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Ask anything about what we track. You get a clear, honest read grounded in what's actually happening in the news right now — and what would change the answer. The first 25 answers a day are free on a key you mint yourself in one call — no card; plans lift the cap. For information only, not advice.
Answers are published at an unlisted public link so you can share them (recent ones may appear on this page; stale links expire to a fresh re-ask after ~36 hours). Don’t include personal or confidential information in your question. Privacy & deletion
- The state of play: what’s actually happening on your question, grounded in tracked coverage — never a hot take, and never a probability of ours.
- The evidence: the live headlines, article text, and the desk’s own morning synthesis the read is grounded in, source-checked by a second model.
- The market’s own price: when a prediction market’s terms actually match the question, its live price — quoted and attributed as the crowd’s number.
- What would change this: the specific developments that would move the answer.
And when a question is outside what we track — or no market matches its exact terms — the engine says so and abstains from the missing piece rather than faking it.
Trump is the day's widest cross-domain story: 113 reports across 31 domains — auto, iran regime, middle east. It reached chemicals coverage for the first time. Al-Monitor — Middle East: “Trump aides, fearing a midterm rout, push to keep Iran war 'quiet' for now”. Crypto Briefing: “Chevron commits over $7B to expand Venezuela operations after Trump deal opens access to massive oil reserves”.
European Union crossed 21 domains on 97 reports — europe politics, steel metals, ai policy. It reached electric vehicles coverage for the first time. Politico EU: “Rival German lawmakers plot pact to shut out EU far right”. Global Competition Review: “Google aims to resolve EU antitrust probe with global AI opt-out for publishers”.
Fable crossed 6 domains on 11 reports — artificial intelligence, tech, auto. Coverage ran 38.5 times its 7-day baseline. It reached tech coverage for the first time. SiliconANGLE: “Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5.1 after inking $35B cloud deal with Lambda”. The Decoder: “Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 promises better coding and research at up to 45 percent less”.
Canadian crossed 22 domains on 45 reports — canada, auto, europe politics. Coverage ran 2.4 times its 7-day baseline. It reached retail coverage for the first time. Cointelegraph: “Webull expands crypto trading into Canada through Coinbase collaboration”. The Guardian: “Trump’s ridiculous bullying of Canada is backfiring | Robert Reich”.
China crossed 26 domains on 90 reports — auto, middle east, china trade. It reached crypto defi coverage for the first time. AllAfrica Headlines: “Africa: China's Expanding Military Reach in Africa - From Exercises to Expeditionary Power”. Daily Sabah economy: “Egypt rolls out red carpet for Xi as Beijing expands Mideast clout”.
Written each morning by the desk from tracked prediction markets and coverage. Informational only.