Election · market-priced

Election: republican party

SigB keeps one record for this event, covering news reports and prediction-market questions. Tracked since 2026-08-27; last priced 2026-11-01.

Developers can read this record at /api/record/election-republican-party or with the get_topic_record MCP tool.

This record began from prediction-market questions, which SigB cites as one source.

Matched news mentions
32,871
News items matched to this event. The most recent are listed below.
Market questions
24
Questions markets are pricing. Questions that differ only by price level or deadline are grouped into the 6 listed below.

Walk the record from Election: republican party

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Election: Republican Party

Situation.

Evidence: not on file: this situation has an event card but no event-graph row
Standing: Added automatically from coverage
Time: first seen 27 Aug 2026, last seen 1 Nov 2026
Measured: not on file: class coverage not on file
As of: 3 Nov 2026

1 link from here

No reports to open here: this situation has no event-graph row, so no observations are on file for it.

Links from here: not yet read.

What it is about (1)

Republican Party

Who and what is involved (0)

not read: this situation has no event-graph row, so no reports are on file for it

Related situations (0)

not read: not yet read

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

Who this involves

What it is about: Republican Party.

Who is involved could not be read: this situation has no event-graph row, so no reports are on file for it.

What markets are asking

Questions from public prediction markets, each with its last price and the date it was seen.

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 35% or more?View this question on Polymarket · last price 2.5% Yes, seen 2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 30%-35%?View this question on Polymarket · last price 1.55% Yes, seen 2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 30% or more?View this question on Polymarket · last price 8.4% Yes, seen 2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 25%-30%?View this question on Polymarket · last price 7.1% Yes, seen 2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?View this question on Polymarket · last price 7.5% Yes, seen 2026-10-24
Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat?View this question on Polymarket · last price 1.55% Yes, seen 2026-10-02

Related events: not yet read.

Ask about Election: republican party All events in motion →

Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Mention counts come from SigB’s tracked coverage. Informational only, not advice. As of 2026-11-03.