Entity

Iran

A major Middle Eastern state whose oil, nuclear program, and regional proxies keep it central to Gulf security.

As of 21 Oct 2026Last evidence 21 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Iran security chief rejects moving enriched uranium abroad, as Netanyahu vows to topple regime

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

  • IRGC claims it downed US drone, set two tankers ablaze near Hormuz

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • UK police re-arrest two men on suspicion of helping Iranian intelligence over RAF Fairford incident

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Iran stalling on deal with US to hurt Trump politically ahead of midterms, Iranian officials say

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

  • Trump Endorses Netanyahu Days Before Israeli Election as Iran War Tests Friendship

    Reported claim · first reported 18 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

All 13 events and claims involving Iran

What changed

  • Attention Fading: 411 mentions on 21 Oct 2026, against 483 on 29 Sept 2026 (-15%).
  • State Last recorded change: coverage state went from rising to steady on 21 Oct 2026 (4 changes recorded since 11 Oct 2026).
  • Claims 3 claims first reported since 20 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” moved from 14% to 16% Yes since 6 Sept 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

10,664 documents · 542 publishers · 16% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 21 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.161: about 84% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 6 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Iran

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

OilTrumpHormuzIsraelMiddle EastUnited StatesSaudi ArabiaRussiaYemen
  • Oil · 4,414 shared documents
  • Trump · 4,305 shared documents
  • Hormuz · 3,327 shared documents
  • Israel · 3,125 shared documents
  • Middle East · 3,073 shared documents
  • United States · 3,055 shared documents
  • Saudi Arabia · 2,754 shared documents
  • Russia · 2,368 shared documents
  • Yemen · 2,277 shared documents
  • UN · 1,668 shared documents · no page of its own yet

Story momentum

Fading

The word compares 411 mentions on 21 Oct 2026 with 483 on 29 Sept 2026 (-15%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +226% from 6 Sept 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, between 119 and 497 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Iran, day by day.

Market price, cited

16% Yes

priced 21 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 14% → 16% Yes (+2pts, from 6 Sept 2026 to 21 Oct 2026)

on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Iran

“Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name iran.

{
  "name": "iran",
  "label": "Iran",
  "asOf": "2026-10-21",
  "mentions": 411,
  "domains": 59,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-21T16:01:06.638151+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "fading",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
    "yesPct": 16,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-21",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-11T15:55:28.075824+00:00",
    "changes": 4
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "411 mentions across 59 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "59 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 405 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Iran

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Iran security chief rejects moving enriched uranium abroad, as Netanyahu vows to topple regime

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • IRGC claims it downed US drone, set two tankers ablaze near Hormuz

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • UK police re-arrest two men on suspicion of helping Iranian intelligence over RAF Fairford incident

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran stalling on deal with US to hurt Trump politically ahead of midterms, Iranian officials say

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Trump Endorses Netanyahu Days Before Israeli Election as Iran War Tests Friendship

    Reported claim · first reported 18 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • People scour strait of Hormuz for spilt cargo after Iran attacks container ships

    Reported claim · first reported 17 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Super tanker ablaze after striking mine in Strait of Hormuz, IRGC says

    Reported claim · first reported 17 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran says two tankers catch fire after hitting mines in Strait of Hormuz

    Reported claim · first reported 17 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran says Strait of Hormuz reopening, seven-day ceasefire conditions still on the table

    Reported claim · first reported 16 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Window for diplomacy with Iran may be closing as Trump again threatens Pickaxe Mountain

    Reported claim · first reported 16 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Iran, Russia have never worked so closely, says Araghchi amid Middle East war

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Iran live updates: Trump admin prepares options, including 'mother of all bombs'

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

Walk the record from Iran

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Iran

Entity.

Evidence
10,664 documents · 542 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 13 Mar 2026, last seen 21 Oct 2026
Measured
16% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
21 Oct 2026
24 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Iran, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Iran

Markets whose question is about Iran or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Iran and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

1 more open market joined to Iran but not about it
  • 56.5% Yes

    “US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?”

    Polymarket · priced 21 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · closes 31 Mar 2027

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 21 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 18 Oct 2026

  • 18 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 16 Oct 2026

  • 16 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 15 Oct 2026

  • 15 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 10 Oct 2026

4 changes recorded since 11 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about IranWatch Iran

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 21 Oct 2026.