Entity

Iran

A major Middle Eastern state whose oil, nuclear program, and regional proxies keep it central to Gulf security.

As of 17 Oct 2026Last evidence 17 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Analysis-How the Houthis are helping Iran turn Saudi Arabia into a pressure point

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Container ship sinks near strait of Hormuz amid surge in Iranian attacks

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 13 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Trump says he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran 'at all'

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Iran mum as Azerbaijan’s school hijab ban, Israel ties test alliance with Turkey

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

All 13 events and claims involving Iran

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 393 mentions on 17 Oct 2026, against 227 on 26 Sept 2026 (+73%).
  • State Last recorded change: coverage state went from rising to steady on 16 Oct 2026 (4 changes recorded since 7 Oct 2026).
  • Claims No claim first reported since 16 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” moved from 16% to 16% Yes since 2 Sept 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

9,828 documents · 535 publishers · 16% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 17 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.163: about 84% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 5 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Iran

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

OilTrumpHormuzIsraelMiddle EastUnited StatesSaudi ArabiaRussiaYemen
  • Oil · 4,060 shared documents
  • Trump · 3,981 shared documents
  • Hormuz · 3,049 shared documents
  • Israel · 2,848 shared documents
  • Middle East · 2,845 shared documents
  • United States · 2,808 shared documents
  • Saudi Arabia · 2,525 shared documents
  • Russia · 2,160 shared documents
  • Yemen · 2,079 shared documents
  • UN · 1,580 shared documents · no page of its own yet

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 393 mentions on 17 Oct 2026 with 227 on 26 Sept 2026 (+73%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +128% from 2 Sept 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, between 107 and 497 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Iran, day by day.

Market price, cited

16% Yes

priced 17 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 16% → 16% Yes (0pts, from 2 Sept 2026 to 17 Oct 2026)

on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Iran

“Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name iran.

{
  "name": "iran",
  "label": "Iran",
  "asOf": "2026-10-17",
  "mentions": 393,
  "domains": 66,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-17T17:29:52.650730+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
    "yesPct": 16,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-17",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-07T13:21:22.920897+00:00",
    "changes": 4
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "393 mentions across 66 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "66 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 387 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Iran

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Analysis-How the Houthis are helping Iran turn Saudi Arabia into a pressure point

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Container ship sinks near strait of Hormuz amid surge in Iranian attacks

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 13 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Trump says he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran 'at all'

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran mum as Azerbaijan’s school hijab ban, Israel ties test alliance with Turkey

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • How Iran messaging highlights cost of war ahead of US midterm elections

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • MI5 Chief Warns of Escalating Hybrid Threats From Iran and Russia on British Soil

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Iran war live: Saudi blasts Houthi ‘war crimes’; US warns on Saudi airports

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Trump on Iran talks: ‘I don’t know who the hell we’re negotiating with’

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Saudi Arabia says drones and missiles still targeting Kingdom as Iran-backed Houthis step up attacks

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • 'No military solutions': Iran offers to mediate as Saudi-Houthi conflict escalates

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Riyadh airport attacks signal major Iran war escalation

    Reported claim · first reported 11 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran says it will reply to US response on Hormuz proposal once review over

    Reported claim · first reported 11 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

Walk the record from Iran

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Iran

Entity.

Evidence
9,828 documents · 535 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 13 Mar 2026, last seen 17 Oct 2026
Measured
16% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
17 Oct 2026
24 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Iran, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Iran

Markets whose question is about Iran or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Iran and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

1 more open market joined to Iran but not about it
  • 6.5% Yes

    “US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?”

    Polymarket · priced 17 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · closes 31 Oct 2026

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 16 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 15 Oct 2026

  • 15 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 10 Oct 2026

  • 10 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 7 Oct 2026

  • 7 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 3 Oct 2026

4 changes recorded since 7 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about IranWatch Iran

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 17 Oct 2026.