Entity

Iran

A major Middle Eastern state whose oil, nuclear program, and regional proxies keep it central to Gulf security.

As of 4 Nov 2026Last evidence 4 Nov 2026

What is happening now

  • Iran Says Hormuz Can Reopen in 2 Days as Khamenei Grants Negotiating Authority

    Reported event · first reported 29 Oct 2026 to 1 Nov 2026 · 4 claims · best-carried claim: 13 separate publishers

  • US ‘defensive’ strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island: Latest developments as peace talks continue

    Reported event · first reported 2 Nov 2026 to 3 Nov 2026 · 3 claims · best-carried claim: 13 separate publishers

  • Trump under pressure on Iran war after Republicans' midterms defeat

    Reported claim · first reported 4 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 7 separate publishers

  • Iran's Foreign Minister says talks with Saudi Arabia are ongoing; Yemen fighting intensifies

    Reported claim · first reported 3 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

  • Oil prices fall over 4% as US-Iran peace talks raise hopes of easing Middle East supply disruptions

    Reported claim · first reported 1 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

All 8 events and claims involving Iran

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 563 mentions on 4 Nov 2026, against 392 on 14 Oct 2026 (+44%).
  • State No change in coverage state or wire tier recorded since 26 Oct 2026.
  • Claims 4 claims first reported since 3 Nov 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” moved from 16% to 16% Yes since 20 Sept 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

2,943 documents · 433 publishers · 22% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 4 Nov 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.223: about 78% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 2 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Iran

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

TrumpOilIsraelHormuzMiddle EastUnited StatesSaudi ArabiaMidterm Electio…Yemen

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 563 mentions on 4 Nov 2026 with 392 on 14 Oct 2026 (+44%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +71% from 20 Sept 2026 to 4 Nov 2026, between 204 and 563 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Iran, day by day.

Market price, cited

16% Yes

priced 4 Nov 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 16% → 16% Yes (0pts, from 20 Sept 2026 to 4 Nov 2026)

on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Iran

“Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name iran.

{
  "name": "iran",
  "label": "Iran",
  "asOf": "2026-11-04",
  "mentions": 563,
  "domains": 71,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-11-04T20:23:52.937611+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
    "yesPct": 16,
    "pricedOn": "2026-11-04",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-26T19:08:57.683244+00:00",
    "changes": 0
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "563 mentions across 71 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "71 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 557 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Iran

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Iran Says Hormuz Can Reopen in 2 Days as Khamenei Grants Negotiating Authority

    Reported event · first reported 29 Oct 2026 to 1 Nov 2026 · 4 claims · best-carried claim: 13 separate publishers

    Show the 4 individual claims
    • Iran Says Hormuz Can Reopen in 2 Days as Khamenei Grants Negotiating Authority · corroborated · first reported 31 Oct 2026 · 13 separate publishers
    • Trump: US-Iran war will 'get wrapped up soon,' speaking ahead of midterm elections · corroborated · first reported 30 Oct 2026 · 8 separate publishers
    • IRGC says two tankers stopped south of Strait of Hormuz after ignoring radio warnings from Iran · corroborated · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 7 separate publishers
    • Limpet Mines Return to the Gulf as Iran Strikes Four Tankers Near the Strait of Hormuz · corroborated · first reported 1 Nov 2026 · 6 separate publishers

  • US ‘defensive’ strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island: Latest developments as peace talks continue

    Reported event · first reported 2 Nov 2026 to 3 Nov 2026 · 3 claims · best-carried claim: 13 separate publishers

    Show the 3 individual claims
    • US ‘defensive’ strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island: Latest developments as peace talks continue · corroborated · first reported 3 Nov 2026 · 13 separate publishers
    • 'I think a part of it was Iran': Trump acknowledges war's impact on midterm election losses · corroborated · first reported 3 Nov 2026 · 5 separate publishers
    • Trump calls Iran conflict a 'soft war,' insists US holds the cards ahead of midterm elections · corroborated · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 5 separate publishers

  • Trump under pressure on Iran war after Republicans' midterms defeat

    Reported claim · first reported 4 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 7 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran's Foreign Minister says talks with Saudi Arabia are ongoing; Yemen fighting intensifies

    Reported claim · first reported 3 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Oil prices fall over 4% as US-Iran peace talks raise hopes of easing Middle East supply disruptions

    Reported claim · first reported 1 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 31 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Qatari mediators return to Tehran in last-ditch effort to broker interim deal

    Reported claim · first reported 30 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Hegseth fires Pentagon’s top strategist accused of leaks amid Iran war

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

Walk the record from Iran

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Iran

Entity.

Evidence
2,943 documents · 433 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 13 Mar 2026, last seen 4 Nov 2026
Measured
22% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
4 Nov 2026
24 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Iran, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Iran

Markets whose question is about Iran or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Iran and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

1 more open market joined to Iran but not about it
  • 8.5% Yes

    “US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?”

    Polymarket · priced 4 Nov 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · closes 15 Nov 2026

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

No change in coverage state or wire tier recorded since 26 Oct 2026.

Ask about IranWatch Iran

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 4 Nov 2026.