Entity

Iran

A major Middle Eastern state whose oil, nuclear program, and regional proxies keep it central to Gulf security.

As of 8 Oct 2026Last evidence 8 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Oil Prices Plunge as Trump Rules Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • California officials blast Trump's comment to let Iran 'take out' Los Angeles and San Diego

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

  • Exclusive-In interview, US Vice President Vance says Iran must cut enrichment to end war

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

  • RAF Fairford terror plot: British man arrested in London over suspected threat to US base used in Iran strikes

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

  • Iran war: Shell sees Middle East oil flows at 80% as Saudi Aramco warns inventories may take 2 years to rebuild

    Reported claim · first reported 5 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

All 15 events and claims involving Iran

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 388 mentions on 8 Oct 2026, against 304 on 17 Sept 2026 (+28%).
  • State Changes between snapshots: cannot measure, no state history is kept for Iran yet.
  • Claims 1 claim first reported since 7 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” moved from 16% to 16% Yes since 24 Aug 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

8,064 documents · 485 publishers · 39% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 8 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.392: about 61% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 6 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Iran

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

OilTrumpHormuzMiddle EastIsraelUnited StatesChinaSaudi ArabiaRussiaYemen

Story momentum

Rising

Daily mentions +135% from 24 Aug 2026 to 8 Oct 2026, between 107 and 497 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Iran, day by day.

Market price, cited

16% Yes

Polymarket · priced 8 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 16% → 16% Yes (0pts, from 24 Aug 2026 to 8 Oct 2026)

on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Iran

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name iran.

{
  "name": "iran",
  "label": "Iran",
  "asOf": "2026-10-08",
  "mentions": 388,
  "domains": 61,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-08T20:34:57.810068+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
    "yesPct": 16,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-08",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "388 mentions across 61 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "61 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 382 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Iran

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Oil Prices Plunge as Trump Rules Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • California officials blast Trump's comment to let Iran 'take out' Los Angeles and San Diego

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Exclusive-In interview, US Vice President Vance says Iran must cut enrichment to end war

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • RAF Fairford terror plot: British man arrested in London over suspected threat to US base used in Iran strikes

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran war: Shell sees Middle East oil flows at 80% as Saudi Aramco warns inventories may take 2 years to rebuild

    Reported claim · first reported 5 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 4 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Iran’s economy deteriorates, oil minister resigns, workers protest: What to know

    Reported claim · first reported 4 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran says Strait of Hormuz could reopen within a week as Tehran weighs US response

    Reported claim · first reported 4 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Big boost for global economy as OPEC+ cartel agrees to keep oil production steady amid attacks in Gulf

    Reported claim · first reported 4 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Ceasefire & peace talks: iran

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 3 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Three reasons Middle East oil supply is nearly back to pre-Iran war levels

    Reported claim · first reported 3 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 10 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • A Saudi-led coalition says its fighter jets are bombing Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • US sends third aircraft carrier to Middle East amid stalemate in Iran war

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 12 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Oil Flows Are Up, but Iran Is Still Menacing the Strait of Hormuz

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Middle East oil exports top pre-war levels in September, but tanker attacks increase

    Reported claim · first reported date not on file · 1 claim · publishers not read on this page

    corroborated · not read on this page: its date and members come from the record's node door

Walk the record from Iran

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Iran

Entity.

Evidence
8,064 documents · 485 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 13 Mar 2026, last seen 8 Oct 2026
Measured
39% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
8 Oct 2026
27 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (13)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Could not check: We could not count this claim's sources, so we do not say how well it is supported.

Situations it is named in (4)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Iran, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Iran

Markets whose question is about Iran or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Iran and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

No other open market in the record is materially about Iran: none names it as the subject of its question or as a party in it.

2 more open markets joined to Iran but not about it
  • 63% Yes

    “Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?”

    Polymarket · priced 8 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

  • 21.5% Yes

    “US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?”

    Polymarket · priced 8 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · closes 31 Oct 2026

What it connects to

Related records.

Ask about IranWatch Iran

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 8 Oct 2026.