Entity

China

The world's most populous great power and second-largest economy; a central actor in trade, technology, and security.

As of 12 Oct 2026Last evidence 12 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • The AI model race

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 12 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • EU says trade deal could cut up to 50% of Chinese EV and plug-in hybrid imports and lower tariffs for some European exports to China

    Reported claim · first reported 10 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Africa’s Ecobank Agrees to Join China’s Cross-Border Payments System

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Super Micro contractor pleads guilty in scheme to divert AI servers with Nvidia chips to China

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • China agrees to ‘halve’ hybrid car exports to EU in landmark deal

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

All 13 events and claims involving China

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 442 mentions on 12 Oct 2026, against 498 on 21 Sept 2026 (-11%).
  • State Changes between snapshots: cannot measure, no state history is kept for China yet.
  • Claims No claim first reported since 11 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?” moved from 7% to 5% Yes since 28 Aug 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

10,681 documents · 624 publishers · 26% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 12 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.262: about 74% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 3 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside China

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

AITrumpUnited StatesRussiaIranIndiaJapanSouth KoreaOil
  • AI · 3,379 shared documents
  • Trump · 2,343 shared documents
  • United States · 2,313 shared documents
  • Europe · 2,006 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Russia · 1,996 shared documents
  • Iran · 1,881 shared documents
  • India · 1,695 shared documents
  • Japan · 1,677 shared documents
  • South Korea · 1,595 shared documents
  • Oil · 1,582 shared documents

Story momentum

Rising

Daily mentions +151% from 28 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026, between 82 and 690 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions China, day by day.

Market price, cited

5% Yes

priced 12 Oct 2026 · relation: subject of the question

the market: 7% → 5% Yes (-2pts, from 28 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026)

on “China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about China

“China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name china.

{
  "name": "china",
  "label": "China",
  "asOf": "2026-10-12",
  "mentions": 442,
  "domains": 86,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/953e0435e18c6756ad8473cf",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-12T19:05:00.007637+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?",
    "yesPct": 5,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-12",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "subject-of"
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "442 mentions across 86 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "86 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 436 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving China

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • The AI model race

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 12 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • EU says trade deal could cut up to 50% of Chinese EV and plug-in hybrid imports and lower tariffs for some European exports to China

    Reported claim · first reported 10 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Africa’s Ecobank Agrees to Join China’s Cross-Border Payments System

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Super Micro contractor pleads guilty in scheme to divert AI servers with Nvidia chips to China

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • China agrees to ‘halve’ hybrid car exports to EU in landmark deal

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • US’ Circ, China’s Huafon to develop textile-to-textile recycling plant

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Chinese-speaking hacker possibly linked to AI-driven attacks on S. Korean banks: report

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • So. Korean Banks Were Likely Hacked by China-Based Actor With AI Agent: CrowdStrike

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • German govt blocks sale of logistics firm Zippel to China's Cosco

    Reported claim · first reported 7 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • France's Mistral launches AI model it says outperforms some Chinese rivals

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • A Chinese Network Laundered More Than $1 Billion for North Korea’s Lazarus Group, Says ZachXBT

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Coco Gauff says ‘insane’ wave of racist abuse followed disputed point at China Open

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Nvidia-Backed Reflection AI Launches Beam Model to Challenge China’s Low-Cost AI Rivals

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

Walk the record from China

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

China

Entity.

Evidence
10,681 documents · 624 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 22 May 2015, last seen 12 Oct 2026
Measured
26% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
12 Oct 2026
23 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (1)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names China, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about China

Markets whose question is about China or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to China and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

No other open market in the record is materially about China: none names it as the subject of its question or as a party in it.

2 more open markets joined to China but not about it
  • 56% Yes

    “Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?”

    Polymarket · priced 12 Oct 2026

    Relation: about a place in it · a weather or score reading at a place: about a place at most, never about the subject · closes 13 Oct 2026

  • 45% Yes

    “Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?”

    Polymarket · priced 12 Oct 2026

    Relation: about a place in it · “china” appears only as the place something happens (“in …”) · closes 31 Dec 2026

1 market past its stated close date is not shown as open: “Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?” (closed 9 Oct 2026).

What it connects to

Related records.

Ask about ChinaWatch China

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 12 Oct 2026.