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On the record Β· 8 Nov 2026

The morning read.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? is at 29.5%, with a 24h delta of +10.0%. Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? is at 42.5%, with a 24h delta of +10.0%. 'Knives out': Will Congress impeach Pete Hegseth after GOP midterms loss?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? is at 81.5%, with a 24h delta of +12.0%. Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026? is at 30.0%, with a 24h delta of -33.0%. Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? is at 39.5%, with a 24h delta of +18.5%.

Trump weighs Iran strikes or deal after midterm loss as Vance urges agreement, Qatar mediates; Brent oil falls to $93 (gulfnews) reports the diplomatic context.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? is at 29.5% on Polymarket. Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? is at 42.5% on Polymarket. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? is at 81.5% on Polymarket.

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