Ceasefire & peace talks · market-priced

Ceasefire & peace talks: iran

SigB keeps one record for this event, covering news reports and prediction-market questions. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last priced 2026-10-03.

Developers can read this record at /api/record/ceasefire-peace-iran or with the get_topic_record MCP tool.

This record began from prediction-market questions, which SigB cites as one source.

Matched news mentions
45
News items matched to this event. The most recent are listed below.
Market questions
15
Questions markets are pricing. Questions that differ only by price level or deadline are grouped into the 3 listed below.

Who is involved in Ceasefire & peace talks: iran

Names this situation's own reports carry in at least two separate outlets; bigger circles mean more outlets name it. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

Trump · named by 7 separate outlets in its reports
Hormuz · named by 3 separate outlets in its reports
United States · named by 3 separate outlets in its reports

Walk the record from Ceasefire & peace talks: iran

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Ceasefire & peace talks: Iran

Situation.

Evidence: 45 documents · 38 separate publishers · a match is coverage, not verification
Standing: Added automatically from coverage
Time: first seen 24 May 2026, last seen 3 Oct 2026
Measured: 96% of matching documents describe a specific action; the rest only mention it
As of: 8 Oct 2026

7 links from here

Who and what is involved: the 3 names are in the map above.

What it is about (1)

Iran

Related situations (3)

Israel Iran Conflictshares Iran, Hormuz, United States
Strait of Hormuzshares Iran, Hormuz
Election: Los Angelesshares Iran, Trump

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

Who this involves

What it is about: Iran.

Names this event’s own reports carry in at least two separate outlets.

Trump · 7 outlets
Hormuz · 3 outlets
United States · 3 outlets

In the coverage

Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline. As of 2026-10-08, newest first.

These stocks defy market volatility, extend rally beyond US-Iran ceasefireEconomic Times · 2026-10-05
Iran says no military solution to war as peace talks with US stallFrance 24 · 2026-10-05
Oil prices jump after Trump rejects Iran’s truce offerLatest News From Euronews · 2026-09-28
Oil heads higher as US-Iran peace talks in stalemateReuters · 2026-09-28
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Trump Rejects Iran Ceasefire Deal, BTC FallsNews Archives · 2026-09-28
‘Better deal’: What’s behind Trump’s rejection of Iran’s truce offer?Al Jazeera · 2026-09-27
Washington denounces Iran's truce proposal as 'cynical'Al-Monitor · 2026-09-27
Trump expects Iran talks next week after rejecting seven-day truce proposalFrance 24 · 2026-09-27
Trump ‘rejects’ Iran’s seven-day ceasefire proposal. What’s next?Al Jazeera · 2026-09-26
Trump reportedly rejects Iran’s seven-day peace deal to reopen strait of HormuzThe Guardian · 2026-09-26
Trump rejects Iran’s 7-day ceasefire plan to reopen Strait of Hormuznewindianexpress · 2026-09-26
Trump Rejects Iran’s Cease-Fire Proposal to Reopen Strait of HormuzNYT · 2026-09-26

What markets are asking

Questions from public prediction markets, each with its last price and the date it was seen.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?View this question on Polymarket · last price 99.95% Yes, seen 2026-06-17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?View this question on Polymarket · last price 57% Yes, seen 2026-10-08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?View this question on Polymarket · last price 99.95% Yes, seen 2026-05-24

Related events

Each one shares a name both events’ own reports carry; the shared names are listed with it.

Israel Iran Conflictshares Iran, Hormuz, United States
Strait of Hormuzshares Iran, Hormuz
Election: Los Angelesshares Iran, Trump

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Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Mention counts come from SigB’s tracked coverage. Informational only, not advice. As of 2026-10-08.