Entity

Russia

The world's largest country by area — a nuclear power and major oil-and-gas exporter.

As of 21 Oct 2026Last evidence 21 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Zelenskyy says Trump is ‘rewarding Putin’ as he suspends Russia sanctions

    Reported event · first reported 15 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · 5 claims · best-carried claim: 10 separate publishers

  • Trump puts new Russia sanctions passed by Congress on hold, saying waiver is in US national interest

    Reported event · first reported 16 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · 2 claims · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

  • Russia–Ukraine war

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Russian aerial blitz kills seven in Ukraine as Zelenskyy meets US and European officials in Norway

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • EU Arctic Strategy puts security, infrastructure and geopolitical competition at centre

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 6 separate publishers

All 9 events and claims involving Russia

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 375 mentions on 21 Oct 2026, against 306 on 29 Sept 2026 (+23%).
  • State Last recorded change: wire tier went from watch to flagged on 21 Oct 2026 (6 changes recorded since 11 Oct 2026).
  • Claims 2 claims first reported since 20 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?” moved from 22% to 28% Yes since 6 Sept 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

7,771 documents · 455 publishers · 16% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 21 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.163: about 84% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 1 receipt withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Russia

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

UkraineChinaTrumpIranOilEuropean UnionFrancePutinGermany
  • Ukraine · 4,103 shared documents
  • China · 2,557 shared documents
  • Trump · 2,546 shared documents
  • Iran · 2,368 shared documents
  • Europe · 2,224 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Oil · 2,168 shared documents
  • European Union · 1,781 shared documents
  • France · 1,430 shared documents
  • Putin · 1,393 shared documents
  • Germany · 1,315 shared documents

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 375 mentions on 21 Oct 2026 with 306 on 29 Sept 2026 (+23%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +525% from 6 Sept 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, between 43 and 414 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Russia, day by day.

Market price, cited

28% Yes

priced 21 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 22% → 28% Yes (+6pts, from 6 Sept 2026 to 21 Oct 2026)

on “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Russia

“NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/64ff12ea4d3a4bedc254a871 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name russia.

{
  "name": "russia",
  "label": "Russia",
  "asOf": "2026-10-21",
  "mentions": 375,
  "domains": 70,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/64ff12ea4d3a4bedc254a871",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/64ff12ea4d3a4bedc254a871",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-21T17:32:46.572952+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?",
    "yesPct": 28,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-21",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-11T15:55:28.075824+00:00",
    "changes": 6
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "375 mentions across 70 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "70 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 369 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Russia

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Zelenskyy says Trump is ‘rewarding Putin’ as he suspends Russia sanctions

    Reported event · first reported 15 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · 5 claims · best-carried claim: 10 separate publishers

    Show the 5 individual claims
    • Zelenskyy says Trump is ‘rewarding Putin’ as he suspends Russia sanctions · corroborated · first reported 17 Oct 2026 · 10 separate publishers
    • Zelensky says Ukraine's patience has run out as Kyiv strikes Russian refinery despite US pressure · corroborated · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 7 separate publishers
    • Trump waives Russia oil sanctions a day before 100% tariffs on India were due · corroborated · first reported 17 Oct 2026 · 6 separate publishers
    • Trump pauses Russian sanctions package after striking diesel deal with Putin · corroborated · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 4 separate publishers
    • Trump waives many Russia-related sanctions, tariffs before they were to take effect under new law · corroborated · first reported 17 Oct 2026 · 3 separate publishers

  • Trump puts new Russia sanctions passed by Congress on hold, saying waiver is in US national interest

    Reported event · first reported 16 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · 2 claims · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    Show the 2 individual claims
    • Trump puts new Russia sanctions passed by Congress on hold, saying waiver is in US national interest · reported by two · first reported 16 Oct 2026 · 4 separate publishers
    • Trump pauses new Russia sanctions passed by Congress amid deepening row with Ukraine · reported by two · first reported 17 Oct 2026 · 3 separate publishers

  • Russia–Ukraine war

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Russian aerial blitz kills seven in Ukraine as Zelenskyy meets US and European officials in Norway

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • EU Arctic Strategy puts security, infrastructure and geopolitical competition at centre

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 6 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • 'We're done': Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian oil refineries as 'only leverage' for peace talks

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran, Russia have never worked so closely, says Araghchi amid Middle East war

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Russia to phase out P2P crypto transaction in July 2027 as exchanges receive licenses

    Reported claim · first reported 15 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Election: parliament & russia

    Registered event · reported 28 Jul 2026 to 23 Sept 2026 · no longer active · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

Walk the record from Russia

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Russia

Entity.

Evidence
7,771 documents · 455 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 13 Apr 2026, last seen 21 Oct 2026
Measured
16% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
21 Oct 2026
24 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Russia, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Russia

Markets whose question is about Russia or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Russia and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 21 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: watch to flagged

    Previous state held since 20 Oct 2026

  • 21 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: insufficient_history to rising

    Previous state held since 20 Oct 2026

  • 20 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: flagged to watch

    Previous state held since 12 Oct 2026

  • 20 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to insufficient_history

    Previous state held since 12 Oct 2026

  • 12 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: watch to flagged

    Previous state held since 29 Sept 2026

  • 12 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: insufficient_history to rising

    Previous state held since 29 Sept 2026

6 changes recorded since 11 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about RussiaWatch Russia

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 21 Oct 2026.