The morning read.

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? is at 44.5%, with a 24h delta of +23.0%. The market moved on $64,394 of volume, with a conviction score of 0.43 and a spread of 3.0%.

Three related news articles appeared in the feed. Ahead of Midterms, Elena Kagan Says the Supreme Court Is Undermining Voting Rights (TIME) also matched. As midterms loom, Trump and his allies try to change the subject (The Guardian) rounded out the set.

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? is at 25.5%, with a 24h delta of +12.0%, on $12,637 of volume. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? is at 63.5%, with a 24h delta of +7.0%, on $22,886 of volume. Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? is at 94.0%, with a 24h delta of +48.0%, on $1,972 of volume.

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? is at 44.5% on Polymarket. Next on the record: Ahead of Midterms, Elena Kagan Says the Supreme Court Is Undermining Voting Rights (TIME).