Entity

Oil

Crude oil; the world's most-traded commodity, setting the base cost of fuel, transport, and industry.

As of 17 Oct 2026Last evidence 17 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • 'We're done': Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian oil refineries as 'only leverage' for peace talks

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

  • India’s West Coast Emerges As New Hub For Oil Transfers As Waters Outside Hormuz Become Congested

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Russia accuses Ukraine of attacking oil refinery after Zelensky says strikes to resume

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 8 separate publishers

  • Oil prices rise after reported Iranian attacks on ships in Strait of Hormuz

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Yemen's Houthis vow more attacks on Saudi airports, oil facilities after Aramco HQ hit

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

All 12 events and claims involving Oil

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 407 mentions on 17 Oct 2026, against 162 on 26 Sept 2026 (+151%).
  • State Last recorded change: coverage state went from steady to rising on 12 Oct 2026 (2 changes recorded since 7 Oct 2026).
  • Claims No claim first reported since 16 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?” moved from 12% to 14% Yes since 2 Sept 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

9,578 documents · 535 publishers · 8% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 17 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.082: about 92% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 2 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Oil

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

IranTrumpHormuzMiddle EastUnited StatesSaudi ArabiaInflationRussiaChina
  • Iran · 4,060 shared documents
  • Trump · 2,834 shared documents
  • Hormuz · 2,614 shared documents
  • Middle East · 2,457 shared documents
  • Oil Prices · 2,427 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • United States · 2,075 shared documents
  • Saudi Arabia · 1,999 shared documents
  • Inflation · 1,932 shared documents
  • Russia · 1,926 shared documents
  • China · 1,825 shared documents

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 407 mentions on 17 Oct 2026 with 162 on 26 Sept 2026 (+151%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +481% from 2 Sept 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, between 60 and 462 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Oil, day by day.

Market price, cited

14% Yes

Polymarket · priced 17 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 12% → 14% Yes (+2pts, from 2 Sept 2026 to 17 Oct 2026)

on “Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Oil

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Energy Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/ff9eb017014e9c0908bdf56a returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name oil.

{
  "name": "oil",
  "label": "Oil",
  "asOf": "2026-10-17",
  "mentions": 407,
  "domains": 81,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/ff9eb017014e9c0908bdf56a",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/ff9eb017014e9c0908bdf56a",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-17T20:32:43.477353+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?",
    "yesPct": 14,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-17",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-07T13:21:22.920897+00:00",
    "changes": 2
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "407 mentions across 81 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "81 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 401 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Oil

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • 'We're done': Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian oil refineries as 'only leverage' for peace talks

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • India’s West Coast Emerges As New Hub For Oil Transfers As Waters Outside Hormuz Become Congested

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Russia accuses Ukraine of attacking oil refinery after Zelensky says strikes to resume

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 8 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Oil prices rise after reported Iranian attacks on ships in Strait of Hormuz

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Yemen's Houthis vow more attacks on Saudi airports, oil facilities after Aramco HQ hit

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Trump says oil, gas and mineral exploration in Greenland is set to begin. It’s not that simple

    Reported claim · first reported 14 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 6 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • UK asks Interpol to reject Argentina’s ‘politically motivated’ requests for Falklands oil arrests

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Saudi Arabia hit by multiple explosions after strikes on Yemeni oil facility

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Saudi Arabia strikes oil depots in Yemen as conflict with Houthis escalates

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • South Korea stocks fall while Asian shares stay cautious as earnings loom, oil slips

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Oil prices today: Brent crude declines as Trump announces Russia-Ukraine energy truce

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Super oil tanker catches fire after hitting sea mine in Strait of Hormuz

    Reported claim · first reported 11 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

Walk the record from Oil

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Oil

Entity.

Evidence
9,578 documents · 535 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 4 Apr 2026, last seen 17 Oct 2026
Measured
8% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
17 Oct 2026
23 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (1)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Oil, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Other markets materially about Oil

Markets whose question is about Oil or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Oil and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

  • 63.7% Yes

    “Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?”

    Polymarket · priced 17 Oct 2026

    Relation: named in the question · “oil” is named in the question · closes 23 Oct 2026

  • 60.9% Yes

    “Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?”

    Polymarket · priced 17 Oct 2026

    Relation: named in the question · “oil” is named in the question · close date not stated in the question

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 12 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 10 Oct 2026

  • 10 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 27 Sept 2026

2 changes recorded since 7 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about OilWatch Oil

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 17 Oct 2026.