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Ask anything about what we track. You get what we know, how we know it, and what new information would update the record at the next cycle — grounded in what's actually happening in the news right now. The first 25 answers are free on a key you mint yourself in one call — no card, for the life of the key (they don’t reset); plans lift the cap. For information only, not advice.
Answers are published at an unlisted public link so you can share them (recent ones may appear on this page; stale links expire to a fresh re-ask after ~36 hours). Don’t include personal or confidential information in your question. Privacy & deletion
- The state of play: what’s actually happening on your question, grounded in tracked coverage — never a hot take, and never a probability of ours.
- The evidence: the live headlines, article text, and the desk’s own morning synthesis the read is grounded in, source-checked by a second model.
- The market’s own price: when a prediction market’s terms actually match the question, its live price — quoted and attributed as the crowd’s number.
- What would change this: the specific developments that would move the answer.
And when a question is outside what we track — or no market matches its exact terms — the engine says so and abstains from the missing piece rather than faking it.
China is the day's widest cross-domain story: 89 reports across 31 domains — middle east, auto, china trade. It reached gaming coverage for the first time. Northern Miner: “Pentagon rare earth push collides with China’s grip”. AllAfrica Headlines: “Africa: Chinese-Flagged MV Ren Jian 15 Docks in Mombasa With 3,710 Containers for Kenya, East Africa”.
Trump crossed 27 domains on 83 reports — macro economics, auto, middle east. It reached sustainable materials coverage for the first time. Al-Monitor — Middle East: “Trump says US may hit Iran's Pickaxe Mountain soon”. EHN: “Trump administration stalled PFAS survey, former EPA officials say”.
OpenAI crossed 13 domains on 48 reports — auto, tech, artificial intelligence. It reached middle east coverage for the first time. TechCrunch AI: “OpenAI confirms 'wiki incident,' says it's 'working on a framework' for more disclosure”. Crypto Briefing: “OpenAI’s Astra model launch boosts semiconductor sector recovery”.
Iran crossed 23 domains on 128 reports — middle east, iran regime, energy. Axios: “Iran war drives $100 billion in extra energy costs for U.S. consumers”. Defense News: “US Air Force speeds Reaper successor timeline after Iran losses”.
France crossed 18 domains on 38 reports — south korea, europe politics, auto. It reached private equity coverage for the first time. Politico EU: “Renew MEPs to press Macron on his political future at Paris meeting”. Yonhap English: “(LEAD) Lee heads to France for state visit, summit with Macron”.
Written each morning by the desk from tracked prediction markets and coverage. Informational only.