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Ask anything about what we track. You get a clear, honest read grounded in what's actually happening in the news right now — and what would change the answer. The first 25 answers a day are free on a key you mint yourself in one call — no card; plans lift the cap. For information only, not advice.
Answers are published at an unlisted public link so you can share them (recent ones may appear on this page; stale links expire to a fresh re-ask after ~36 hours). Don’t include personal or confidential information in your question. Privacy & deletion
- The state of play: what’s actually happening on your question, grounded in tracked coverage — never a hot take, and never a probability of ours.
- The evidence: the live headlines, article text, and the desk’s own morning synthesis the read is grounded in, source-checked by a second model.
- The market’s own price: when a prediction market’s terms actually match the question, its live price — quoted and attributed as the crowd’s number.
- What would change this: the specific developments that would move the answer.
And when a question is outside what we track — or no market matches its exact terms — the engine says so and abstains from the missing piece rather than faking it.
Mongolia is the day's widest cross-domain story: 4 reports across 4 domains — critical minerals, europe politics, steel metals. Coverage ran 28.0 times its 7-day baseline. It reached steel metals coverage for the first time. Northern Miner: “Sponsored video: Gold miner Erdene outlines Mongolia exploration along regional belt”. euronews.com: “COP17 in Mongolia wraps up with 1.3 billion dollars of Green Investment Pledge”.
Trump crossed 28 domains on 110 reports — auto, middle east, south korea. It reached trade agreements coverage for the first time. Al-Monitor — Middle East: “Iran attacks US targets despite Trump threats”. Crypto Briefing: “Trump claims Strait of Hormuz oil volumes hit 18 million barrels per day, but independent trackers tell a different story”.
China crossed 28 domains on 85 reports — auto, middle east, china trade. It reached digital identity coverage for the first time. MINING.COM — Critical Minerals: “China’s biggest lithium mine loses licence”. AllAfrica Headlines: “Africa: China's Expanding Military Reach in Africa - From Exercises to Expeditionary Power”.
Canadian crossed 25 domains on 54 reports — canada, auto, battery storage. Coverage ran 2.1 times its 7-day baseline. It reached digital identity coverage for the first time. FreightWaves: “Flexport takes fulfillment network international with Canada, UK expansion”. Cointelegraph: “Coinbase launches regulated crypto derivatives in Canada”.
European Union crossed 19 domains on 73 reports — europe politics, ai policy, auto. It reached proptech coverage for the first time. Al Jazeera: “EU foreign ministers fail to break deadlock over Israel and Ukraine”. Politico EU: “Poland calls for stricter controls on EU visas for Russians”.
Written each morning by the desk from tracked prediction markets and coverage. Informational only.