026 (3 changes recorded since 5 Oct 2026).
  • Claims 1 claim first reported since 14 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” moved from 16% to 16% Yes since 31 Aug 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

9,368 documents · 526 publishers · 17% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 15 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.165: about 84% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 4 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Iran

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

OilTrumpHormuzMiddle EastIsraelUnited StatesSaudi ArabiaChinaYemen
  • Oil · 3,860 shared documents
  • Trump · 3,785 shared documents
  • Hormuz · 2,924 shared documents
  • Middle East · 2,722 shared documents
  • Israel · 2,712 shared documents
  • United States · 2,677 shared documents
  • Saudi Arabia · 2,368 shared documents
  • China · 2,046 shared documents
  • Yemen · 1,972 shared documents
  • UN · 1,522 shared documents · no page of its own yet

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 429 mentions on 15 Oct 2026 with 327 on 24 Sept 2026 (+31%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +106% from 31 Aug 2026 to 15 Oct 2026, between 107 and 497 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Iran, day by day.

Market price, cited

16% Yes

priced 15 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 16% → 16% Yes (0pts, from 31 Aug 2026 to 15 Oct 2026)

on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Iran

“Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name iran.

{
  "name": "iran",
  "label": "Iran",
  "asOf": "2026-10-15",
  "mentions": 429,
  "domains": 65,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-15T21:55:31.406490+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
    "yesPct": 16,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-15",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-05T04:42:49.228031+00:00",
    "changes": 3
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "429 mentions across 65 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "65 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 423 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Iran

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Ceasefire & peace talks: iran

    Registered event · reported 1 Jun 2026 to 15 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Container ship sinks near strait of Hormuz amid surge in Iranian attacks

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 13 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Trump says he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran 'at all'

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran mum as Azerbaijan’s school hijab ban, Israel ties test alliance with Turkey

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Saudi Arabia says drones and missiles still targeting Kingdom as Iran-backed Houthis step up attacks

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Iran's Araghchi offers to mediate Saudi-Houthi talks, calls for diplomatic end to hostilities

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Pentagon raises official toll of troops who died during war with Iran to 21

    Reported claim · first reported 10 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Saudi Arabia faces new level of peril in Houthi attacks, amid wider Iran war

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Two Mumbai-based firms, five Indian nationals face U.S. sanctions over Iran oil trade

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • US-Iran war: Yemen says 950 Houthis killed; Iran denies RAF Fairford plot, IRGC warns foreign powers off Strait of Hormuz

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • US to Seize About $1 Billion in Crypto Linked to Iran: Treasury Secretary Bessent

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Putin offers help to end Iran war while Russia continues its own in Ukraine

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 6 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • U.S. Senator Questions Cantor Fitzgerald Over Tether’s Iran-Linked USDT Activity

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

Walk the record from Iran

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Iran

Entity.

Evidence
9,368 documents · 526 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 13 Mar 2026, last seen 15 Oct 2026
Measured
17% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
15 Oct 2026
25 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (3)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Iran, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Iran

Markets whose question is about Iran or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Iran and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 15 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 10 Oct 2026

  • 10 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 7 Oct 2026

  • 7 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 3 Oct 2026

3 changes recorded since 5 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about IranWatch Iran

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 15 Oct 2026.