Entity

Russia

The world's largest country by area — a nuclear power and major oil-and-gas exporter.

As of 18 Oct 2026Last evidence 17 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Trump puts new Russia sanctions passed by Congress on hold, saying waiver is in US national interest

    Reported event · first reported 15 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · 3 claims · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

  • Russia–Ukraine war

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • 'We're done': Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian oil refineries as 'only leverage' for peace talks

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

  • Trump pauses Russian sanctions package after striking diesel deal with Putin

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

  • Trump says he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran 'at all'

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 6 separate publishers

All 12 events and claims involving Russia

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 364 mentions on 18 Oct 2026, against 292 on 27 Sept 2026 (+25%).
  • State Last recorded change: wire tier went from watch to flagged on 12 Oct 2026 (2 changes recorded since 8 Oct 2026).
  • Claims 1 claim first reported since 17 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?” moved from 26% to 26% Yes since 3 Sept 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

7,084 documents · 443 publishers · 16% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 17 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.164: about 84% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 5 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Russia

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

UkraineChinaTrumpIranOilEuropean UnionFrancePutinGermany
  • Ukraine · 3,733 shared documents
  • China · 2,331 shared documents
  • Trump · 2,233 shared documents
  • Iran · 2,160 shared documents
  • Europe · 2,019 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Oil · 1,926 shared documents
  • European Union · 1,636 shared documents
  • France · 1,294 shared documents
  • Putin · 1,255 shared documents
  • Germany · 1,225 shared documents

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 364 mentions on 18 Oct 2026 with 292 on 27 Sept 2026 (+25%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +428% from 3 Sept 2026 to 18 Oct 2026, between 43 and 414 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Russia, day by day.

Market price, cited

26% Yes

Polymarket · priced 18 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 26% → 26% Yes (0pts, from 3 Sept 2026 to 18 Oct 2026)

on “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Russia

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/64ff12ea4d3a4bedc254a871 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name russia.

{
  "name": "russia",
  "label": "Russia",
  "asOf": "2026-10-18",
  "mentions": 364,
  "domains": 70,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/64ff12ea4d3a4bedc254a871",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/64ff12ea4d3a4bedc254a871",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-18T17:25:34.437543+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?",
    "yesPct": 26,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-18",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-08T15:58:04.276991+00:00",
    "changes": 2
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "364 mentions across 70 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "70 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 358 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Russia

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Trump puts new Russia sanctions passed by Congress on hold, saying waiver is in US national interest

    Reported event · first reported 15 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · 3 claims · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

    Show the 3 individual claims
    • Trump puts new Russia sanctions passed by Congress on hold, saying waiver is in US national interest · corroborated · first reported 16 Oct 2026 · 9 separate publishers
    • Zelensky says Ukraine's patience has run out as Kyiv strikes Russian refinery despite US pressure · corroborated · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 8 separate publishers
    • Trump waives many Russia-related sanctions, tariffs before they were to take effect under new law · corroborated · first reported 17 Oct 2026 · 5 separate publishers

  • Russia–Ukraine war

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • 'We're done': Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian oil refineries as 'only leverage' for peace talks

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Trump pauses Russian sanctions package after striking diesel deal with Putin

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Trump says he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran 'at all'

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 6 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Tokyo protests Russia’s arrest of Japanese journalist on suspicion of spying

    Reported claim · first reported 13 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Ukraine-Russia war latest: Zelensky demands Trump pressure on Putin after ‘energy ceasefire breached’

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 8 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Meloni warns Trump's Russian diesel deal is 'very risky' and legitimises Moscow

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Two Turkish nationals arrested over Russian-linked arson attack against Starlink ground station in Poland

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 7 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Republicans Denounce Trump’s Diesel Deal With Russia’s Putin Amid Mounting Backlash

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • If Russia had interfered with the Brexit vote, Nige would have been the first to know | John Crace

    Reported claim · first reported 12 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 7 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Election: parliament & russia

    Registered event · reported 28 Jul 2026 to 23 Sept 2026 · no longer active · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

Walk the record from Russia

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Russia

Entity.

Evidence
7,084 documents · 443 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 13 Apr 2026, last seen 17 Oct 2026
Measured
16% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
18 Oct 2026
24 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Russia, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Russia

Markets whose question is about Russia or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Russia and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 12 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: watch to flagged

    Previous state held since 29 Sept 2026

  • 12 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: insufficient_history to rising

    Previous state held since 29 Sept 2026

2 changes recorded since 8 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about RussiaWatch Russia

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 18 Oct 2026.