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On the record Β· 7 Nov 2026

The morning read.

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? is at 0%, with a 24h delta of -58.0%. Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? is at 32%, with a 24h delta of -10.0%.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? is at 22%, with a 24h delta of -8.0%.

Trump Plans to Resume Strikes on Iran Day After Midterm Elections (UANI). 'Knives out': Will Congress impeach Pete Hegseth after GOP midterms loss? (Al Jazeera).

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? is at 0% on Polymarket. Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? is at 32% on Polymarket. Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? is at 76% on Polymarket. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? is at 22% on Polymarket.

Sources named in this read

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