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On the record Β· 2 Nov 2026

The morning read.

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? is at 32%, with a 24h delta of +7.0%. Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? is at 24%, with a 24h delta of -5.0%. Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? is at 62%, with a 24h delta of +10.0%. Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? is at 74%, with a 24h delta of +7.0%.

Can Democrats win the US Senate? 10 key midterm races to watch (Al Jazeera) names the battlegrounds. US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? is at 57%, with a 24h delta of +8.0%. Midterm Updates: Trump rallies in Florida, El-Sayed clashes with Stevens (CBS News).

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? is at 32% on Polymarket. Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? is at 24% on Polymarket. Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? is at 62% on Polymarket. US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? is at 57% on Polymarket. Next on the record: US midterms: 1 day to go – Democrats rally around El-Sayed amid attacks (Al Jazeera).

Sources named in this read

This edition is the archive. The current brief lives at the morning brief.

Archived as published. Informational only β€” never financial, legal, or investment advice.